Hi Everybody!
Here is the next batch of defenders. Again, this is just my personal guessing, and not anything derived from math.
Kade Simpson
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2005 | 15 | 63.5 | 20 | |
2006 | 22 | 92.7 | 21 | |
2007 | 22 | 88.8 | 22 | |
2008 | 22 | 85.1 | 23 | |
2009 | 22 | 94 | 24 | 94 |
2010 | 22 | 99.8 | 25 | 95 |
2011 | 22 | 94.5 | 26 | 96 |
2012 | 19 | 93.7 | 27 | 96 |
2013 | 22 | 95.1 | 28 | 96 |
2014 | 22 | 95.4 | 29 | 96 |
2015 | 20 | 92.7 | 30 | 96 |
2016 | 22 | 106.4 | 31 | 96 |
2017 | 22 | 93.9 | 32 | 95 |
2018 | 21 | 105 | 33 | 94 |
2019 | 18 | 81.5 | 34 | 80 |
70-80 | 75 |
He is going to be 35 this season. He’s been amazing to get this far and do so well. His two best season averages were at 31 and 33, which most players could not manage because they would have already retired. It does look like he got hit by a beer truck at 34, so hard to take him this season at 35. I wouldn’t be shocked if he puts up a score over 82, but I wouldn’t dream of risking him in my team.
Jeremy Howe
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2011 | 13 | 63.6 | 20 | |
2012 | 22 | 79.1 | 21 | |
2013 | 21 | 72.5 | 22 | |
2014 | 22 | 85.4 | 23 | |
2015 | 22 | 74.8 | 24 | |
2016 | 20 | 92 | 25 | 92 |
2017 | 21 | 94.1 | 26 | 92 |
2018 | 17 | 91.6 | 27 | 91 |
2019 | 19 | 79.5 | 28 | 90 |
83-90 | 88 |
When he was 25, taking him when priced at 75 would have been a tolerable risk. At 29, taking him priced at 80 is harder to swallow. I feel like he will bounce back some, but he’s missed a lot of time over the last two seasons and I’d rather take a chance on someone younger.
Darcy Moore
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2015 | 9 | 53.9 | 19 | |
2016 | 17 | 57.5 | 20 | |
2017 | 21 | 61.5 | 21 | |
2018 | 7 | 49 | 22 | |
2019 | 15 | 74.7 | 23 | 75 |
74-82 | 77 |
Hey, someone younger. But, still more than a little injury prone. He’d have to improve both his health and average to work out, and while he could, it does not seem the way to bet.
Alex Witherden
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2017 | 9 | 87.1 | 18 | 79 |
2018 | 21 | 83.8 | 19 | 79 |
2019 | 21 | 72.3 | 20 | 79 |
72-87 | 79 |
Even younger still! 21 games in each of the last two seasons is good. The 11 point drop in average last season was not good. He would have to improve close to 20 points to be worthwhile, but that’s not impossible. I feel like maybe with good news from the pre-season and a role that suits, maybe.
Connor Blakely
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2015 | 1 | 37 | 18 | |
2016 | 15 | 73.6 | 19 | 75 |
2017 | 17 | 89.2 | 20 | 85 |
2018 | 13 | 85.1 | 21 | 85 |
2019 | 14 | 75.8 | 22 | 85 |
75-85 | 85 |
With an average games played of 14.75 over the last four season, he’s not looking like a good risk, even if he averages wre better.
Wayne Milera
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2016 | 8 | 51.6 | 18 | |
2017 | 16 | 58.6 | 19 | |
2018 | 19 | 79.8 | 20 | 77 |
2019 | 17 | 74.1 | 21 | 77 |
73-80 | 77 |
I feel like he is so close to being a good pick. A bit too hurt, and a bit too poor scoring. I keep hearing he has a lot of potential, and he might, but without seeing some of that potential, hard to take him. Only 22 though.
Ryan Burton
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2016 | 3 | 52 | 19 | |
2017 | 20 | 83.7 | 20 | 75 |
2018 | 21 | 65.7 | 21 | 75 |
2019 | 16 | 74 | 22 | 75 |
72-80 | 75 |
I find it telling that people are talking about Houston and DBJ score when he is playing or not, rather than about how Burton scores when they are playing or not. How far back are you overall when you are the third best breakout contender in defense for the Power?
That’s it for defenders for now. If I missed anyone I’ll do a catch up post later on.
Remember the Craggy Island Guarantee, All predictions wrong or triple your money back!
Thanks for reading!
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Great stuff FD
Laird, Sicily and Doc are my starting defensive Premo’s.
They are all under priced, and if stay fit should be top 6/8 defenders.
I like Williams ,Daniel, Ryan / Houston as upgrade targets.
Thanks for punching the numbers.
No Lloyd Freo?
Sprinter.
Yeah I will keep an eye on” The Seagull”
When Dawson played down back towards the end of last year Lloyd dropped off a fair bit.
I have feeling Sydney may fall off a bit this year also, he maybe forced to play a bit more midfield / wing. I’m just not sure how this will affect his scoring.
If he does maintain his Backline distributor role, well then he will almost certainly be top 6/8 for Defenders.
A little too much doubt to start him at $591 000
You are very welcome!
Hello Father, great articles , do you intend to to follow up on the other positions.
I do. Forwards next, then the Mids. Not sure about Rucks.
Great stuff FD. More confused than ever on starting DEF premos! 😉
Love it Father! Any chance you could do a write up for Brad Sheppard in your catch up post later?
Not quite SC relevant but almost.