Elite Numbers ’19 – Joel Selwood (GEE)

(Written & Created By Adam)

Love him or hate him, his numbers have been solid for a long time……..

 

Premium History (Avg>100):

2009: 110.91 from 22

2010: 117.81 from 21

2011: 111.53 from 17

2012: 117.65 from 20

2013: 118.41 from 22

2014: 120.91 from 22

2015: 104.8 from 20

2016: 111.5 from 22

2017: 102.22 from 18

2018: 105.09 from 22

 

Avg VS Opponent:

Adel: 121.71 from 14 (low of 69 and a high of 157, 3/14 below 100, 10/14 120+)

Bris: 124.73 from 15 (low of 52 and a high of 176, 3/15 below 100, 10/15 120+)

Carl: 102.67 from 12 (low of 65 and a high of 154, 6/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

Coll: 99.79 from 14 (low of 51 and a high of 153, 7/14 below 100, 4/14 120+)

Ess: 105.91 from 11 (low of 78 and a high of 138, 5/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)

Freo: 95.17 from 12 (low of 3 and a high of 140, 4/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)

GC: 119.5 from 10 (low of 73 and a high of 154, 2/10 below 100, 5/10 120+)

GWS: 126.43 from 7 (low of 70 and a high of 150, 1/7 below 100, 5/7 120+)

Haw: 111.11 from 19 (low of 69 and a high of 185, 7/19 below 100, 6/19 120+)

Melb: 124.09 from 11 (low of 74 and a high of 161, 2/11 below 100, 8/11 120+)

NM: 119.85 from 13 (low of 84 and a high of 148, 2/13 below 100, 8/13 120+)

Port: 112.64 from 11 (low of 70 and a high of 160, 5/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)

Rich: 116.1 from 10 (low of 83 and a high of 159, 3/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

StK: 102.9 from 10 (low of 24 and a high of 154, 4/10 below 100, 3/10 120+)

Syd: 111.41 from 17 (low of 66 and a high of 163, 5/17 below 100, 6/17 120+)

WC: 106.67 from 9 (low of 73 and a high of 144, 4/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)

WB: 110.91 from 11 (low of 84 and a high of 142, 3/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)

 

Avg at Venue:

GMHBA Stadium: 117.93 from 68 (17/68 below 100, 39/68 120+)

2009: 114.38 from 8

2010: 125.67 from 6

2011: 128 from 6

2012: 126.8 from 5

2013: 118.43 from 7

2014: 126.29 from 7

2015: 125.71 from 7

2016: 125.13 from 8

2017: 99.2 from 5

2018: 95.33 from 9

 

Interstate: 109.55 from 51 (19/51 below 100, 20/51 120+)

2009: 90.2 from 5

2010: 120.6 from 5

2011: 99 from 4

2012: 110 from 6

2013: 134.5 from 6

2014: 118.33 from 6

2015: 99.75 from 4

2016: 105.4 from 5

2017: 104.2 from 5

2018: 102.6 from 5

 

GMHBA Stadium Wins: 120.33 from 61 (14/61 below 100, 38/61 120+)

2009: 114.38 from 8

2010: 125.67 from 6

2011: 132.6 from 5

2012: 126.8 from 5

2013: 118.43 from 7

2014: 126.29 from 7

2015: 153 from 4

2016: 128.43 from 7

2017: 103.5 from 4

2018: 92 from 8

 

GMHBA Stadium Losses: 97 from 7 (3/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

2009: 0 from 0

2010: 0 from 0

2011: 105 from 1

2012: 0 from 0

2013: 0 from 0

2014: 0 from 0

2015: 89.33 from 3

2016: 102 from 1

2017: 82 from 1

2018: 122 from 1

 

Wins: 115.99 from 150 (40/150 below 100, 79/150 120+)

2009: 111.22 from 18

2010: 118.69 from 16

2011: 111.94 from 16

2012: 118.15 from 13

2013: 119.28 from 18

2014: 126.29 from 17

2015: 124.2 from 10

2016: 118.88 from 17

2017: 109.33 from 12

2018: 100.15 from 13

 

Losses: 102.69 from 55 (25/55 below 100, 14/55 120+)

2009: 109.25 from 4

2010: 115 from 5

2011: 105 from 1

2012: 116.71 from 7

2013: 114.5 from 4

2014: 102.6 from 5

2015: 85.89 from 9

2016: 86.4 from 5

2017: 88 from 6

2018: 112.22 from 9

 

Pre Bye: 109.84 from 82 (31/82 below 100, 33/82 120+)

2011: 92 from 4

2012: 124.8 from 10

2013: 107.18 from 11

2014: 117 from 7

2015: 95.58 from 12

2016: 112.93 from 14

2017: 116 from 11

2018: 106.85 from 13

 

Post Bye: 113.68 from 81 (22/81 below 100, 40/81 120+)

2011: 117.54 from 13

2012: 110.5 from 10

2013: 129.64 from 11

2014: 122.73 from 15

2015: 118.63 from 8

2016: 109 from 8

2017: 80.57 from 7

2018: 102.56 from 9

 

2018 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 27.09

SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 28: 118 from 11 (low of 71 and a high of 159, 2/11 below 100, 6/11 120+)

SC Avg when disposals below 28: 92.18 from 11 (low of 52 and a high of 135, 7/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

Kicks: 13.05

SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 14: 126.71 from 7 (low of 106 and a high of 159, 5/7 120+)

SC Avg when kicks below 14: 95 from 15 (low of 52 and a high of 140, 9/15 below 100, 3/15 120+)

Handballs: 14.05

SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 15: 112.63 from 8 (low of 71 and a high of 159, 3/8 below 100, 4/8 120+)

SC Avg when handballs below 15: 100.79 from 14 (low of 52 and a high of 135, 6/14 below 100, 4/14 120+)

Marks: 4.18

SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 5: 108.73 from 11 (low of 52 and a high of 159, 5/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)

SC Avg when marks below 5: 101.45 from 11 (low of 71 and a high of 125, 4/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)

Contested Possessions: 12.14

SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 13: 117.5 from 10 (low of 71 and a high of 159, 1/10 below 100, 6/10 120+)

SC Avg when contested possessions below 13: 94.75 from 12 (low of 52 and a high of 135, 8/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)

Tackles: 5.32

SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 6: 102.25 from 12 (low of 78 and a high of 135, 6/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

SC Avg when tackles below 6: 108.5 from 10 (low of 52 and a high of 159, 3/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

Clangers: 4.14

SC Avg when clangers below 5: 109.27 from 15 (low of 52 and a high of 159, 5/15 below 100, 7/15 120+)

SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 5: 96.14 from 7 (low of 71 and a high of 125, 4/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

Time on Ground%: 80.95%

SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 81%: 112.55 from 11 (low of 52 and a high of 159, 4/11 below 100, 6/11 120+)

SC Avg when time on ground below 81%: 97.64 from 11 (low of 71 and a high of 135, 5/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

 

Premium Career Stat Averages:

Disposals:

2009: 28

2010: 28.76

2011: 26.18

2012: 25.55

2013: 24.73

2014: 25.41

2015: 24.55

2016: 27.86

2017: 25.83

2018: 27.09

 

Kicks:

2009: 12.36

2010: 12.05

2011: 14.65

2012: 14

2013: 12.64

2014: 12.73

2015: 11.85

2016: 14

2017: 12.06

2018: 13.05

 

Handballs:

2009: 15.64

2010: 16.71

2011: 11.53

2012: 11.55

2013: 12.09

2014: 12.68

2015: 12.7

2016: 13.86

2017: 13.78

2018: 14.05

 

Marks:

2009: 4.32

2010: 4.76

2011: 4.35

2012: 3.6

2013: 4.14

2014: 4.55

2015: 3.05

2016: 3.45

2017: 3.39

2018: 4.18

 

Contested Possessions:

2009: 10.82

2010: 10.90

2011: 12.47

2012: 13.6

2013: 11.73

2014: 12.64

2015: 13.15

2016: 13.36

2017: 13.83

2018: 12.14

 

Tackles:

2009: 5

2010: 5.19

2011: 6.18

2012: 5.65

2013: 5.77

2014: 5.91

2015: 6.2

2016: 5.55

2017: 5

2018: 5.32

 

Clangers:

2009: 2.36

2010: 2.10

2011: 3.53

2012: 2.65

2013: 2.45

2014: 2.45

2015: 3.7

2016: 3.68

2017: 3.61

2018: 4.14

 

Time on Ground %:

2009: 83.5%

2010: 82.29%

2011: 81%

2012: 87.8%

2013: 83.82%

2014: 86.23%

2015: 83.8%

2016: 80.23%

2017: 75.28%

2018: 80.95%

 

Disposal Efficiency%:

2009: 73.2%

2010: 79.3%

2011: 72%

2012: 69.86%

2013: 76.47%

2014: 76.39%

2015: 69.25%

2016: 70.47%

2017: 74.62%

2018: 71.31%

 

Contested Possession Rate%:

2009: 37.84%

2010: 37.36%

2011: 45.99%

2012: 51.42%

2013: 47.25%

2014: 48.26%

2015: 53.56%

2016: 47.27%

2017: 52.42%

2018: 43.70%

 

Observations:

Averages 110+ against 11 teams (Adel, Bris, GC, GWS, Haw, Melb, NM, Port, Rich, Syd, WB) with 9 pre-bye and 7 post bye.

Averages 117.93 from 68 at GMHBA with 7/10 seasons recording 115+ and 120.33 from 61 in GMHBA Wins with 7 of 10 seasons with a 115+ avg.

13.3 win/loss differential.

3.84 post bye/pre-bye differential

25+ avg differential when disposals equal/exceed 28 and kicks equal/exceed 14.

 

Over the past decade Selwood has been regarded as one of the most durable and consistent SuperCoach players.  Geelong has a very deep midfield now however (in terms of SuperCoach scoring) and Selwood has two consecutive seasons of averaging below 110 pts (first time in his premium scoring history).  With his game style starting to take a toll, his relevancy is starting to diminish. Could be an upgrade target post-bye if he dips below the $500,000 range and regains his form from yesteryear(s).

Verdict: Upgrade target

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