Defender TLAs Batch #5

Written by Father Dougal on February 13 2020

Hi Everybody!

Here is the next batch of defenders. Again, this is just my personal guessing, and not anything derived from math. 

Kade Simpson

Year Games Average Age TLA
2005 15 63.5 20
2006 22 92.7 21
2007 22 88.8 22
2008 22 85.1 23
2009 22 94 24 94
2010 22 99.8 25 95
2011 22 94.5 26 96
2012 19 93.7 27 96
2013 22 95.1 28 96
2014 22 95.4 29 96
2015 20 92.7 30 96
2016 22 106.4 31 96
2017 22 93.9 32 95
2018 21 105 33 94
2019 18 81.5 34 80
70-80 75

He is going to be 35 this season. He’s been amazing to get this far and do so well. His two best season averages were at 31 and 33, which most players could not manage because they would have already retired. It does look like he got hit by a beer truck at 34, so hard to take him this season at 35. I wouldn’t be shocked if he puts up a score over 82, but I wouldn’t dream of risking him in my team. 

Jeremy Howe

Year Games Average Age TLA
2011 13 63.6 20
2012 22 79.1 21
2013 21 72.5 22
2014 22 85.4 23
2015 22 74.8 24
2016 20 92 25 92
2017 21 94.1 26 92
2018 17 91.6 27 91
2019 19 79.5 28 90
83-90 88

When he was 25, taking him when priced at 75 would have been a tolerable risk. At 29, taking him priced at 80 is harder to swallow. I feel like he will bounce back some, but he’s missed a lot of time over the last two seasons and I’d rather take a chance on someone younger. 

Darcy Moore

Year Games Average Age TLA
2015 9 53.9 19
2016 17 57.5 20
2017 21 61.5 21
2018 7 49 22
2019 15 74.7 23 75
74-82 77

Hey, someone younger. But, still more than a little injury prone. He’d have to improve both his health and average to work out, and while he could, it does not seem the way to bet. 

Alex Witherden

Year Games Average Age TLA
2017 9 87.1 18 79
2018 21 83.8 19 79
2019 21 72.3 20 79
72-87 79

Even younger still!  21 games in each of the last two seasons is good. The 11 point drop in average last season was not good. He would have to improve close to 20 points to be worthwhile, but that’s not impossible. I feel like maybe with good news from the pre-season and a role that suits, maybe. 

Connor Blakely

Year Games Average Age TLA
2015 1 37 18
2016 15 73.6 19 75
2017 17 89.2 20 85
2018 13 85.1 21 85
2019 14 75.8 22 85
75-85 85

With an average games played of 14.75 over the last four season, he’s not looking like a good risk, even if he averages wre better. 

Wayne Milera

Year Games Average Age TLA
2016 8 51.6 18
2017 16 58.6 19
2018 19 79.8 20 77
2019 17 74.1 21 77
73-80 77

I feel like he is so close to being a good pick. A bit too hurt, and a bit too poor scoring. I keep hearing he has a lot of potential, and he might, but without seeing some of that potential, hard to take him. Only 22 though. 

Ryan Burton

Year Games Average Age TLA
2016 3 52 19
2017 20 83.7 20 75
2018 21 65.7 21 75
2019 16 74 22 75
72-80 75

I find it telling that people are talking about Houston and DBJ score when he is playing or not, rather than about how Burton scores when they are playing or not. How far back are you overall when you are the third best breakout contender in defense for the Power?

That’s it for defenders for now. If I missed anyone I’ll do a catch up post later on. 

Remember the Craggy Island Guarantee, All predictions wrong or triple your money back!

Thanks for reading!

 

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8 thoughts on “Defender TLAs Batch #5”

  1. Great stuff FD

    Laird, Sicily and Doc are my starting defensive Premo’s.

    They are all under priced, and if stay fit should be top 6/8 defenders.

    I like Williams ,Daniel, Ryan / Houston as upgrade targets.

    Thanks for punching the numbers.

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      1. Sprinter.

        Yeah I will keep an eye on” The Seagull”

        When Dawson played down back towards the end of last year Lloyd dropped off a fair bit.

        I have feeling Sydney may fall off a bit this year also, he maybe forced to play a bit more midfield / wing. I’m just not sure how this will affect his scoring.

        If he does maintain his Backline distributor role, well then he will almost certainly be top 6/8 for Defenders.

        A little too much doubt to start him at $591 000

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  2. Love it Father! Any chance you could do a write up for Brad Sheppard in your catch up post later?
    Not quite SC relevant but almost.

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