Back To The Future – PART FOUR (MidPrice MIDs)

Written by Schwarzwalder on March 1 2019

(Written & Created By Hot Sauce)

Hot Sauce: ‘Hey Schwarz, we better back up, we haven’t got enough road’

Schwarz: ‘Roads? Where we’re going we don’t need……roads’

 

In part 4 of Back to the Future the Mid-priced Midfielders are now under the microscope, with a reminder that a 2018 post-bye average is the basis for the discussion, which eliminates other strong mid-price midfielder selections such as Anthony Miles, Libba, Aaron Hall, Corey Ellis, George Horlin-Smith, Aaron Vandenberg and Ryan Bastinac.

 

Mid-Price Midfielders:

 

Jack Bowes (GCS, $348,100)

The 21-year-old top 10 draft pick was probably the only Suns player who would have wanted the 2018 season to continue, seemingly getting better each week and enjoying the midfield role he earned in the last three rounds. The Queensland native is the prototypical sized midfielder of modern footy, and now with three pre-seasons under his belt, he is set to be a third-year breakout candidate.

Bowes’ appeal is amplified given the lack of talent and depth at the Suns this season, which should see him receive ample opportunity to hold down a spot in the Suns midfield brigade, especially given his performance in the role late last season. Bowes was able to lift his average up 23.2% above his 2018 season average at 79.0. In the last 3 games he scored 98, 99 and 80 in the midfield role he is likely to obtain this season.

Bowes ticks the boxes when it comes to age and opportunity, but it is also his high kick to handball ratio which is appealing. If Bowes can rack up a few more tackles, it could be just what is needed to become at least a valuable stepping stone to a post-bye premium.

 Could he be the breakout player the Suns are hoping for?

 

Trent Dumont (NTH, $452,800)

 

Trent Dumont was a shining light during the back-end of North’s 2018 season, gaining more midfield minutes and putting in excellent performances including a 38 disposal and whopping 162 SC points round 23 effort in a win against the Saints. The hard-working mid doesn’t depend on his disposal count to ensure a good SC score with strong tackling, averaging 4 per game.

Entering his 6th season he is beginning to enter his prime years and despite the inclusions of midfield free agents, he is set to continue in a midfield role and one that could see him maintain his 2018 post-bye averages. Dumont averaged 93.9 post-bye last season at 12.6% above his 2018 average while averaging 119.0 over the last 4 games of the season with scores of 132, 85, 97 and 162.

Dumont is currently at 0% ownership due to his extremely awkward price, but based purely on his post-bye averages last season, he could well be an extremely handy POD for the bravest of SC coaches out there.

 Are you brave enough to select this uber-pod?

 

 

Honorable Mentions

 

2018 post-bye avg

vs 2019 Price

vs 2018 avg

Atkins

85.9

12.1%

12.2%

Berry

89.4

11.8%

11.8%

Brayshaw

66.8

10.4%

10.4%

McCluggage

84.7

10.3%

10.3%

 

 

Jack Viney (Mel, $449,500)

Jack is the classic hard-as-nails footballer, that no matter who you support, demands your respect and admiration. The Dees co-captain was the #1 ranked player in the AFL for Centre Clearances per game while also ranking 4th in clearances per game and 10th in contested possessions per game.

Viney forms one of the hardest and most formidable trio’s in the middle of the ground with Oliver and Gawn which enables Viney to excel in the thick of the contest. Viney’s post-bye average is a solid 7.9% above his 2018 average, but the true appeal of his selection comes from his low price. Due to his 2018 finals scores, Viney’s 2018 post-bye average is a huge 19.2% above his current price point (~82.8).

It’s that price that makes Viney hard to pass this season, picking a potential premium midfielder for just under $450k is a steal, with the risk being his injury track record having played over 20 games only twice in his six-season career to date.

 

If his pre-season health is good, would you back him in and select him?

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