Elite Numbers ’19 – Taylor Adams (COL)

(Written & Directed By Adam)

Can Taylor Adams rise to the #1 SuperCoach spot at Collingwood?

 

Premium history (Avg>100):

2017: 107.5 from 22

MCG Avg: 101.36 from 14 (6/14 below 100, 2/14 120+)

Interstate Avg: 120.6 from 5 (3/5 120+)

MCG Wins Avg: 109.25 from 4 (1/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

MCG Losses Avg: 93.11 from 9 (5/9 below 100)

Wins Avg: 113.22 from 9 (1/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)

Losses Avg: 100.17 from 12 (5/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)

Pre Bye Avg: 106.67 from 12 (2/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)

Post Bye Avg: 108.5 from 10 (4/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

 

SC 2018: 96.37 from 19

MCG Avg: 100.67 from 12 (5/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)

Interstate Avg: 91.25 from 4 (2/4 below 100)

MCG Wins Avg: 103.71 from 7 (3/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

MCG Losses Avg: 96.4 from 5 (2/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

Wins Avg: 95.54 from 13 (7/13 below 100, 2/13 120+)

Losses Avg: 98.17 from 6 (2/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)

Pre Bye Avg: 86 from 9 (6/9 below 100, 1/9 120+)

Post Bye Avg: 105.7 from 10 (3/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)                                                         

 

2018 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 26.47

SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 27: 107.27 from 11 (low of 81 and a high of 126, 2/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

SC Avg when disposals below 27: 81.38 from 8 (low of 45 and a high of 120, 7/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

Kicks: 13.58

SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 14: 105.11 from 9 (low of 81 and a high of 126, 3/9 below 100, 2/9 120+)

SC Avg when kicks below 14: 88.5 from 10 (low of 45 and a high of 120, 6/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)

Handballs: 12.89

SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 13: 102.1 from 10 (low of 77 and a high of 126, 3/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)

SC Avg when handballs below 13: 90 from 9 (low of 45 and a high of 125, 6/9 below 100, 2/9 120+)

Marks: 3.42

SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 4: 102.89 from 9 (low of 71 and a high of 126, 4/9 below 100, 3/9 120+)

SC Avg when marks below 4: 100.56 from 9 (low of 45 and a high of 109, 5/9 below 100)

Contested Possessions: 12.79

SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 13: 101.5 from 8 (low of 69 and a high of 117, 2/8 below 100)

SC Avg when contested possessions below 13: 92.64 from 11 (low of 45 and a high of 126, 7/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)

Tackles: 4.89

SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 5: 111.13 from 8 (low of 77 and a high of 126, 1/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

SC Avg when tackles below 5: 85.64 from 11 (low of 45 and a high of 114, 8/11 below 100)

Clangers: 4.79

SC Avg when clangers below 5: 97 from 8 (low of 45 and a high of 126, 3/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 5: 95.91 from 11 (low of 69 and a high of 125, 6/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

Time on Ground%: 78.05%

SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 79%: 100.13 from 8 (low of 69 and a high of 126, 3/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

SC Avg when time on ground below 79%: 93.64 from 11 (low of 45 and a high of 125, 6/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

 

Disposal Efficiency%: 67.99%

Contested Possession Rate: 48.02%

 

Premium Career Stat Averages:

Disposals:

2017: 29.5

Kicks:

2017: 14.91

Handballs:

2017: 14.59

Marks:

2017: 5.05

Contested Possessions:

2017: 11.68

Tackles:

2017: 6.36

Clangers:

2017: 4.36

Time on Ground %:

2017: 77.05%

Disposal Efficiency%:

2017: 70.72%

Contested Possession Rate%:

2017: 39.48%

 

Observations:

13.05 win/loss differential in 2017.

19.7 post bye/pre-bye differential in 2018.

 

Whilst potentially under-priced by 5-10 points there are too many options that should outperform him around the same price range and there are question marks surrounding the inclusion of D Beams which could affect T Adams.

Verdict: Irrelevant

 

 

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