(Written & Created By Adam)
The potential is there for Nank to turn elite………..
SC 2018: 98.19 from 21
MCG Avg: 97.71 from 14 (9/14 below 100, 2/14 120+)
Interstate Avg: 87.5 from 4 (3/4 below 100)
MCG Wins Avg: 97.71 from 14 (9/14 below 100, 2/14 120+)
MCG Losses Avg: 0 from 0
Wins Avg: 100.71 from 17 (9/17 below 100, 3/17 120+)
Losses Avg: 87.5 from 4 (3/4 below 100)
Pre Bye Avg: 93.15 from 13 (8/13 below 100, 1/13 120+)
Post Bye Avg: 106.38 from 8 (4/8 below 100, 2/4 120+)
2018 Stat Averages:
Disposals: 16.76
SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 17: 105 from 11 (low of 81 and a high of 135, 4/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)
SC Avg when disposals below 17: 90.7 from 10 (low of 54 and a high of 113, 8/10 below 100)
Kicks: 9.14
SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 10: 104.25 from 8 (low of 81 and a high of 135, 3/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)
SC Avg when kicks below 10: 94.46 from 13 (low of 54 and a high of 122, 9/13 below 100, 1/13 120+)
Handballs: 7.62
SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 8: 89.22 from 9 (low of 54 and a high of 103, 7/9 below 100)
SC Avg when handballs below 8: 104.92 from 12 (low of 81 and a high of 135, 5/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)
Marks: 3.95
SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 4: 105.82 from 11 (low of 81 and a high of 135, 4/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)
SC Avg when marks below 4: 89.8 from 10 (low of 54 and a high of 111, 8/10 below 100)
Contested Possessions: 9.14
SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 10: 106.67 from 6 (low of 82 and a high of 135, 3/6 below 100, 2/6 120+)
SC Avg when contested possessions below 10: 94.8 from 15 (low of 54 and a high of 122, 9/15 below 100, 1/15 120+)
Tackles: 3.57
SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 4: 106 from 7 (low of 95 and a high of 122, 3/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)
SC Avg when tackles below 4: 94.29 from 14 (low of 54 and a high of 135, 9/14 below 100, 2/14 120+)
Clangers: 4.05
SC Avg when clangers below 5: 103.92 from 12 (low of 54 and a high of 135, 4/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)
SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 5: 90.56 from 9 (low of 71 and a high of 108, 8/9 below 100)
Hitouts: 24.95
SC Avg when hitouts equal/exceed 25: 102.62 from 13 (low of 54 and a high of 135, 5/13 below 100, 2/13 120+)
SC Avg when hitouts below 25: 91 from 8 (low of 71 and a high of 125, 7/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)
Hitouts to Advantage: 7.52
SC Avg when hitouts to advantage equal/exceed 8: 96.58 from 12 (low of 54 and a high of 135, 7/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)
SC Avg when hitouts to advantage below 8: 100.33 from 9 (low of 81 and a high of 125, 5/9 below 100, 2/9 120+)
Time on Ground%: 83.33%
SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 84%: 103.22 from 9 (low of 81 and a high of 122, 3/9 below 100, 1/9 120+)
SC Avg when time on ground below 84%: 94.42 from 12 (low of 54 and a high of 135, 9/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)
Disposal Efficiency: 62.78%
Contested Possession Rate: 55.49%
Hitouts to Advantage Rate: 30.15%
Observations:
13.21 win/loss differential.
13.23 post bye/pre-bye differential.
Nankervis increased his average by approximately 10 points falling just short of a 100 avg in 2018 and has the potential to reach a 105-110 avg in 2019 but this is largely dependent on him increasing his hitouts averages which are at a measly 25.
Richmond’s game style isn’t currently conducive for Nankervis as they normally attempt to shark the opposition’s hitouts utilising Nankervis more as a midfielder around the game which is evident by his high disposal, tackles, contested possessions and intercept mark averages displaying a similar style to S Martin who coincidentally is the same height as Nankervis.
Only recorded 4 games above 30 hitouts in 2018 and needs to increase this significantly to be a worthwhile selection.
Verdict: Consider as R2
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He’s currently my R2… no reason for him to not improve this year and the post bye average from last year would’ve made him the best ruck behind Gawn and Grundy. Seems to be fairly durable as well.
Only thing I worry about is if Richmond are forced to play either Balta or Soldo due to new rules….could eat into Nankervis’s ruck minutes a little, especially if it’s Soldo.
I do think he has a game that can challenge the best 2 rucks, but not for a year or two yet
I had him to the byes last year and he was great.
Just not willing to look past Grawndy this year. The gap is just too significant to cover. If it goes wrong then it’ll be a very expensive corrective trade, but manageable. But if it goes right, then those who don’t start them both will likely never catch up! It’s a calculated risk, but one I’m willing to take. The VC/C options alone make it more than justifiable.