Eagling’s LoEC2 Wrap – R14

Written by Motts on July 2 2015

Round 13 Review

The Holyhead Harpies are in crisis mode after their players emphatically voted with their feet, showing their lack of confidence with their coach as the team was pulverised by the surging Demons of Darch to the tune of a 337 point loss.  Captain Nat Fyfe showed his magnificent credentials in defeat, and was superbly supported by the maligned Jack Newnes, whilst Scott Pendlebury and Dane Swan battled manfully.  Patrick Cripps showed up many of his higher profile teammates, battling to 82 despite being shrouded by Andrew Raines; whilst new recruits Kane Lambert, Luke Hodge and Jack Steele barely fired a shot between them.  Added to this calamitous mix, Rory Sloane has a lengthy stint on the sidelines and Eagling got only 5 predictions right for the LoEC clashes in round 13.

Sitting at 16th place, the Harpies are not giving up on finals yet; although they’ll probably have to win all 5 remaining games.

Round 14 is make or break time for the Harpies.  Tom Rockliff will hopefully return, and the Harpies look to acquire GAJ for the run home.

Results Round 12 
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Results Round 13  
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Loec 14

Round 14 Preview

teamcustard (11) v Holyhead Harpies (16)
PODS:  Shaw, Lever, Simpson, Pittard, Selwood, Beams, Kennedy, Kavanagh, Neale, Dumont, Heeney, Read, Bontempelli, Dahlhaus v Newnes, McKenzie, Hibberd, Pearce, Oxley, Hodge, Birchall, Higgins, Wines, Rockliff, Cox, Gawn, Krakouer, Edwards

This is it.  Last chance saloon for the Harpies, and they have a team that matches up well for this one.  Don’t win here, and they might have to start worrying about avoiding the wooden spoon rather than finals.  I’m predicting a win to the away side.

The Brown Shorts (10) v MaxPowerExperience (4)

PODS:  Smith, Saad, Yeo, Lumumba, Sloane, Barlow, Hannebery, Maric, Steele, Franklin, Tarrant, Clark v Shaw, Hibberd, Pearce, Houli, Boston, Dangerfield, Wines, Goldstein, Goddard, Krakouer, Dahlhaus, Dale

Looks like a pretty cozy win to the away side in this encounter.

LI’L SEBASTIAN (7) v Demons of Darch (9)

PODS:  Shaw, Pearce, Houli, Edwards, Laird, Kavanagh, Amon, Watson, Adamson, Maric, Mitchell, Clark, Deledio v Hamling, Newnes, Lever, McKenzie, Simpson, Kennedy, Parker, Heeney, Naitanui, Bontempelli, Dahlhaus, McGovern, Lonie

Both sides have to deal with Rory Sloane and Lance Franklin; with Lonie rather than Clark; the Demons might have a bit more flexibility in this area.  I reckon the away side will pull ahead and end up in the winners circle.

RELIEABLES (1) v The Convict (14)

PODS:  Hamling, Smith, Newnes, Shaw, Lever, Simpson, Houli, Langdon, Pendlebury, Priddis, Treloar, Steven, Read, Jacobs, Gray, Lambert, McGovern, Zorko v McKenzie, Gibson, Oxley, McIntosh, Pittard, Edwards, Picken, Colquhoun, Laird, Beams, Griffen, Parker, Dumont, Lewis, Biggs, Maric, Cox, Mitchell, Franklin

RELIEABLES are living up to their name, first in the league and sitting pretty at 11th overall in the world and 1st in the league overall.  The Convict’s record isn’t quite so illustrious, but with a massive 18 points of difference, including 8 in defence, anything could happen, but I believe the RELIEABLES should have an easy win; Pendlebury, Priddis, Treloar, Steven are probably a class above Beams, Griffen, Parker and Lewis; in addition, the RELIEABLES have Robbie Gray whilst The Convict has to deal with the absence of Lance Franklin.

Sean’s Mob (3) v Armchair Sportsman (12)

PODS:  Simpson, Gibson, Hibberd, Murphy, Beams, Boston, Cripps, Priddis, Sheed, Read, Franklin, Lambert, Dale, Harvey, Riewoldt v McKenzie, McIntosh, Hodge, Picken, Pearce, Dangerfield, Ellis-Yolmen, Griffen, Neale, Lewis, Glenn, Cox, Bontempelli, Goddard, Lamb, Motlop

As the season enters the home stretch, we begin to get an idea about which teams we’ll need to look out for in the finals.  Sean’s Mob is one of those teams; they’ll look to prove their credentials here with a win; although they’ll be stretched by the absence of Lance Franklin; but if we’re being honest, Jordan Lewis and Ryan Griffen just about make up for that.

2 Boyds, 1 Cup (13) v wobblesbegone (6)

PODS:  Lever, McKenzie, Simpson, Hibberd, Docherty, Birchall, Kennedy, Wines, Treloar, Neal-Bullen, Goldstein, Read, Lambert, Goddard, Dahlhaus v Hamling, Saad, McIntosh, Sheppard, McDonald, Dangerfield, Cripps, Griffen, Amon, Priddis, O’Brien, Blicavs, Swan, Franklin, McLean

I reckon the home side has this one; I think Priddis will have a rare bad game; McDonald has fallen from the lofty heights of earlier in the season, and Franklin is missing.

Small Victories (8) v Tankers (2)

PODS:  Simpson, Hibberd, Pearce, Ibbotson, Beams, Parker, Hannebery, Stretch, Jacobs, Steele, Mitchell, Lambert, Dahlhaus v Newnes, Lever, McKenzie, Oxley, Yeo, Murphy, Dangerfield, Cripps, Ellis-Yolmen,Bontempelli,  Lonie, Zorko, Tarrant

Tankers is undoubtedly the Goliath of LoEC 2; in round 10, sitting first, they were knocked off their perch by David MK I, the then 14th placed Demons of Darch.  Last week was something even more incredible; in one of the upsets of the season, the first placed Tankers were stunned by 17th place Bring Back Ratts.  Meanwhile, Small Victories is still running a 3 premium ruck lineup.  I reckon the home side will just scrape through.

Bring Back Ratts (17) v 500Miles (18)
PODS:  Hamling, Smith, Simpson, Oxley, Goddard, Rance, Selwood, Beams, Boston, Dangerfield, Wines, Anderson, Jacobs, McGovern, Dale, Zorko, Adams v Shaw, Lever, McKenzie, Gibson, Yeo, Pittard, Kennedy, Cripps, Kavanagh, Lewis, Amon, Barlow, Shiel, Maric, Dahlhaus, Smith, Hannath

Correlation cannot possibly equal causation, but it seems to me that since Mick Malthouse was turfed out of Carlton Football Club, Bring Back Ratts have performed better on the Supercoach front.  They pushed Small Victories to the limit, losing by 2 points in round 12 before producing the upset of the season against Tankers.  Now they have an excellent chance to put some distance between themselves and the bottom placed 500Miles; and perhaps even threaten the lower reaches of the bottom 8.  They’re probably too low for a top 8 push, but I don’t know enough about mathematics to definitively state that.  I reckon BBR will win a second game on the trot this weekend. [Ed: Go BBR!!!]

Jetz (5) v Mack Attack (15)

PODS:  Shaw, McKenzie, Houli, Saad, Hodge, Edwards, Beams, Ward, Goldstein, Cox, Bontempelli, Mitchell, Dale, Lonie v Simpson, Pearce, Gibson, Oxley, Lumumba, Cripps, Ellis-Yolmen, Watson, Boak, Read, Maric, Franklin, Lambert, Zorko

I reckon the home side should win here.

Looking ahead

The (Supercoach) season is about 2/3rds of the way through; this is the table so far.

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6 thoughts on “Eagling’s LoEC2 Wrap – R14”

  1. I don’t recall suffering the embarrassment of losing to Ratts – maybe i’m suffering from concussion or is it denial…

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