Elite Numbers ’19 – Matthew Kreuzer (CAR)

(Written & Created By Adam)

 

Can Kreuzer find his 2017 form again?

 

Premium history (Avg>95):

2013: 97.88 from 16

2017: 109.81 from 21

 

Avg at Venue:

Marvel: 92.57 from 14 (7/14 below 100, 4/14 120+)

2013: 88.5 from 8

2017: 98 from 6

 

MCG: 110.07 from 14 (4/14 below 100, 6/14 120+)

2013: 111.75 from 4

2017: 109.4 from 10

 

Interstate: 115 from 9 (3/9 below 100, 5/9 120+)

2013: 102.75 from 4

2017: 124.8 from 5

 

Marvel Wins: 111.5 from 6 (2/6 below 100, 3/6 120+)

2013: 112 from 4

2017: 110.5 from 2

 

Marvel Losses: 78.38 from 8 (5/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

2013: 65 from 4

2017: 91.75 from 4

 

MCG Wins: 107.67 from 3 (1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2013: 0 from 0

2017: 107.67 from 3

 

MCG Losses: 110.73 from 11 (3/11 below 100, 6/11 120+)

2013: 111.75 from 4

2017: 110.14 from 7

                                                          

Wins: 110.46 from 13 (5/13 below 100, 6/13 120+)

2013: 106.86 from 7

2017: 114.67 from 6

 

Losses: 101.5 from 24 (9/24 below 100, 9/24 120+)

2013: 90.89 from 9

2017: 107.87 from 15

 

Pre Bye: 95.67 from 18 (8/18 below 100, 5/18 120+)

2013: 88.11 from 9

2017: 103.22 from 9

 

Post Bye: 113.16 from 19 (6/19 below 100, 10/19 120+)

2013: 110.43 from 7

2017: 114.75 from 12

 

SC 2018: 79.75 from 12

Marvel Avg: 49 from 2 (2/2 below 100)

MCG Avg: 77.2 from 5 (4/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

Interstate Avg: 83.5 from 4 (3/4 below 100)

Marvel Wins Avg: 0 from 0

Marvel Losses Avg: 49 from 2 (2/2 below 100)

MCG Wins Avg: 127 from 1

MCG Losses Avg: 64.75 from 4 (4/4 below 100)

Wins Avg: 127 from 1

Losses Avg: 75.45 from 11 (9/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

Pre Bye Avg: 90.75 from 8 (5/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

Post Bye Avg: 57.75 from 4 (4/4 below 100)

 

2018 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 13.25

Kicks: 8.25

Handballs: 5

Marks: 2

Contested Possessions: 8.42

Tackles: 3.42

Clangers: 2.33

Hitouts: 23

Hitouts to Advantage: 5.58

HTA Rate%: 24.28%

Time on Ground%: 71.17%

 

Disposal Efficiency%: 53.46%

Contested Possession Rate%: 63.92%

 

Premium career stat averages:

Disposals:

2013: 11.94

2017: 15.29

 

Kicks:

2013: 7.06

2017: 9.81

 

Handballs:

2013: 4.88

2017: 5.48

 

Marks:

2013: 3.5

2017: 3.29

 

Contested Possessions:

2013: 6.69

2017: 9.81

 

Tackles:

2013: 4.19

2017: 5.10

 

Clangers:

2013: 1.31

2017: 2.38

 

Hitouts:

2013: 25.38

2017: 31.67

 

Hitouts to Advantage:

2013: 6.19

2017: 9

 

HTA Rate%:

2013: 24.38%

2017: 28.42%

 

Time on Ground %:

2013: 82%

2017: 84.76%

 

Disposal Efficiency%:

2013: 64.92%

2017: 57.94%

 

Contested Possession Rate%:

2013: 54.04%

2017: 63.78%

 

Observations:

8.96 win/loss differential with both seasons wins average exceeding 105.

17.49 post bye/pre-bye avg differential with both post byes exceeding 110.

 

One of the most injury affected players in the competition, Kreuzer only managed 12 games for a 79.75 average in 2018 after averaging just under 110 in 2017 and has managed 171 out of a possible 242 games across his career thus highlighting his durability concerns.

Historically he records a poor Hitouts to Advantage rate evident by achieving less than 25% in 2018 and only 28.42% in 2017. This is partially offset by his work around the ground primarily his contested game (contested possessions and tackles) and amassing above average disposals for a ruckman. With Gawn and Grundy’s astronomical 2018 averages, Kreuzer is very enticing as a discounted or stepping stone option for the first 6-10 rounds to allow Gawn/Grundy to be picked up later.

Verdict: Consider as R2 stepping stone

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