Last Monday I used our @SC_Talk Twitter account to point out a little perspective in these chaotic early days of SuperCoach. Many Coaches (myself included) are a little annoyed that, once again, they didn’t quite ‘nail’ the starting line-up and are sitting further behind than they’d hoped. While they might be behind, I feel it’s important to put it into some sort of perspective since a lot of Coaches already seem so deflated.
The difference between #10k & #50k in the Rankings is about 350pts.
The difference between #50K & #100K in the Rankings is about 400pts.
The Season is only four Rounds in, we still have nineteen Rounds to go. According to a recent poll this week, over two-thirds of the SCT Coaches still have at least 28 trades in hand. Long way to go…….plenty of trades left over……..With a diligent trade plan and a little patience, there’s no reason you can’t chop into that points difference over the next few weeks.
I’d also like to apply a bit of perspective when assessing the early season ‘bolters’, those players that are scoring points at will in this early stage. I might make myself a little unpopular with a few predictions, but healthy debate is also an important part of our Forum here.
Keeping in mind that the greatest SuperCoach player of all-time, Gary Ablett, only cracked the 140avg for a season on one occasion (back in 2009) and that Scott ‘De-Pendlebury’ NEVER cracked the 130 season avg in his career (best was 129avg in 2011), then it’s important to view the early season bolters with a little perspective…………
Lachie Neale (BRL) – top scorer at the minute with a 146avg from his first four games with the Lions. I believe Chillo/Hutta pointed out earlier this pre-season that only Dangerfield has scored more total pts over the last three years than this man.
Has always been a SC-Gun but has taken it to another level while playing away from Nat Fyfe. Has only missed two games over the last five years so durability is rarely an issue with Neale. There’s a bit of x-factor being at a new club but I’d still expect his average to drop back to about 120ppg if he stays fit. Cemented into the Top8 MIDs.
Patrick Cripps (CAR) – We’ve been preaching about this Beast for a few years now. Mainly because his contested disposal numbers are second to none and that plays a massive part in Champion Data’s scoring system. I’m tipping Cripps to break the 130avg this season (given he stays fit, of course).
Lachie Whitfield (GWS) – If he played for a Victorian club, he’d be dubbed a ‘superstar’. Very impressive start to 2019, following on from his big finish to 2018. Is a Top6 DEF and you’ll need him at some stage but a 110-115avg is more realistic than the 129avg he’s running with at the moment.
Travis Boak (PTA) – Probably the most contentious of the current Top10 scorers. Has started the season with 119, 126, 136 & 134 and is currently the #1 FWD in a year of tough forward selections. While that sounds great, Boak has never averaged more than 106ppg in a season (reached that twice, back in 2013 & 2014) and has been on a downward trajectory ever since. He’s also averaging 34 disposals after the first month of footy, far better than his 27 disposals avg back in 2014.
Now I may upset a few Coaches here………but given the history of rare scorers over 120ppg each season and Boak’s history, I can’t see him doing better than a 105avg for the year. According to my calculations, that’d mean he averages about 100ppg for the rest of the year. For those reasons, I don’t see a need to break the bank getting him into my team too quickly.
Brodie Grundy (COL) – Absolutely baffled by those Coaches that gave up on Grundy after Rd1. Averaging 127 after four weeks of 2019 and would expect him to hold his form for the remainder of the season.
Jack Macrae (WBD) – Sitting around the same numbers as his breakout year of 2018 and expecting him to continue his form and end the season somewhere between 120 – 125ppg.
Marcus Bontempelli (WBD) – We all know how promising this fella is, I believe he’s been in all our teams at some stage over the past 2-3 years. Beveridge (Mr Magnets) has a tendency to play The Bont up forward quite a bit. Whether that was forced through injury was always a week-to-week proposition.
One thing is clear…….The Bont has played four games in the midfield in 2019 and has averaged 126 in that time. If he continues to get this much midfield time then a Top8 MID position is merely a formality. At worst, he’ll end the season with a 110avg if he’s constantly playing midfield.
Jake Lloyd (SYD) – Currently running at a 124avg. Not too sure the opposition Coaches rate him otherwise he’d cop more of a tag more often. Finished 2018 with a 112 avg and no reason he won’t repeat that again this year.
Ben Cunnington (NTH) – Knows how to find the ball and wins plenty of contested possessions but hasn’t averaged more than 96ppg in a full season. Not sure his disposals are having an impact in the Champion Data friendly fashion. Currently running at a 115avg, it’s hard to see him crack the ton over a full season.
Tom Liberatore (WBD) – Was once a Top 8 MID in the past but injuries/form/motivation have slowed him down at various stages. If you started with Libba at $300K then you’ve done well. I’d say this is the last week to jump onboard if you believe Libba will be a Top8 MID in 2019 otherwise that ship has sailedat his best he could continue on at 105-110.
Special Mention – Tom Rockliff (PTA): The ultimate burn man has now hit 29 years of age and this might just be his last crack at a big season. One thing is for sure, he’ll miss games……Rocky has only ever completed one full season so be prepared. If you started with Rocky then the gamble has paid off. If you believe he’ll continue on in this vein, then you can still get him in this week at a heavily discounted price (to his current form and his best form).
Keep things in perspective, Coaches! Good luck!
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