2UP: FEB 2

Written by Schwarzwalder on February 16 2018

The SCT Coaches just love using that Thumbs UP/DOWN function.  Can you imagine the horror of being at SCT and not being able to approve/disapprove of comments and write-ups? That’s exactly the trauma we faced in the pre-season of 2016…….

Luckily the vision for Thommo’s 2UP was born and our Coaches have felt complete once again 😉

If there are two players (or combination of players) that you just can’t seperate, enter them into the comments below.  Our SCT Coaches will guide you as best they can………..

 

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114 thoughts on “2UP: FEB 2”

  1. TU-steph martin
    TD-goldie
    Second ruck(gawn first) Taking rocky so no Ryder. Through various reasons have decide one of the above two to start with.

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  2. Looking at an underpriced premo mid to fill last premo type spot (have Patty Cripps already) – Rocky can go large but there’s his injury history, or the Bont?
    Thanks guys.

    TU – Rocky
    TD – Bont

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    1. Definitely Ellis. Has a better history (91 last year, 100 in 2015), whereas Tuohy’s history is 79, 81, 88. He’s never quite got to that ideal keeper level.

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    1. Hard to see someone who is about to enter his 9th season of AFL being able to take another overall leap to 95+ territory. He’s never demonstrated an ability to put together 22 games at this level.

      Plus, his last 2 full seasons were 2015 and 2016, where he scored 74 and 82, and his scores had WILD fluctuations (in 2016, he has 6 scores around 100-110, as well as 6 scores below 70 (3 of which were below 50)).

      Maybe if he was a lot cheaper, there’d be room to take such a risk, but he’s already priced at about $480k. Absolutely not worth it.

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  3. As a result of my last 2up post of choosing Petracca or Devon Smith it is leaning me to try and fit both in but it takes a cut out of the midfield changes the backline as some are saying the rookies arent strong in the backline.

    Beams is risky because of injury but scores so well and without rocky i feel it will be larger but a tag could come into play. Christensen also has problems with injury but when he played 22 games in 2015 he averaged 86.5 and you have to consider Brisbane came 17th that year so hopefully a better/more experienced team should equal better scoring.
    Petracca and Mcgrath are good contenders for breakouts but are awkwardly priced.
    ahhhh the struggles!!!!

    TU Original team: Beams, Christensen and 123k backline rookie. 32.4k leftover
    TD Changed team: Mid Rookie, Petracca and Mcgrath. 35.6k leftover

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    1. Thumbs down for me.

      Both Petracca and McGrath are first round draft picks.
      They are unlikely to miss games and are playing for teams on the way up. I’m not sold on Petracca (this year) McGrath could spend alot of time on the wing though. I pick him as the DEF Mid pricer of 2018.

      Beams is a champ but always seem to a miss a few games or play Injured. Christensen will burn many this year. Fagan would rather play a kid than some one who doesn’t understand the term “Forward Pressure”!

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      1. Yeah, neither option is particularly appealing. There’s every chance that all 4 of those selections (Beams, Christensen, Petracca, McGrath) will be problematic. Beams because of injury history, and the other 3 because they will all likely just fall short of what you want them in your team for (keeper / cash cow).

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        1. Every other selection is basically set in stone so these are my risks/pods to set my team out from the rest. Give it a week or two and this idea might be out the window.
          The beauty of preseason!

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  4. Thoughts on Robbie Gray- pulled out of the AFL X with a sure abductor and has had off season issues

    TU- no concern should still avg between 90-100
    TD- off-season issues to great, in addition to rockliff arriving could reduce scoring potential and see high 80’s, low 90 avg- better value elsewhere eg Mclean or (comment another name)

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  5. dont understand how people rate the likes of devon smith and mid priced fwds over walters. hell be through the midfield more this season

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    1. My concern with Walters isn’t his scoring it’s more that he’s only play 22 games in one season thus far & in playing mid is only going to get knocked around more, that being said he’s in my team currently

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    1. I won’t be starting Billings. He is on light duties after hamstring injury about a week ago. I did a quick search, from what I could see prior to last season he’s been injured every year dating back to 2013. He could start on fire and play well all year. But wait and see for me. It’s not as clear cut as above thumbs suggest.

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  6. Up: mc clean/daulhaus, parish, hewett/papley, petracca, Christensen, keefe/ any fwd took
    Down: Barlow, mc clean/daulhaus, Robinson, b.ah chee, Christensen, keefe/any fwd rook

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    1. Makes it easier just listing the different players. I.e.

      TU: Parish, Hewett/Papley, Petracca
      TD: Barlow, Robinson, B.Ah Chee

      I personally like the 2nd, should have 2 definite keepers and a stepping stone compared to 3 who may not even be keepers.

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  7. TU: M.Crouch
    TD: C.Oliver

    Adelaide con – round 14 bye
    Melbourne con – no many options to VC loophole.

    Thoughts?

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  8. What is everyone’s thoughts on Christensen,
    Will he make enough cash if averages say 75 odd over 10 games
    Or are people banking on him to do better then that?

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    1. Nope. At $267k, he’d need to average at least 85 to even come close to making $150k profit by R10.

      Not out of the question that he could average 85, but if you’re thinking he’ll average less than that, then he’s a definite NO.

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  9. T/U Petracca & Jacobs

    T/D Dahlhaus & Nic Nat

    Keeping an eye on the rumour that Nic Nat has re injured his knee today (20/02)

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    1. Sloane’s scoring is too volatile to pay over $600k for. If you really want him, wait till he throws up a couple of crap scores and drops in price (happens every year, he regularly throws up a few sub-80 scores).

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    1. Think Jacobs’ best is behind him (from a SC perspective). Goldy has something to prove after last couple of years. JLT will give us an idea as to how much they push Preuss.

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    1. Really doesn’t matter. Both should be awesome picks this year. Don’t stress it. Pick 1 and hope to get the other later (or pick both).

      Slightly leaning towards Merrett, purely due to the fact that he backed up his awesome 2016 breakout season with an equally strong 2017. There’s always a small chance that Kelly’s ‘breakout’ season last year won’t be replicated.

      #clutchingatstraws

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      1. Yep Good advice i have one in my team at the moment and will try and get the other in my team after the byes maybe after some cash cows have made some money
        Cheers David!!!!

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    1. Not really a true ‘apples vs. apples’ comparison … Dahlhaus is $65k more expensive. Assuming you can afford Dahlhaus, then if you pick Petracca, the question really is … what are you going to do with the extra cash?

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    1. If you can afford Ryder ($40k more expensive than Jacobs), and are comfortable with copping the R10 donut, then Ryder (at least you’ll have him across the multi-BYE rounds).

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    1. Potentially taking too much of a punt on Whitfield. Could end up averaging only 100-105, which would not be an ideal pick for a MID spot.

      If you don’t have many other ‘risky’ players in your lines (especially your MID line), then definitely take Rockliff.

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    1. Petracca has probably got a better chance of being a Top 10 FWD than Coniglio does of being a Top 10 MID, so definitely Petracca.

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    1. Apples and oranges.

      If you’re picking Sicily (at over $400k), you’re picking him to be a keeper.

      If you’re picking Christensen (at only $267k), you’re likely picking him to be a very expensive cash cow.

      Plus, if you’re picking Christensen, what are you planning to do with the extra $130k?

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    1. At full price, you’d be mad to start Sloane, as he frequently has up and down games, so his price will, at some point, be well down on his starting price.

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    1. Don’t like either option, but I think the ‘safer’ option is O’Meara.

      Purely and simply, I think the chance of Coniglio becoming a MID keeper (i.e.: avg 110+) is a bit lower than the chance of O’Meara being a cash cow (i.e.: 95+, make cash, trade out).

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    1. Risks from both picks. Dahlhaus is every chance of getting moved around a lot again, and stalling around avg 90. Conversely, Lambert may not take the next step up to achieve a viable FWD keeper score.

      Dahlhaus probably the ‘safer’ pick but if you’re not taking too many extra risks in your FWD line, then I’d give Lambert a go.

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    1. Walters is probably the least certain of those 4 options, so based on that, pick Greene / Curnow (and hope Greene keeps his fists in-check).

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    1. I wouldn’t be recommending more than 1 ‘high-priced’ rookie, but again, it all depends on how the rookies stack up on the other lines.

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