2018 Price: $529,400
2017 Average: 96.3
2017 Games: 20
Past Averages (2016 – 2012): 111, 102, 132, 110, 97
2017 IN SHORT
With new coach Chris Fagan coming in to the club, we weren’t sure what to expect from Rocky. After a year of criticism for his pointed captaincy style, he had been dumped as captain and he could easily have phoned it in.
But he didn’t!
Instead he pumped out scores of: 137, 118, 104, 176, 104, 53, 148 and 147 for an eight round average of 123ppg. (For the record the 53 point match was against Port Adelaide and he still gathered 23 possessions, 6 marks and 6 tackles but he butchered he ball.)
Unfortunately just as his price peaked at about $635k he injured his shoulder and the rot set in. Well, not the rot, but he missed 2 matches plus his bye and then he started playing mainly as a forward. From Round 9 onwards he averaged 78ppg with just the one score over 100.
That led to post-season shoulder surgery and Post Adelaide came knocking, asking just how much Brisbane wanted to keep Rocky.
Not very much as it turns out!
Welcome to Port, Tommy!
- When he’s on fire, very few players can score like Rocky can.
- His kicking isn’t elite enough to attract a tag.
- His ceiling is amazing with a career high of 204 points in 2016.
- Rocky is actually quite a consistent scorer when he’s fit. In 2015 when he averaged 132 ppg he only dropped below 100 on three occasions and below 90 once (a 74).
- Life will only get easier in a team that wins more than it loses, especially if Rocky is resting forward at times. You could catch a cold in the Lions’ forward line!
- Rocky is not afraid to tackle, averaging 8 tackles per game in 2015 and 9 tackles per game in 2014.
- Let’s address the elephant in Supercoach: injuries. Rocky has not played a full season since 2012. In fact that’s his only full season he’s ever played!
- His disposal efficiency can cause a few poor scores in Supercoach. As mentioned above, during his hot streak early in 2017 he posted 53 points in Round 6 in Supercoach but 100 points in AFL Fantasy and the discrepancy was mostly due to disposal efficiency.
- We don’t know what his role will be at Port. He is claiming he will be playing midfield but you can never know until the season starts.
- That pesky Round 10 bye! Make sure you can cover him and still field 22 players!
- With a squad with more depth there will be a bit more point sharing so even if Rocky goes Bananas he may not hit the heights of early 2017.
He’s under-priced, fit and playing in the midfield. Almost without question he is going to smash out a high average to start the season. But then what? If you want a fast start then players like Fyfe and Rockliff will give you one but most likely you will have to replace or cover one or both of them several times during the season.
The logical call is to avoid Rocky unless you are desperate for a fast start and will have trades up your sleeves.
I sometimes partake of a bit of AFL Fantasy and most of you will know that you get trades every week. So in that form of Fantasy Football I reckon Rocky is a great selection because he’ll score well early and you can just switch him out when he suffers the inevitable injury.
And in Supercoach?
With his Round 10 bye, the large number of bargain midfielders available in 2018 and Rocky’s injury history I just can’t start with him. I’m sure I’ll regret it when he pumps out a few scores over 150 but I just know he’ll miss games.
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