(Written & Created By Adam)
No need to consider if he can’t get out on the park……
Premium History
2012: 94.58 from 19
2014: 102.93 from 15
2016: 90.43 from 21
2017: 96.06 from 16
Avg at Venue:
SPO: 95.59 from 22 (12/22 below 100, 3/22 120+)
2012: 104.2 from 5
2014: 98.2 from 5
2016: 87 from 7
2017: 96.4 from 5
UNSW: 104 from 11 (6/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)
2012: 112.67 from 3
2014: 99.33 from 3
2016: 110.67 from 3
2017: 88 from 2
Interstate: 94.91 from 33 (20/33 below 100, 6/33 120+)
2012: 88.75 from 8
2014: 107.86 from 7
2016: 90.6 from 10
2017: 95.13 from 8
SPO Wins: 92.42 from 12 (9/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)
2012: 88 from 1
2014: 90 from 2
2016: 88.4 from 5
2017: 99.75 from 4
SPO Losses: 99.4 from 10 (3/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)
2012: 108.25 from 4
2014: 103.67 from 3
2016: 83.5 from 2
2017: 83 from 1
UNSW Wins: 97.5 from 6 (3/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)
2012: 77 from 1
2014: 0 from 0
2016: 110.67 from 3
2017: 88 from 2
UNSW Losses: 111.8 from 5 (3/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)
2012: 130.5 from 2
2014: 99.33 from 3
2016: 0 from 0
2017: 0 from 0
Wins: 99.38 from 32 (17/32 below 100, 6/32 120+)
2012: 82.5 from 2
2014: 105.5 from 4
2016: 99.07 from 15
2017: 100.64 from 11
Losses: 92.23 from 39 (25/39 below 100, 5/39 120+)
2012: 96 from 17
2014: 102 from 11
2016: 68.83 from 6
2017: 86 from 5
Pre Bye: 87.84 from 38 (28/38 below 100, 2/38 120+)
2012: 77.38 from 8
2014: 83 from 7
2016: 89.38 from 13
2017: 97.6 from 10
Post Bye: 104.21 from 33 (14/33 below 100, 9/33 120+)
2012: 107.09 from 11
2014: 120.38 from 8
2016: 92.13 from 8
2017: 93.5 from 6
SC 2018: 72.57 from 7
SPO Avg: 68 from 2 (2/2 below 100)
UNSW Avg: 112 from 2 (1/2 below 100, 1/2 120+)
Interstate Avg: 49.33 from 3 (3/3 below 100)
SPO Wins Avg: 68 from 2 (2/2 below 100)
SPO Losses Avg: 0 from 0
UNSW Wins Avg: 112 from 2 (1/2 below 100, 1/2 120+)
UNSW Losses Avg: 0 from 0
Wins Avg: 75.5 from 6 (5/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)
Losses Avg: 0 from 0
Pre Bye Avg: 93 from 3 (2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)
Post Bye Avg: 57.25 from 4 (4/4 below 100)
2018 Stat Averages:
Disposals: 15.14
Kicks: 9.43
Handballs: 5.71
Marks: 4.57
Contested Possessions: 5.86
Tackles: 0.86
Clangers: 2.43
Goals: 1.86
Time on Ground%: 75%
Disposal Efficiency: 61.32%
Contested Possession Rate: 39.81%
Premium Career Stat Averages:
Disposals:
2012: 28.37
2014: 28.13
2016: 21.48
2017: 18.38
Kicks:
2012: 14.37
2014: 13.13
2016: 12.33
2017: 12.19
Handballs:
2012: 14
2014: 15
2016: 9.14
2017: 6.19
Marks:
2012: 3.84
2014: 5.4
2016: 4.86
2017: 5.94
Contested Possessions:
2012: 11
2014: 10.87
2016: 8.43
2017: 8.5
Tackles:
2012: 3.32
2014: 4.13
2016: 3.71
2017: 3.06
Clangers:
2012: 4.26
2014: 3.27
2016: 4.43
2017: 3.56
Goals:
2012: 0.42
2014: 0.47
2016: 1.86
2017: 2.56
Time on Ground %:
2012: 85.21%
2014: 84.47%
2016: 81.81%
2017: 87.75%
Disposal Efficiency%:
2012: 65.3%
2014: 68.01%
2016: 66.08%
2017: 59.18%
Contested Possession Rate%:
2012: 38.42%
2014: 39.28%
2016: 38.90%
2017: 45.95%
Observations:
7.15 win/loss differential across his premium scoring history with 3/4 seasons recording a 99+ avg.
16.37 post bye/pre-bye differential.
Heavily discounted in 2019 due to only playing 7 games in 2018 and recorded his lowest avg and games played of his career. Injury and suspension concerns are always prevalent as he has only played 20+ games in two seasons since his debut in 2012. Can be selected as a stepping stone allowing a quick upgrade or as a season long F6-F7 and if he manages to avoid any injury concerns then he should push a 90 to 95 avg.
Verdict: Strongly consider for F2-F4.
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Am desperate for him to miss Rd1 so we can get a better steer (2 games) before making a decision.
If he plays Rd1 then I’ll likely ignore. Despite obvious upside, I’ll likely consider others with less risk/more games.
Who knows? That may change over the next few weeks, but that’s my current thinking.
Thanks Adam
I am strongly considering as my F3 whether he plays round 1 or not.
I think he can finish top 6 forward if he stays fit or atleast a decent stepping stone at worst. I don’t want to waste a trade getting him in round 2 or 3 i’d prefer to just bench him if we look to have the depth from our forward rooks.
Injury and suspension free he is a no brainer, particularly at this price. No doubt he will prove plenty wrong and many of us will be pulling $500k out of the war chest to pick him up later on !!
F3 if he plays well JLT 2