Elite Numbers ’19 – Jack Macrae (WBD)

Written by Schwarzwalder on March 18 2019

(Written & Created By Adam)

Gun Midfielder………

 

Premium History (Avg>100):

2014: 100.10 from 21

2017: 106.91 from 22

2018: 127.05 from 19

 

Avg VS Opponent:

Adel: 127.33 from 3 (low of 87 and a high of 177, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Bris: 141.25 from 4 (low of 121 and a high of 162, 4/4 120+)

Carl: 119.75 from 4 (low of 104 and a high of 141, 2/4 120+)

Coll: 98.33 from 3 (low of 92 and a high of 102, 1/3 below 100)

Ess: 114.5 from 4 (low of 91 and a high of 136, 1/4 below 100, 2/4 120+)

Freo: 97 from 3 (low of 85 and a high of 108, 2/3 below 100)

Geel: 77.5 from 2 (low of 71 and a high of 84)

GC: 141.5 from 4 (low of 97 and a high of 189, 1/4 below 100, 2/4 120+)

GWS: 94 from 5 (low of 61 and a high of 124, 2/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)

Haw: 109.5 from 2 (low of 100 and a high of 119)

Melb: 91.4 from 5 (low of 56 and a high of 131, 3/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

NM: 117 from 4 (low of 86 and a high of 153, 1/4 below 100, 2/4 120+)

Port: 108 from 4 (low of 51 and a high of 147, 2/4 below 100, 2/4 120+)

Rich: 133 from 3 (low of 117 and a high of 163, 1/3 120+)

StK: 95.33 from 3 (low of 80 and a high of 121, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Syd: 107.75 from 4 (low of 98 and a high of 123, 1/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

WC: 103 from 5 (low of 74 and a high of 142, 2/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

 

Avg at Venue:

Marvel: 105.47 from 34 (12/34 below 100, 10/34 120+)

2014: 95.46 from 13

2017: 98.27 from 11

2018: 126.4 from 10

 

Interstate: 113.39 from 18 (5/18 below 100, 6/18 120+)

2014: 115.83 from 6

2017: 118 from 7

2018: 104 from 5

 

Marvel Wins: 112.82 from 17 (4/17 below 100, 7/17 120+)

2014: 89 from 4

2017: 107.14 from 7

2018: 135.33 from 6

 

Marvel Losses: 98.92 from 17 (8/17 below 100, 3/17 120+)

2014: 98.33 from 9

2017: 82.75 from 4

2018: 113 from 4

 

Wins: 119.36 from 25 (6/25 below 100, 12/25 120+)

2014: 106.71 from 7

2017: 112.36 from 11

2018: 143 from 7

 

Losses: 104.97 from 37 (15/37 below 100, 10/37 120+)

2014: 96.79 from 14

2017: 101.45 from 11

2018: 117.75 from 12

 

Pre Bye: 113.86 from 29 (9/29 below 100, 9/29 120+)

2014: 102.38 from 8

2017: 101.9 from 10

2018: 133.09 from 11

 

Post Bye: 108.06 from 33 (12/33 below 100, 13/33 120+)

2014: 98.69 from 13

2017: 111.08 from 12

2018: 118.75 from 8

 

2018 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 32.79

SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 33: 145 from 10 (low of 103 and a high of 189, 8/10 below 100)

SC Avg when disposals below 33: 107.11 from 9 (low of 51 and a high of 142, 3/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)

Kicks: 15.74

SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 16: 141.33 from 9 (low of 103 and a high of 189, 8/9 120+)

SC Avg when kicks below 16: 114.2 from 10 (low of 51 and a high of 177, 3/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

Handballs: 17.05

SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 18: 153.25 from 8 (low of 110 and a high of 189, 1/8 below 100, 7/8 120+)

SC Avg when handballs below 18: 108 from 11 (low of 51 and a high of 142, 3/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)

Marks: 5.79

SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 6: 126.82 from 11 (low of 98 and a high of 163, 1/11 below 100, 7/11 120+)

SC Avg when marks below 6: 127.38 from 8 (low of 51 and a high of 189, 2/8 below 100, 5/8 120+)

Contested Possessions: 13.47

SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 14: 164.17 from 6 (low of 147 and a high of 189, 6/6 120+)

SC Avg when contested possessions below 14: 109.92 from 13 (low of 51 and a high of 142, 3/13 below 100, 6/13 120+)

Tackles: 5.37

SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 6: 153.86 from 7 (low of 120 and a high of 189, 7/7 120+)

SC Avg when tackles below 6: 111.42 from 12 (low of 51 and a high of 153, 3/12 below 100, 5/12 120+)

Clangers: 2.84

SC Avg when clangers below 3: 133.71 from 7 (low of 51 and a high of 189, 1/7 below 100, 5/7 120+)

SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 3: 123.17 from 12 (low of 74 and a high of 163, 2/12 below 100, 7/12 120+)

Time on Ground%: 85.84%

SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 86%: 134.5 from 14 (low of 74 and a high of 189, 2/14 below 100, 10/14 120+)

SC Avg when time on ground below 86%: 106.2 from 5 (low of 51 and a high of 147, 1/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)

 

Premium Career Stat Averages:

Disposals:

2014: 26.76

2017: 27.5

2018: 32.79

 

Kicks:

2014: 14.38

2017: 11.82

2018: 15.74

 

Handballs:

2014: 12.38

2017: 15.68

2018: 17.05

 

Marks:

2014: 5.67

2017: 4.55

2018: 5.79

 

Contested Possessions:

2014: 7.86

2017: 10.86

2018: 13.47

 

Tackles:

2014: 4.10

2017: 5.77

2018: 5.37

 

Clangers:

2014: 2.24

2017: 1.86

2018: 2.84

 

Time on Ground %:

2014: 80%

2017: 85.95%

2018: 85.84%

 

Disposal Efficiency%:

2014: 73.13%

2017: 77.19%

2018: 74.16%

 

Contested Possession Rate%:

2014: 29.62%

2017: 39.77%

2018: 40.76%

 

Observations:

Averages 110+ against 7 teams (Adel, Bris, Carl, Ess, GC, NM, Rich) with 5 pre-bye and 4 post bye against them in 2019.

14.39 win/loss differential.

5.8 pre-bye/post bye differential.

40+ avg differential when handballs equal/exceed 18, contested possessions equal/exceed 14 and tackles equal/exceed 6.

 

Macrae enjoyed his best year to date increasing his average by 20.14 to 127.05 and with the recent injury news regarding T Mitchell he starts 2019 as the highest priced midfielder. Only 3 games below 100 in 2018 with an injury affected 51 in RD13 in comparison to 12 of 19 games scoring 120+ with 5 of those 12 exceeding 150. This highlights his consistency and ceiling and if he can maintain his 2018 stat averages then he should comfortably finish in the top 4 SC midfielders.

Verdict: Strongly consider for M1/Upgrade Target

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9 thoughts on “Elite Numbers ’19 – Jack Macrae (WBD)”

  1. Was locked in my side before the Titch news but without Titch, he should be in just about every side. I remember not owning Grundy last year and waiting for a “price drop”. Could be a similar situation, unless you have an injury to a highly priced premium or are willing to sideways trade he may well cost you 2-3 precious trades later on in season to get him in

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    1. Read FD’s post on TLAs. If that doesn’t convince you, nothing will! 😉
      Grundy might start slowly without a full-pre-season, but after Rd1 he’s got a pretty easy run right up to the byes, so you won’t be able to generate enough cash to bring him in unless you either keep a whopping bank or use three trades! Gawn the same, but he is older.
      I reckon Grundy will improve on 2018, Macrae might, but won’t do worse than the same and Gawn well, he’s the best ruck in the comp and has a fast-improving engine room around him.
      I could be wrong, but I’m as confident picking these three as I am Danger.

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  2. Just squeezed him in and bumped BCrouch to M6. Feels bloody good popping him in front of Cripps, Oliver and Fyfe but defence takes a hit. Almost feel Whitfield/Mid rookie is a better way to go than Macrae/Def rookie just for pure team balance.

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  3. After reading this and FD’s musings I’ve had to shuffle everything to get him in. I think my team looks a lot better with Macrae than without

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  4. He plays Gold Coast in round 3 and Carlton in round 5 so I really want him early for those games. Good value alternatives in the mids but can’t avoid the opportunity for some mega scores

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