2013 Byes



2012 Top 8

by Motts on July 16, 2012

You’ve got 8 votes. Who will make this year’s Top 8?

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Thanks to Catta for suggesting this one.

{ 15 comments… read them below or add one }

Catta July 16, 2012 at 4:37 pm

Cheers Motts, it will be very interesting to see what the SCT community think with this one!

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Motts July 16, 2012 at 5:39 pm

Uninformed bunch of rabble – no Carlton votes???

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Catta July 16, 2012 at 8:16 pm

Hahahahahahaha………classic!

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deano July 16, 2012 at 10:30 pm

Did you vote 13 times Mottsy? :)

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Sam July 16, 2012 at 10:53 pm

That’s because Carlton are a bit poo.

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densen July 16, 2012 at 5:57 pm

Who the hell isn’t voting essendon? They’re 3 wins and percentage inside the 8!!!!

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Barnburners July 16, 2012 at 6:50 pm

Essendon will only just scrape into the 8 on percentage from Geelong and Fremantle?
Their injury toll throughout the season is about to hit hard for the rest of the year.

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The Don! July 16, 2012 at 8:33 pm

LOL^

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The Don! July 16, 2012 at 11:13 pm

So it is pretty much 100% certain that West Cost, Sydney, Collingwood, Hawthorn and Adelaide will make the top 8, 95% that they will finish top 5.

Pretty much 90% certain that Essendon will make the top 8, most likely at 6th.

Then comes the interesting part…

North, St Kilda and Geelong fighting it out for the last 2 spots.

ST KILDA (Home = Etihad)

Must Wins: Western Bulldogs (18 – Home), Melbourne (20 – MCG), GWS (22 – Home)

Probable Losses: Sydney (17 – SCG), Collingwood (19 – MCG)

Criticle Game/s: Geelong (21 – Home), Carlton (23 – Home)

Verdict: Should win about all the must wins, also the Round 23 match against the Blues. They have a chance against Sydney and Collingwood, but the odds are against them. The big game is against Geelong, and seeing as it is at Etihad, they should have the win!

7th

NORTH MELBOURNE (Home = Etihad)

Must Wins: Melbourne (18 – Home), Western Bulldogs (19 – Home), GWS (23 – Skoda)

Probable Losses: Essendon (20 – Home), Collingwood (21 – Home)

Criticle Game/s: Richmond (17 – MCG), Fremantle (22 – Home)

The Verdict: The 2 “probable losses” (teams inside the 8) are both at Etihad, and you never know what could happen there. North are a very inconsistent side – they may lose a “must win” but lose a “probable loss”. They need to have a big game against Richmond next week at the G to set up their run home.

8th

GEELONG (Home = Simonds Stadium)

Must Wins: Western Bulldogs (22 – Home)

Probable Losses: Essendon (17 – Etihad), Adelaide (18 – Home), Hawthorn (19 – MCG), West Coast (20 – Patersons), Sydney (23 – Home)

Criticle Game/s: St Kilda (21 – Etihad)

The Verdict: Well… If they want to make it, they HAVE to win against the Doggies, Saints, Dons, and their to home “probable losses” against Adelaide and Sydney. Of course, they do have a good record against the Hawks, but I just can’t see them beating them when they are in this form. WIll be tough for them to make it, but you never know…

9th

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Catta July 17, 2012 at 12:50 am

Great put together analogy TD, well done!

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Catta July 17, 2012 at 9:37 pm

The Fanatic, although I do agree with your Cats comment, I think the Hawks would be happy to meet the Cats in the GF though!

1989 & 2008 double GF’s on DVD is only $39.95 in all reputable outlets!

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The Fanatic July 17, 2012 at 1:37 am

Hidden due to low comment rating. Click here to see.

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The Don! July 17, 2012 at 1:45 am

I’m not writing them off…all I am saying is that it will be very tough for them to make it from here. They will need the “Geelong of old” to make it this year!

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Joestar July 17, 2012 at 6:37 am

Got $1.80 at the beginning of the season for Sydney to make the eight, you’d think sportsbet would pay or on that one!

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Roo Bloke July 17, 2012 at 9:32 am

Just including two teams in the discussion who haven’t really been looked at. One has been percieved as safe but have a tough run and another is a team seen as too far back by some.

ESSENDON
Geelong, Hawthorn, Adelaide (AAMI), North Melbourne, Carlton, Richmond, Collingwood

They’re currently on 11 wins and a strong percentage so two wins should be enough. BUT, the next three are tough and they could potentially lose all three. They could then go into the North game still on 11 wins against a North Melbourne who could also be on 11 wins by that point (Richmond, Melbourne, Bulldogs in the next three games). If that were to happen you’d tip North coming off 7 wins from 8 starts against Essendon’s three loses in a row. You’d expect them to rally against Carlton and Richmond teams that may be out of the race by then. Should still make it.

FREMANTLE
GWS (H), Port (A), West Coast, Adelaide (A), Richmond (H), North Melbourne (A), Melbourne (H)

Freo should defeat GWS, Richmond, Melbourne which will get them to 11 wins plus Port is also a winnable game to get them to 12 wins. Would need to sneak a win vs West Coast in the derby or in Rnd 22 in a crunch game vs North Melbourne on the road to have any chance. Would need one or two of North, Saints and Geelong to really dip in form.

For what it’s worth, i’ve got Essendon 6th, North Melbourne 7th, Geelong 8th, St Kilda 9th and i’ve actually got a two game gap between 8th and 9th.

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