(Written & Created By Adam)
Jack Unchained………will the addition of Lynch free up Jack?
Premium History (Avg>90):
2010: 92.41 from 22
2012: 90.82 from 22
2015: 91.36 from 22
2018: 92.86 from 22
Avg VS Opponent:
Adel: 71.83 from 6 (low of 55 and a high of 98)
Bris: 100 from 4 (low of 88 and a high of 114, 2/4 below 100)
Carl: 83 from 7 (low of 40 and a high of 118, 4/7 below 100)
Coll: 81 from 6 (low of 29 and a high of 121, 4/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)
Ess: 75.71 from 7 (low of 35 and a high of 123, 5/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)
Freo: 80.43 from 7 (low of 53 and a high of 130, 6/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)
Geel: 74.2 from 5 (low of 48 and a high of 101, 4/5 below 100)
GC: 146.33 from 3 (low of 82 and a high of 219, 1/3 below 100, 2/3 120+)
GWS: 83.33 from 3 (low of 80 and a high of 87)
Haw: 102.75 from 4 (low of 52 and a high of 127, 1/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)
Melb: 88.83 from 6 (low of 57 and a high of 145, 4/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)
NM: 82.4 from 5 (low of 73 and a high of 96)
Port: 91.67 from 6 (low of 53 and a high of 146, 4/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)
StK: 115.67 from 6 (low of 3 and a high of 187, 1/6 below 100, 3/6 120+)
Syd: 109.8 from 5 (low of 81 and a high of 144, 3/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)
WC: 127.75 from 4 (low of 86 and a high of 217, 2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)
WB: 93 from 4 (low of 56 and a high of 140, 2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)
Avg at Venue:
MCG: 86.36 from 53 (36/53 below 100, 6/53 120+)
2010: 91.25 from 12
2012: 88.08 from 13
2015: 84.79 from 14
2018: 82.14 from 14
Interstate: 96.86 from 22 (15/22 below 100, 4/22 120+)
2010: 82.2 from 5
2012: 87.33 from 6
2015: 106 from 6
2018: 112 from 5
MCG Wins: 90.5 from 32 (22/32 below 100, 4/32 120+)
2010: 123.33 from 3
2012: 103.67 from 6
2015: 83.78 from 9
2018: 82.14 from 14
MCG Losses: 78.1 from 20 (14/20 below 100, 2/20 120+)
2010: 80.56 from 9
2012: 67.33 from 6
2015: 86.6 from 5
2018: 0 from 0
Wins: 99.82 from 49 (29/49 below 100, 10/49 120+)
2010: 117.33 from 6
2012: 105.9 from 10
2015: 95.07 from 15
2018: 94.55 from 18
Losses: 80.89 from 38 (28/38 below 100, 5/38 120+)
2010: 83.06 from 16
2012: 74.55 from 11
2015: 83.43 from 7
2018: 85.25 from 4
Pre Bye: 86.91 from 35 (25/35 below 100, 4/35 120+)
2012: 85.17 from 12
2015: 100.1 from 10
2018: 78.38 from 13
Post Bye: 97.06 from 31 (18/31 below 100, 5/31 120+)
2012: 97.6 from 10
2015: 84.08 from 12
2018: 113.78 from 9
2018 Stat Averages:
Disposals: 14.18
SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 15: 119.14 from 7 (low of 80 and a high of 219, 3/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)
SC Avg when disposals below 15: 80.6 from 15 (low of 3 and a high of 115, 11/15 below 100)
Kicks: 10.55
SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 11: 112.45 from 11 (low of 80 and a high of 219, 5/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)
SC Avg when kicks below 11: 73.27 from 11 (low of 3 and a high of 115, 9/11 below 100)
Handballs: 3.64
SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 4: 97 from 10 (low of 65 and a high of 135, 6/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)
SC Avg when handballs below 4: 89.42 from 12 (low of 3 and a high of 219, 8/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)
Marks: 6.23
SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 7: 117 from 10 (low of 80 and a high of 219, 3/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)
SC Avg when marks below 7: 72.75 from 12 (low of 3 and a high of 115, 11/12 below 100)
Contested Possessions: 6.77
SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 7: 109.4 from 10 (low of 65 and a high of 219, 5/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)
SC Avg when contested possessions below 7: 79.08 from 12 (low of 3 and a high of 113, 9/12 below 100)
Tackles: 2.5
SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 3: 90.18 from 11 (low of 65 and a high of 115, 9/11 below 100)
SC Avg when tackles below 3: 95.55 from 11 (low of 3 and a high of 219, 5/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)
Clangers: 3.05
SC Avg when clangers below 4: 97.86 from 14 (low of 3 and a high of 219, 7/14 below 100, 2/14 120+)
SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 4: 84.13 from 8 (low of 35 and a high of 114, 7/8 below 100)
Goals: 2.95
SC Avg when goals equal/exceed 3: 113.17 from 12 (low of 77 and a high of 219, 4/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)
SC Avg when goals below 3: 68.5 from 10 (low of 3 and a high of 98)
Time on Ground: 92.77%
SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 93%: 94.32 from 19 (low of 35 and a high of 219, 13/19 below 100, 1/19 120+)
SC Avg when time on ground below 93%: 83.67 from 3 (low of 3 and a high of 135, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)
Premium Career Stat Averages:
Disposals:
2010: 11.64
2012: 13.23
2015: 13
2018: 14.18
Kicks:
2010: 9.95
2012: 9.59
2015: 9.73
2018: 10.55
Handballs:
2010: 1.68
2012: 3.64
2015: 3.27
2018: 3.64
Marks:
2010: 5.59
2012: 5.18
2015: 6.23
2018: 6.23
Contested Possessions:
2010: 6.18
2012: 6.95
2015: 5.91
2018: 6.77
Tackles:
2010: 3.09
2012: 2.59
2015: 2.18
2018: 2.5
Clangers:
2010: 1.95
2012: 2.23
2015: 1.59
2018: 3.05
Goals:
2010: 3.55
2012: 2.95
2015: 2.27
2018: 2.95
Time on Ground %:
2010: 97.73%
2012: 96.14%
2015: 95.68%
2018: 92.77%
Disposal Efficiency%:
2010: 67.6%
2012: 65.29%
2015: 66.08%
2018: 58.33%
Contested Possession Rate%:
2010: 56.43%
2012: 52.76%
2015: 45.14%
2018: 48.06%
Observations:
Averages 100+ against 6 teams (Bris, GC, Haw, StK, Syd, WC) with 2 pre-bye and 4 post bye against them in 2019.
18.93 win/loss differential.
10.15 post bye/pre-bye differential.
35+ avg differential when disposals equal/exceed 15, kicks equal/exceed 11, marks equal/exceed 7 and goals equal/exceed 3.
Finished with a 90+ avg largely thanks to a superb finish to the season averaging 113.78 from 9 after their bye but with the arrival of T Lynch it will be interesting to see what affect it has on his average. Is suited as an upgrade target when he eventually dips to the low 400,000 range or below 400,000 as a F5-F7.
Verdict: Upgrade target
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