2018 Team Review – Sydney

Written by Chillo on February 15 2018

Defenders

Lock and Load: As the Swans designated go-to guy out of the back half, Jake Lloyd ($479,900) is one of half a dozen premium defenders in the league to consider for your starting line-up. It’s worth remembering that his price includes a 4 point game against the Hawks, where he was concussed early in the first quarter and did not return; if you ignored that outlier, he would be starting at just over 500K. Pretty consistent and plays a relatively uncontested brand of footy, so the chances of him missing games are low. The main concern is having to share his role with old man McVeigh, which may affect his numbers.

Feeling Lucky: After taking out the Rising Star in 2016, the pre-season hype for Callum Mills ($403,100) revolved around his undoubted class and rumours of increased game time in the midfield. It may have been a mild case of the second year blues, but there’s no doubt Mills didn’t quite perform up to expectations, consistently finding himself the subject of increased attention from opposition players. The bloke can definitely play though, and is priced well below potential. Third-year breakout?

Money Maker: It would be one of the feel-good stories of the year if Alex Johnson ($102,400) can find his way back into the Swans best 22. After winning a flag as a 20 year old back in 2012, Johnson’s struggles with his knees have been well documented. He showed promising signs in the NEAFL last year, and was thrown a rookie list lifeline by the Swans at season’s end. He comes with a bargain basement price, and everyone in the game wishes him all the best in 2018.

Midfielders

Lock and Load: He’s fast approaching veteran status, but Josh P. Kennedy ($564,200) remains a contested ball beast, and therefore a Supercoach favourite. JPK still retains that incredible ability to hand off the pill despite opposition attention, and prior to last year had reeled off five consecutive 105+ seasons. I thought his form was quite good last year, but the vagaries of Supercoach scoring saw his numbers dip slightly. Expect Joey to bounce back in 2018.
Luke Parker ($546,000) is extremely under-priced and is my top overall pick from the Swannies for 2018. The young bull had a very slow start to 2017 following off-season knee surgery, but averaged 107 after the bye and has had a much better preparation this time around. Check out Thommo’s A1 review on Parks if you need further convincing.

Feeling Lucky: It’ll sound slightly crazy to say it, but Daniel Hannebery ($535,100) will be a huge point of difference in 2018. Hanners had established himself among the Supercoach elite after averaging 113 ppg across the 2015 and 2016 seasons. However, in the back half of 2017 he clearly struggled, only managing four tons in 13 games. Whether it was his interrupted pre-season, his highly publicised self-imposed drinking ban, or just run-of-the-mill aches and pains catching up with him, Hannebery would be disappointed with his returns this past year. At his best, he is a running machine and a hard nut too – a good combination for an SC mid! Monitor his preseason closely though, as it seems he’s already struggling with a calf complaint.

It’s hard to see any of Sydney’s rookie mids being of relevance this year. Jordan Dawson has accumulated huge numbers in the NEAFL (but who hasn’t?), and may be worth considering as a DPP option if he can get a run. Otherwise, move along, nothing to see here just yet.

Rucks

The rucking duties at Sydney seem like they’ll be shared between Naismith and Sinclair this year, neither of whom are consistent enough to be Supercoach relevant. With the retirement of Kurt Tippett, Darcy Cameron ($123,900) will be a popular choice at R3, in the hope that he can continue to develop and see some senior footy.

Forwards

Lock and Load: I couldn’t split them, so I’ve included both Lance Franklin ($540,500) and Isaac Heeney ($536,300) as locks. There’s not much to say about Buddy that hasn’t already been said. He’s a surefire future Hall of Famer with a huge Supercoach ceiling, as evidenced by by his three 160+ games in 2017, including a final round salvo against the Blues that included 25 touches and 10 goals. Heeney looks to be a future club captain and superstar of the league, and the scary part for the opposition is that he’s still improving. Heenz also comes with the added bonus of M/F status in 2018.

Feeling Lucky: This is definitely for those with a liking for the left-field, but in a year of thin offerings in the forward line, George Hewett ($405,800) is a man on the rise. Primarily working out of the forward pocket, Hewett bumped his SC numbers up by 18 ppg last year, mainly due to increased time roaming the midfield. A similar rise in his third season in the league would place him among the elite Supercoach forwards – that may seem far-fetched, but I really rate this kid and at this stage nothing would surprise me. Raise your hand if, at this time last year, you thought Sam Menegola would be the most expensive forward in 2018?

Not much to speak of in terms of rookie forwards at the Swans, unfortunately. Again, keep an eye out for Jordan Dawson, but otherwise look elsewhere for cows in the forward half.

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11 thoughts on “2018 Team Review – Sydney”

  1. Well done Chillo, another great write-up!

    Hewett and the Menegola comment are spot-on, although I suppose the rest of the best scorers became mids-only.

    Usually forwards can be quite inconsistent barring 2-3 players each year, so I always feel I can pick up the premiums as fallen premiums. Therefore, leaving Buddy well alone for the start of the season. He had 3 monster games, but a few ordinary ones in there too, a couple in the 40s.

    Heeney seems very likely if over the injury cloud.

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    1. Thanks Brad. I’m not starting Buddy either, for the reasons you mentioned, but I definitely intend on picking him up at some stage.

      Heeney resumed full training this week after minor knee surgery. He’s young and such a natural athlete that I have no problem putting him in from Round 1.

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  2. Great write up Chillo.

    Heeney is a start for me, Buddy will make his way in at some point too like he always does. If McVeigh goes does before Rd1, I’ll be all over Lloyd but right now, happy to let him go.

    Poor AJ has undergone the knife again this week, thankfully not his knees this time but he can’t catch a break.

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    1. Thanks Hutta. I agree with all of that strategy – great minds, etc. I saw one wag on social media wrote that AJ eats minor setbacks for breakfast. Hopefully that’s all this latest surgery is, the guy must be sick of the sight of hospitals by now.

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  3. Great write-up chillo.

    I think Tom Papley ($451,400) is one to keep an eye on as a unique DPP, he’s had a stronger preseason than last and as a favourite son at the swans will be given every chance to take his game to another level. Averaged 82ppg last year with zero preseason and his inclusion coincided with the swans going on a great run.

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    1. Interesting call, Patty. I reckon Papley is priced pretty close to his maximum, but then I looked at his stats from last year. He understandably started with two shockers (23 and 29) after coming back from injury. After that, he averaged 89 for the season, which is very respectable for a small forward in his second season.

      I won’t be doing it – the bye round alone would kill me – but big respect to anyone that does.

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    2. This is a decent call. He started attending a centre bounces regularly in the back half of last year, you can see it in his clearance stats – 36 in 2017 vs 4 in 2016. He seems to have supplanted Jack in that sort of a role.

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    3. Yeah that’s what I noticed too Sean. As K Jack’s career sets Papley may step in that role. I won’t start with him in my side but will watch the JLT to see how they use him as he builds his tank and his inside strength.

      He spent all his juniors as a midfielder too so it’s something I imagine he’d be keen on moving towards!

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  4. Great review again Chillo. Sorry for muscling in on your Swans by reviewing Parker! Should have left him for a couple of weeks!

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    1. God knows you did it better than I could have! I’m just glad I could throw a hyperlink in there and grab some “credit by proxy”. That’s a thing, isn’t it?

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      1. Thanks mate, but you are being a bit generous there. These team reviews are far more helpful than individual player reviews.

        I need to learn how to hyperlink. I am so not up with technology…

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