One of our Guest Writers, Brad, is back for more! He’s taken a closer look at some of the mid-price DEFs on offer this year……….take it away, Brad!
High-end mid-pricers usually mean that you’ll have them for most or all the season, so getting it right can make or break you. I’ve noticed a lot of SCT Coaches are tossing up a mid-price defender to enter a breakout year. While these are harder to pick than a Bernard Tomic tantrum, the most popular candidates look to be Andrew McGrath, Caleb Marchbank and James Sicily.
Here’s a quick look at some numbers to see just how good your intuition is shaping:
Andrew McGrath (Ess), Ave 70.7, $388k
The Rising Star winner had a great first season and was a standout all year. He was priced high as the #1 draft pick from 2016 and didn’t disappoint giving plenty of value. All pre-season we’ve heard that he’s going to spend more time in the middle (which Bombers aren’t?) which should give him plenty of opportunity to increase his average. However he does enter the dreaded second year and hopefully won’t suffer the R&B.
2017 Games: 20
Ave disposals: 19.8
Scores Above 90: 3
Scores Under 65: 10
Pre-bye Ave: 73.7
Post-bye Ave: 66.6
While looking at the stats, I noticed that McGrath had 4 games (out of 13) where he gathered over 20 possessions but still scored below 70. This suggests that he is a bit wasteful, but hopefully there should be some natural improvement.
Definitely one to watch.
Caleb Marchbank (Carl), Ave 69.4, $381k
The former Giant slipped into the Blues backline nicely last year and helped many coaches by scoring early, making him a nice fattened cow by the byes. But is it worth dropping him into the team again? He certainly has the potential and with a season-ending injury to The Doc and Gibbs leaving for the Crows, there could be quite a lot of opportunity for Marchbank.
2017 Games: 16
Ave disposals: 15.5
Scores Above 90: 3
Scores Under 65: 8
Pre-bye Ave: 75.6
Post-bye Ave: 59.0
It’s clear after a long season, Marchbank slowed towards the end, missing Rounds 16-18 and 21-23. He may be better with another pre-season under his wings.
He’s certainly worth watching in the JLT series, but I’m doubtful of a 20 point increase.
James Sicily (Haw), Ave 73.3 $402k
The angry man in brown and yellow will likely push the boundaries on the field and test Coaches’ patience if you’re game enough to watch him play. He gave away an amazing 7 free kicks against Carlton back in Round 22 which left him with a score of 25! Having dual position status with the forward line will help swing him around, but we SuperCoaches need him to play defence on the ground.
2017 Games: 19
Ave disposals: 18.5
Scores Above 90: 7
Scores Under 65: 9
Pre-bye Ave: 53.1
Post-bye Ave: 91.4
A huge difference between pre and post byes, where Sizzle went much better set in defence post-bye. Before the bye, his highest score was 77 in Round 4, otherwise all below 65.
If you were to take out the Blues free-kick episode, his average jumps to 98.7. Now that sounds rather appealing, but perhaps we haven’t seen the last of these cray-cray times with Sizzle.
Thanks Brad, always appreciated! If you’re interested in being a Guest Writer for SCT, then click on the link and get in touch – Schwarzwalder
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