Elite Numbers ’19 – Lance Franklin (SYD)

Written by Schwarzwalder on March 13 2019

(Written & Created By Adam)

Has he done enough over the pre-season?

 

Premium History (Avg>90):

2007: 91.35 from 20

2008: 107 from 22

2010: 107.47 from 17

2011: 110.79 from 19

2012: 115.5 from 16

2013: 90.42 from 19

2014: 99.95 from 19

2016: 94.59 from 22

2017: 98.32 from 22

2018: 100.11 from 18

 

Avg VS Opponent:

Adel: 87.55 from 11 (low of 37 and a high of 137, 6/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

Bris: 119.8 from 10 (low of 60 and a high of 171, 2/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

Carl: 112.55 from 11 (low of 82 and a high of 183, 3/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)

Coll: 113.58 from 12 (low of 56 and a high of 178, 5/12 below 100, 6/12 120+)

Ess: 123.2 from 10 (low of 52 and a high of 189, 2/10 below 100, 5/10 120+)

Freo: 102.8 from 10 (low of 63 and a high of 164, 5/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

Geel: 85.92 from 13 (low of 42 and a high of 141, 10/13 below 100, 1/13 120+)

GC: 81.5 from 6 (low of 61 and a high of 101, 5/6 below 100)

GWS: 102.8 from 10 (low of 54 and a high of 161, 3/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

Haw: 93 from 6 (low of 65 and a high of 111, 3/6 below 100)

Melb: 102.42 from 12 (low of 31 and a high of 140, 5/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

NM: 92.69 from 13 (low of 18 and a high of 236, 7/13 below 100, 2/13 120+)

Port: 96.92 from 12 (low of 44 and a high of 162, 7/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)

Rich: 92.17 from 12 (low of 38 and a high of 147, 6/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)

StK: 106.73 from 11 (low of 46 and a high of 168, 5/11 below 100, 6/11 120+)

Syd: 97.2 from 10 (low of 57 and a high of 158, 6/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

WC: 92.92 from 13 (low of 29 and a high of 175, 10/13 below 100, 1/13 120+)

WB: 106.92 from 12 (low of 74 and a high of 154, 6/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)

 

Avg at Venue:

SCG: 105.02 from 42 (18/42 below 100, 11/42 120+)

2007: 81 from 1

2008: 0 from 0

2010: 101 from 1

2011: 146 from 1

2012: 77 from 1

2013: 0 from 0

2014: 113.71 from 7

2016: 97.82 from 11

2017: 113.64 from 11

2018: 98.22 from 9

 

MCG: 103.18 from 65 (31/65 below 100, 19/65 120+)

2007: 109.75 from 8

2008: 104.1 from 10

2010: 110.22 from 9

2011: 115 from 9

2012: 116.2 from 10

2013: 80 from 9

2014: 87.67 from 3

2016: 101.5 from 2

2017: 79.25 from 4

2018: 96 from 1

 

Interstate: 95.40 from 78 (44/78 below 100, 17/78 120+)

2007: 60.13 from 8

2008: 112 from 8

2010: 108.2 from 5

2011: 107.25 from 8

2012: 114.33 from 6

2013: 90.33 from 6

2014: 97.11 from 9

2016: 94.8 from 10

2017: 79.5 from 10

2018: 102.5 from 8

 

SCG Wins: 115.14 from 29 (10/29 below 100, 9/29 120+)

2007: 0 from 0

2008: 0 from 0

2010: 0 from 0

2011: 144 from 1

2012: 77 from 1

2013: 0 from 0

2014: 127.83 from 6

2016: 98 from 9

2017: 124.57 from 7

2018: 119 from 5

 

SCG Losses: 79.92 from 13 (9/13 below 100, 1/13 120+)

2007: 81 from 1

2008: 0 from 0

2010: 101 from 1

2011: 0 from 0

2012: 0 from 0

2013: 0 from 0

2014: 29 from 1

2016: 97 from 2

2017: 94.5 from 4

2018: 64 from 4

 

MCG Wins: 109.71 from 45 (14/45 below 100, 18/45 120+)

2007: 105.17 from 6

2008: 115 from 7

2010: 108 from 6

2011: 131.5 from 6

2012: 125 from 8

2013: 90.67 from 6

2014: 76 from 2

2016: 102 from 1

2017: 85 from 2

2018: 96 from 1

 

MCG Losses: 88.5 from 20 (13/20 below 100, 3/20 120+)

2007: 123.5 from 2

2008: 78.67 from 3

2010: 114.67 from 3

2011: 82 from 3

2012: 81 from 2

2013: 58.67 from 3

2014: 111 from 1

2016: 101 from 1

2017: 73.5 from 2

2018: 0 from 0

 

Wins: 108.74 from 139 (53/139 below 100, 47/139 120+)

2007: 95.58 from 12

2008: 115.29 from 17

2010: 113.44 from 9

2011: 119.13 from 15

2012: 127.08 from 12

2013: 96.38 from 16

2014: 108.4 from 15

2016: 95.76 from 14

2017: 104.14 from 14

2018: 118.42 from 12

 

Losses: 81.87 from 54 (39/54 below 100, 5/54 120+)

2007: 85 from 8

2008: 78.8 from 5

2010: 102.57 from 7

2011: 79.5 from 4

2012: 80.75 from 4

2013: 58.67 from 3

2014: 68.25 from 4

2016: 90.6 from 5

2017: 88.13 from 8

2018: 63.5 from 6

 

Pre Bye: 99.03 from 68 (34/68 below 100, 13/68 120+)

2011: 113.6 from 5

2012: 118.33 from 12

2013: 88.9 from 10

2014: 81.13 from 8

2016: 95.23 from 13

2017: 95.8 from 10

2018: 101.2 from 10

 

Post Bye: 102.72 from 67 (31/67 below 100, 19/67 120+)

2011: 109.79 from 14

2012: 107 from 4

2013: 92.11 from 9

2014: 113.64 from 11

2016: 93.67 from 9

2017: 100.42 from 12

2018: 98.75 from 8

 

2018 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 15.56

SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 16: 123.2 from 5 (low of 96 and a high of 175, 1/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)

SC Avg when disposals below 16: 91.23 from 13 (low of 48 and a high of 178, 9/13 below 100, 2/13 120+)

Kicks: 13.11

SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 14: 122.73 from 11 (low of 87 and a high of 178, 3/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)

SC Avg when kicks below 14: 64.57 from 7 (low of 48 and a high of 98, 7/7 below 100)

Handballs: 2.44

SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 3: 101.5 from 8 (low of 61 and a high of 175, 5/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

SC Avg when handballs below 3: 99 from 10 (low of 48 and a high of 178, 5/10 below 100, 3/10 120+)

Marks: 6.94

SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 7: 125.6 from 10 (low of 94 and a high of 178, 3/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

SC Avg when marks below 7: 68.25 from 8 (low of 48 and a high of 105, 7/10 below 100)

Contested Possessions: 7.06

SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 8: 132 from 7 (low of 94 and a high of 178, 2/7 below 100, 3/7 120+)

SC Avg when contested possessions below 8: 79.82 from 11 (low of 48 and a high of 127, 8/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

Tackles: 2.11

SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 3: 124.29 from 7 (low of 61 and a high of 178, 3/7 below 100, 3/7 120+)

SC Avg when tackles below 3: 84.73 from 11 (low of 48 and a high of 127, 7/11 below 100,1/11 120+)

Clangers: 3.17

SC Avg when clangers below 4: 87.43 from 7 (low of 60 and a high of 109, 5/7 below 100)

SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 4: 108.18 from 11 (low of 48 and a high of 178, 5/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)

Goals: 3.17

SC Avg when goals equals/exceeds 4: 123 from 7 (low of 60 and a high of 178, 3/7 below 100, 4/7 120+)

SC Avg when goals below 4: 85.55 from 11 (low of 48 and a high of 112, 7/11 below 100)

Time on Ground%: 92.67%

SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 93%: 92.92 from 12 (low of 48 and a high of 178, 8/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)

SC Avg when time on ground below 93%: 114.5 from 6 (low of 52 and a high of 175, 2/6 below 100, 3/6 120+)

 

Premium Career Stat Averages:

Disposals:

2007: 13.45

2008: 15.82

2010: 18.06

2011: 19.21

2012: 18

2013: 15.53

2014: 16.42

2016: 17.64

2017: 17.41

2018: 15.56

 

Kicks:

2007: 9.2

2008: 12.77

2010: 11.53

2011: 11.89

2012: 13.38

2013: 10.26

2014: 11.89

2016: 12.55

2017: 13.59

2018: 13.11

 

Handballs:

2007: 4.25

2008: 3.05

2010: 6.53

2011: 7.32

2012: 4.63

2013: 5.26

2014: 4.53

2016: 5.09

2017: 3.82

2018: 2.44

 

Marks:

2007: 5.6

2008: 6.59

2010: 5.53

2011: 6.21

2012: 5.75

2013: 3.89

2014: 6.11

2016: 5.82

2017: 6.86

2018: 6.94

 

Contested Possessions:

2007: 5.3

2008: 7.5

2010: 8.94

2011: 8.26

2012: 8.44

2013: 7.84

2014: 7.16

2016: 6.59

2017: 6.68

2018: 7.06

 

Tackles:

2007: 2.3

2008: 2.05

2010: 3.65

2011: 3.11

2012: 3.63

2013: 2.42

2014: 3.16

2016: 2.55

2017: 2.32

2018: 2.11

 

Clangers:

2007: 3.7

2008: 4.82

2010: 3.94

2011: 4.11

2012: 4.06

2013: 3.37

2014: 3.79

2016: 3

2017: 3.32

2018: 3.17

 

Goals:

2007: 3.15

2008: 4.64

2010: 3.65

2011: 3.74

2012: 3.69

2013: 3.05

2014: 3.53

2016: 3.36

2017: 3.14

2018: 3.17

 

Time on Ground %:

2007: 96.6%

2008: 98.23%

2010: 95.24%

2011: 93.84%

2012: 86.31%

2013: 92.47%

2014: 87.63%

2016: 92.14%

2017: 93.36%

2018: 92.67%

 

Disposal Efficiency%:

2007: 59.4%

2008: 59.5%

2010: 66.6%

2011: 68.1%

2012: 62.5%

2013: 66.78%

2014: 64.10%

2016: 64.69%

2017: 63.45%

2018: 61.07%

 

Contested Possession Rate%:

2007: 39.11%

2008: 47.14%

2010: 49.35%

2011: 42.32%

2012: 46.62%

2013: 48.53%

2014: 43.17%

2016: 36.71%

2017: 37.79%

2018: 43.94%

 

Observations:

Averages 105+ against 6 teams (Bris, Carl, Coll, Ess, StK, WB) with 5 pre-bye and 3 post bye.

26.87 win/loss differential.

3.69 post bye/pre-bye differential.

40+ avg differential when kicks equal/exceed 14, marks equal/exceed 7 and contested possessions equal/exceed 8.

 

Franklin has averaged 90+ in 10 of his last 12 seasons.  Due to being a key position forward and the heavily volatile scoring associated, means he is suited as an upgrade target in the latter part of the season when he eventually dips to the 450,000 to 475,000 range.

Verdict: Upgrade target

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1 thought on “Elite Numbers ’19 – Lance Franklin (SYD)”

  1. can’t see Bud scoring well @ home this year , or any of the Swannies for that matter , except maybe Kennedy , he needs the ball delivered to him lace out on a lead to score well , with the SCG being used for all the codes this year , the surface will probably be trashed by round 8 & DE’s should suffer in the longer term

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