Captaincy Projections Rd10 – PART TWO

Written by Schwarzwalder on May 21 2019

RD10 Projections Part 2 (Adel VS WC, GC VS Geel and Rich VS Ess)

Part 2 Answers-

1. Which player averages 94 in his last 3 encounters against his RD10 opponent?

B. Z Merrett

 

2. Who averages 120+ at his home ground in 2019?

C. R Sloane

 

3. Which player is averaging 115+ in wins in 2019?

B. S Hurn

 

Adelaide VS West Coast at AO

M Crouch:

Avg VS WC since 2017: 136 from 2 (low of 126 and a high of 146)

2018 AO Avg: 105.2 from 10 (3/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

2019 AO Avg: 103.2 from 5 (2/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2018 AO Wins Avg: 106 from 7 (2/7 below 100, 4/7 120+)

2019 AO Wins Avg: 86.33 from 3 (2/3 below 100)

2018 AO Losses Avg: 103.33 from 3 (1/3 below 100)

2019 AO Losses Avg: 128.5 from 2 (1/2 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 104.67 from 9 (3/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 91.8 from 5 (3/5 below 100)

2018 Losses Avg: 98.44 from 9 (3/9 below 100)

2019 Losses Avg: 115.67 from 3 (1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

 

R Laird:

Avg VS WC since 2015: 95.17 from 6 (low of 72 and a high of 112, 3/6 below 100)

Last 3 VS WC: 88.33 from 3 (low of 72 and a high of 111, 2/3 below 100)

2018 AO Avg: 108.17 from 12 (4/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

2019 AO Avg: 94.8 from 5 (3/5 below 100)

2018 AO Wins Avg: 109.75 from 8 (2/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

2019 AO Wins Avg: 96 from 3 (2/3 below 100)

2018 AO Losses Avg: 105 from 4 (2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

2019 AO Losses Avg: 93 from 2 (1/2 below 100)

2018 Wins Avg: 111.83 from 12 (2/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 100.2 from 5 (3/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 102.88 from 8 (5/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 95.25 from 4 (2/4 below 100)

 

R Sloane:

Avg VS WC since 2012: 117.25 from 8 (low of 89 and a high of 141, 1/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

Last 3 VS WC: 111 from 3 (low of 89 and a high of 130, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2018 AO Avg: 100.43 from 7 (3/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

2019 AO Avg: 123 from 5 (2/5 120+)

2018 AO Wins Avg: 115.6 from 5 (1/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)

2019 AO Wins Avg: 117.67 from 3 (0/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2018 AO Losses Avg: 62.5 from 2 (2/2 below 100)

2019 AO Losses Avg: 131 from 2 (1/2 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 105.71 from 7 (2/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 107.2 from 5 (1/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 83.8 from 5 (4/5 below 100)

2019 Losses Avg: 118.5 from 4 (1/4 below 100, 2/4 120+)

 

BSmith:

Avg VS WC since 2014: 85.4 from 5 (low of 68 and a high of 126, 4/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

Last 3 VS WC: 92 from 3 (low of 68 and a high of 126, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2019 AO Avg: 84.8 from 5 (4/5 below 100)

2019 AO Wins Avg: 91.67 from 3 (2/3 below 100)

2019 AO Losses Avg: 74.5 from 2 (2/2 below 100)

2019 Wins Avg: 95.8 from 5 (3/5 below 100)

2019 Losses Avg: 87.25 from 4 (3/4 below 100)

 

S Hurn:

Avg VS Adel since 2009: 87.91 from 11 (low of 56 and a high of 1016, 8/11 below 100)

Last 3 VS Adel: 108 from 3 (low of 95 and a high of 116, 1/3 below 100)

2018 Interstate Avg: 93.7 from 10 (6/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)

2019 Interstate Avg: 110.75 from 4 (0/4 below 100)

2018 Wins Avg: 97.75 from 16 (8/16 below 100, 2/16 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 117.33 from 6 (2/6 below 100, 2/6 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 92.83 from 6 (4/6 below 100)

2019 Losses Avg: 116 from 3 (1/3 below 100)

 

E Yeo:

Avg VS Adel since 2017: 85.5 from 2 (low of 77 and a high of 94)

2018 Interstate Avg: 107.1 from 10 (4/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

2019 Interstate Avg: 99.75 from 4 (2/4 below 100)

2018 Wins Avg: 104.06 from 16 (6/16 below 100, 4/16 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 109 from 6 (2/6 below 100, 2/6 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 118 from 6 (1/6 below 100, 3/6 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 95 from 3 (2/3 below 100)

 

Gold Coast VS Geelong at Metricon

G Ablett:

Avigh of 117)

2018 Interstate Avg: 97.5 from 4 (2/4 below 100)

2019 Interstate Avg: 80 from 1

2018 Wins Avg: 109.7 from 10 (4/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 92.13 from 8 (5/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 103.5 from 8 (4/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 106 from 1

 

P Dangerfield:

Avg VS GC since 2012: 126.2 from 10 (low of 90 and a high of 187, 3/10 below 100, 5/10 120+)

Last 3 VS GC: 132.33 from 3 (low of 100 and a high of 187, 1/3 120+)

2018 Interstate Avg: 119.4 from 5 (2/5 120+)

2019 Interstate Avg: 128 from 1

2018 Wins Avg: 120.58 from 12 (1/12 below 100, 5/12 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 105 from 8 (4/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 123.11 from 9 (1/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 66 from 1

 

T Kelly:

Avg VS GC since 2018: 108.5 from 2 (low of 87 and a high of 130)

2018 Interstate Avg: 95.2 from 5 (3/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2019 Interstate Avg: 107 from 1

2018 Wins Avg: 94.69 from 13 (8/13 below 100, 2/13 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 113.5 from 8 (2/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 91 from 9 (5/9 below 100)

2019 Losses Avg: 39 from 1

 

J Selwood:

Avg VS GC since 2011: 119.5 from 10 (low of 73 and a high of 154, 2/10 below 100, 5/10 120+)

Last 3 VS GC: 110 from 3 (low of 95 and a high of 133, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2018 Interstate Avg: 102.6 from 5 (2/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)

2019 Interstate Avg: 46 from 1

2018 Wins Avg: 100.15 from 13 (6/13 below 100, 4/13 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 90.33 from 6 (5/6 below 100)

2018 Losses Avg: 112.22 from 9 (3/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 76 from 1

 

                                                                                                                                                             Richmond VS Essendon at MCG

D Martin:

from 3 (low of 85 and a high of 138, 1/3 below 100, 2/3 120+)

2018 MCG Avg: 103.71 from 14 (8/14 below 100, 3/14 120+)

2019 MCG Avg: 98 from 4 (2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

2018 MCG Wins Avg: 103.71 from 14 (8/14 below 100, 3/14 120+)

2019 MCG Wins Avg: 108.67 from 3 (1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2018 MCG Losses Avg: 0 from 0

2019 MCG Losses Avg: 66 from 1

2018 Wins Avg: 100.44 from 18 (11/18 below 100, 5/18 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 108 from 5 (2/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 124.33 from 3 (1/3 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 74.67 from 3 (3/3 below 100)

 

Z Merrett:

Avg VS Rich since 2016: 98.8 from 5 (low of 74 and a high of 138, 3/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

Last 3 VS Rich: 94 from 3 (low of 87 and a high of 102, 2/3 below 100)

2018 MCG Avg: 103 from 8 (3/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

2019 MCG Avg: 114 from 4 (2/4 below 100, 2/4 120+)

2018 MCG Wins Avg: 118 from 1                                                                    

2019 MCG Wins Avg: 137.5 from 2 (2/2 120+)

2018 MCG Losses Avg: 100.86 from 7 (3/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

2019 MCG Losses Avg: 90.5 from 2 (2/2 below 100)

2018 Wins Avg: 103.58 from 12 (2/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 132.4 from 5 (5/5 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 96.5 from 10 (5/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 89 from 4 (3/4 below 100)

 

RD10 Part 3 (Melb VS GWS, StK VS Carl, Freo VS Bris) Questions

1. Which player has scored 3 consecutive scores below 100 against his RD10 opponent?

A. D Zorko

B. T McDonald

C. N Fyfe

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7 thoughts on “Captaincy Projections Rd10 – PART TWO”

  1. Adam, I sincerely love and appreciate fact that you put in so much effort and crunch the numbers so regularly. However, don’t you think that you could condense these threads a little by omitting captaincy options such as Westhoff and Tom McDonald who nobody would use? It would save all of us a little time and you a lot of effort.

    Cheers

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    1. Yeah, streamline it a little and be more decisive. You’re a wizard, Adam- just tell us who to captain, we trust your wizardry.

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      1. Thanks to both for the suggestions. I could streamline/reduce the options listed as some will have diminished relevancy whether in regards to captaincy or upgrade targets etc but removing several options/players means it will become too similar to the captains table article. Schwarz had suggested that I forego the captaincy/projections article this season and instead deliver an upgrade target article but I preferred this option.

        Some of the obsecure or unorthodox options are mainly listed in relation to upgrade targets, draft selections or just a rough prediction of what some selections could score that aren’t considered a captaincy option.

        This season condensing it into 3 articles rather than 1 incorporated in the captains table column (as was utilised last season) has been beneficial as splitting it across the round in instalments achieves the aim of condensing. Also utilising the projections as a precursor to the captains table provides reassurance in the proposed options.

        Post byes or in the last month some of the obsecure or irrelevant options will likely start to be phased out.

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        1. Love your work Adam, definitely use your articles as a reference tool. When I’m deciding on my VC/C picks can’t get better info. Love the quiz as well highlights the anonomlies

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          1. Same. Great stuff Adam. Haven’t commented for a while, but be sure I study each and every one of these. SO useful.

            Grundy into hopefully nobody this week!

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  2. I certainly will give Hurn deep consideration if his high is actually 1016!

    Love your work – my go-to captains choices article.

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