Elite Numbers ’19 – Dylan Roberton (STK)

Written by Schwarzwalder on March 12 2019

(Written & Created By Adam)

Will he get the all-clear from the Medicos?

 

Premium History

2015: 90.6 from 20

2017: 92.59 from 22

 

Avg at Venue:

Marvel: 94.13 from 24 (17/24 below 100, 2/24 120+)

2015: 92.3 from 10

2017: 95.43 from 14

 

Interstate: 85.14 from 14 (11/14 below 100, 2/14 120+)

2015: 77.75 from 8

2017: 95 from 6

 

Marvel Wins: 94.36 from 11 (8/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

2015: 98.5 from 2

2017: 93.44 from 9

 

Marvel Losses: 93.92 from 13 (9/13 below 100, 1/13 120+)

2015: 90.75 from 8

2017: 99 from 5

                                                          

Wins: 96.56 from 16 (11/16 below 100, 3/16 120+)

2015: 99 from 5

2017: 95.45 from 11

 

Losses: 88.62 from 26 918/26 below 100, 3/26 120+)

2015: 87.8 from 15 (12/15 below 100, 3/15 120+)

2017: 89.73 from 11 (6/11 below 100)

 

Pre Bye: 95.5 from 20 (13/20 below 100, 4/20 120+)

2015: 86.3 from 10

2017: 104.7 from 10

 

Post Bye: 88.14 from 22 (16/22 below 100, 2/22 120+)

2015: 94.9 from 10

2017: 82.5 from 12

 

2017 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 23.09

SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 24: 107 from 10 (low of 82 and a high of 149, 3/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

SC Avg when disposals below 24: 80.58 from 12 (low of 31 and a high of 119, 11/12 below 100)

Kicks: 17.5

SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 18: 104.93 from 14 (low of 82 and a high of 149, 6/14 below 100, 2/14 120+)

SC Avg when kicks below 18: 71 from 8 (low of 31 and a high of 85)

Handballs: 5.59

SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 6: 91.64 from 11 (low of 60 and a high of 126, 6/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

SC Avg when handballs below 6: 93.55 from 11 (low of 51 and a high of 149, 8/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

Marks: 6.23

SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 7: 108.18 from 11 (low of 81 and a high of 149, 3/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

SC Avg when marks below 7: 77 from 11 (low of 31 and a high of 96)

Contested Possessions: 5

SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 5: 101.33 from 12 (low of 78 and a high of 149, 6/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)

SC Avg when contested possessions below 5: 82.1 from 10 (low of 31 and a high of 119, 8/10 below 100)

Tackles: 1.73

SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 2: 102.67 from 10 (low of 60 and a high of 149, 5/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)

SC Avg when tackles below 2: 80.5 from 10 (low of 31 and a high of 100, 9/10 below 100)

Clangers: 2.32

SC Avg when clangers below 3: 94.08 from 13 (low of 60 and a high of 149, 9/13 below 100, 2/13 120+)

SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 3: 90.44 from 9 (low of 31 and a high of 119, 5/9 below 100)

Time on Ground%: 86.95%

SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 87%: 102.17 from 12 (low of 78 and a high of 149, 6/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)

SC Avg when time on ground below 87%: 81.1 from 10 (low of 31 and a high of 126, 8/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)

 

Disposal Efficiency%: 78.64%

Contested Possession Rate%: 24.39%

 

Premium Career Stat Averages:

Disposals:

2015: 20.7

2017: 23.09

 

Kicks:

2015: 13.9

2017: 17.5

 

Handballs:

2015: 6.8

2017: 5.59

 

Marks:

2015: 5.95

2017: 6.23

 

Contested Possessions:

2015: 5.2

2017: 5

 

Tackles:

2015: 2.5

2017: 1.73

 

Clangers:

2015: 2.05

2017: 2.32

 

Time on Ground %:

2015: 84.45%

2017: 86.95%

 

Disposal Efficiency%:

2015: 80.19%

2017: 78.64%

 

Contested Possession Rate%:

2015: 27.37%

2017: 24.39%

 

Observations:

7.94 win/loss differential.

7.36 pre-bye/post bye differential.

 

An irregular heartbeat caused D Roberton to miss the majority of the 2018 season and he comes into 2019 at a heavily discounted price after averaging 90+ in 2 of the previous 3 seasons. There are several deterrents which include the performance of Webster in his absence and if Roberton can return to his previous output as well as if the Saints decide to limit his minutes or closely monitor/manage him throughout the season, but these could be outweighed by his low price and potential output which minimises the risk.

Verdict: Strongly consider for D3-D5.

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8 thoughts on “Elite Numbers ’19 – Dylan Roberton (STK)”

  1. Was solidly my D4, until the news regarding his heart. I just don’t think you can start him, with the risk of him possibly being forced into an early retirement.
    If he does play, the Saints are missing a couple of key defenders, so he may have to play a lockdown role. In saying that, his JLT form was very good.

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    1. Yeah, I had him as D4 and he started JLT2 really well. Still really want to start him provided is up for R1 and confidently cleared of any serious issues.

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  2. No chance for my team now. Seems like his physical health is of primary concern now. Shame to see someone’s body just not allow them a clean run at it.

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  3. Was thoroughly sold on him as a D4/5 until the news came through. It will be an interesting decision if he does get up for round 1.

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