Elite Numbers ’19 – Stephen Coniglio (GWS)

(Written & Created By Adam)

 

Can Coniglio join the elite in 2019 scoring over 110+ avg?

 

Premium History (Avg>100):

2016: 105.86 from 21

2018: 108.43 from 21

 

Avg VS Opponent:

Adel: 88.67 from 3 (low of 82 and a high of 95)

Bris: 105 from 3 (low of 83 and a high of 139, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Carl: 147.5 from 2 (low of 138 and a high of 157)

Coll: 97.5 from 2 (low of 75 and a high of 120)

Ess: 124.5 from 2 (low of 111 and a high of 138)

Freo: 105 from 3 (low of 89 and a high of 116, 1/3 below 100)

Geel: 69.33 from 3 (low of 64 and a high of 78)

GC: 105 from 2 (low of 92 and a high of 118)

Haw: 114 from 2 (low of 111 and a high of 117)

Melb: 150 from 1

NM: 75.5 from 2 (low of 62 and a high of 89)

Port: 125 from 3 (low of 106 and a high of 143, 2/3 120+)

Rich: 105.5 from 2 (low of 90 and a high of 121, 1/2 below 100, 1/2 120+)

StK: 107.33 from 3 (low of 79 and a high of 127, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Syd: 106.5 from 4 (low of 96 and a high of 124, 2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

WC: 106.67 from 3 (low of 100 and a high of 114)

WB: 132 from 2 (low of 129 and a high of 135)

 

Avg at Venue:

SPO: 106.87 from 15 (6/15 below 100, 3/15 120+)

2016: 111.75 from 8

2018: 101.29 from 7

 

UNSW: 108.67 from 6 (2/6 below 100, 3/6 120+)

2016: 108.33 from 3

2018: 109 from 3

 

Interstate: 106.58 from 19 (8/19 below 100, 6/19 120+)

2016: 100.89 from 9

2018: 111.7 from 10

 

SPO Wins: 107.8 from 10 (4/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

2016: 117.5 from 6

2018: 93.25 from 4

 

SPO Losses: 105 from 5 (2/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2016: 94.5 from 2

2018: 112 from 3

 

UNSW Wins: 108.67 from 6 (2/6 below 100, 3/6 120+)

2016: 108.33 from 3

2018: 109 from 3

 

UNSW Losses: 0 from 0

2016: 0 from 0

2018: 0 from 0

 

Wins: 109.61 from 28 (10/28 below 100, 10/28 120+)

2016: 111.06 from 16

2018: 107.67 from 12

 

Losses: 101.15 from 13 (7/13 below 100, 3/13 120+)

2016: 89.2 from 5

2018: 108.63 from 8

 

Pre Bye: 108.46 from 24 (8/24 below 100, 8/24 120+)

2016: 109.62 from 13

2018: 107.09 from 11

 

Post Bye: 105.39 from 18 (9/18 below 100, 5/18 120+)

2016: 99.75 from 8

2018: 109.9 from 10

 

2018 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 27.90

SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 28: 111.08 from 12 (low of 64 and a high of 157, 4/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

SC Avg when disposals below 28: 104.89 from 9 (low of 82 and a high of 143, 5/9 below 100, 3/9 120+)

Kicks: 16

SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 16: 114.09 from 11 (low of 79 and a high of 157, 3/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)

SC Avg when kicks below 16: 102.2 from 10 (low of 64 and a high of 143, 6/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

Handballs: 11.90

SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 12: 109.27 from 11 (low of 64 and a high of 157, 5/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)

SC Avg when handballs below 12: 107.5 from 10 (low of 79 and a high of 143, 4/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

Marks: 4.67

SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 5: 114.55 from 11 (low of 79 and a high of 157, 3/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)

SC Avg when marks below 5: 101.7 from 10 (low of 64 and a high of 143, 6/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

Contested Possessions: 11.38

SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 12: 128.11 from 9 (low of 89 and a high 157, 1/9 below 100, 6/9 120+)

SC Avg when contested possessions below 12: 85.92 from 12 (low of 64 and a high of 124, 8/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)

Tackles: 5

SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 5: 113.4 from 15 (low of 64 and a high of 157, 5/15 below 100, 6/15 120+)

SC Avg when tackles below 5: 96 from 6 (low of 79 and a high of 120, 4/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)

Clangers: 3.81

SC Avg when clangers below 4: 128.09 from 11 (low of 79 and a high of 157, 4/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)

SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 4: 97.4 from 10 (low of 64 and a high of 29, 5/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

Time on Ground%: 85.19%

SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 86%: 114.33 from 12 (low of 79 and a high of 157, 4/12 below 100, 6/12 120+)

SC Avg when time on ground below 86%: 100.56 from 9 (low of 64 and a high of 143, 5/9 below 100, 1/9 120+)

 

Premium Career Stat Averages:

Disposals:

2016: 28.14

2018: 27.90

 

Kicks:

2016: 12.95

2018: 16

 

Handballs:

2016: 15.19

2018: 11.90

 

Marks:

2016: 3.10

2018: 4.67

 

Contested Possessions:

2016: 12.33

2018: 11.38

 

Tackles:

2016: 5.52

2018: 5

 

Clangers:

2016: 2.62

2018: 3.81

 

Time on Ground %:

2016: 84%

2018: 85.19%

 

Disposal Efficiency%:

2016: 68.36%

2018: 67.58%

 

Contested Possession Rate%:

2016: 43.53%

2018: 40.10%

 

Observations

Averages 110+ against 6 teams (Carl, Ess, Haw, Melb, Port, WB) with 4 both pre and post bye.

8.46 win/loss differential.

3.07 pre-bye/post bye differential.

30+ avg differential when contested possessions equal/exceed 12 and when clangers are below 4.

 

After an injury hampered 2017, Coniglio returned for a great 2018 season posting a SC avg of 108 and should be able to maintain an average between 105-112 assuming he maintains or improves his current disposals and contested averages with the departure of Shiel. Suited to an upgrade target if he falls to the low 500,00 range during the bye period.

Verdict: Consider for M3-M4/Upgrade Target

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