Elite Numbers ’19 – Tom Hawkins (GEE)

Written by Schwarzwalder on February 26 2019

(Written & Created By Adam)

Massive finishing spurt in 2018……..

 

Premium History (Avg>90):

2012: 95.1 from 21

2018: 101.85 from 20

 

Avg VS Opponent:

Adel: 97.67 from 3 (low of 46 and a high of 135, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Bris: 145 from 2 (low of 139 and a high of 151)

Carl: 69.5 from 2 (low of 55 and a high of 84)

Coll: 70.5 from 2 (low of 67 and a high of 74)

Ess: 117 from 2 (low of 95 and a high of 139)

Freo: 106.5 from 2 (low of 77 and a high of 136)

GC: 119 from 3 (low of 100 and a high of 144, 1/3 120+)

GWS: 108 from 1

Haw: 115.25 from 4 (low of 70 and a high of 159, 2/4 below 100, 2/4 120+)

Melb: 94.33 from 3 (low of 57 and a high of 140, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

NM: 102.5 from 2 (low of 78 and a high of 127)

Port: 99 from 1

Rich: 67.67 from 3 (low of 59 and a high of 77)

StK: 93 from 2 (low of 56 and a high of 130)

Syd: 96.75 from 4 (low of 65 and a high of 122, 2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

WC: 60 from 2 (low of 15 and a high of 105)

WB: 105 from 3 (low of 97 and a high of 119, 2/3 below 100)

 

Avg at Venue:

GMHBA: 108.67 from 15 (7/15 below 100, 6/15 120+)

2012: 97.83 from 6

2018: 115.89 from 9

 

Interstate: 89.4 from 10 (4/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

2012: 73.67 from 6

2018: 113 from 4

 

GMHBA Wins: 109.5 from 14 (6/14 below 100, 6/14 120+)

2012: 97.83 from 6

2018: 118.25 from 8

 

GMHBA Losses: 97 from 1

2012: 0 from 0

2018: 97 from 1

 

Wins: 112.52 from 25 (8/25 below 100, 12/25 120+)

2012: 112.5 from 14

2018: 112.55 from 11

 

Losses: 76.31 from 16 (14/16 below 100)

2012: 60.29 from 7

2018: 88.78 from 9

 

Pre Bye: 89.62 from 21 (14/21 below 100, 3/21 120+)

2012: 89.3 from 10

2018: 89.91 from 11

 

Post Bye: 107.6 from 20 (8/20 below 100, 9/20 120+)

2012: 100.36 from 11

2018: 116.44 from 9

 

2018 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 15.7

SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 16: 124.89 from 9 (low of 95 and a high of 151, 2/9 below 100, 6/9 120+)

SC Avg when disposals below 16: 83 from 11 (low of 56 and a high of 113, 8/11 below 100)

Kicks: 10.25

SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 11: 121.9 from 10 (low of 85 and a high of 151, 2/10 below 100, 5/10 120+)

SC Avg when kicks below 11: 82.4 from 10 (low of 56 and a high of 122, 8/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)

Handballs: 5.45

SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 6: 115.22 from 9 (low of 57 and a high of 151, 3/9 below 100, 5/9 120+)

SC Avg when handballs below 6: 90.91 from 11 (low of 56 and a high of 144, 7/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

Marks: 7.3

SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 8: 116.22 from 9 (low of 85 and a high of 151, 4/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)

SC Avg when marks below 8: 90.09 from 11 (low of 56 and a high of 136, 6/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

Contested Possessions: 7.95

SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 8: 121.55 from 11 (low of 95 and a high of 151, 2/11 below 100, 6/11 120+)

SC Avg when contested possessions below 8: 77.78 from 9 (low of 56 and a high of 113, 8/9 below 100)

Tackles: 1.9

SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 2: 97.7 from 10 (low of 56 and a high of 144, 6/10 below 100, 3/10 120+)

SC Avg when tackles below 2: 106 from 10 (low of 57 and a high of 151, 4/10 below 100, 3/10 120+)

Clangers: 3

SC Avg when clangers below 3: 108.38 from 8 (low of 56 and a high of 151, 3/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 3: 97.5 from 12 (low of 57 and a high of 136, 7/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)

Goals: 2.9

SC Avg when goals equal/exceed 3: 112.25 from 12 (low of 77 and a high of 151, 4/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

SC Avg when goals below 3: 86.25 from 8 (low of 56 and a high of 144, 6/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

Time on Ground%: 91.4%

SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 92%: 102 from 13 (low of 57 and a high of 144, 6/13 below 100, 4/13 120+)

SC Avg when time on ground below 92%: 101.57 from 7 (low of 56 and a high of 151, 4/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

 

Premium career stat averages:

Disposals:

2012: 12.81

2018: 15.7

 

Kicks:

2012: 9.24

2018: 10.25

 

Handballs:

2012: 3.57

2018: 5.45

 

Marks:

2012: 6.71

2018: 7.3

 

Contested Possessions:

2012: 7.14

2018: 7.95

 

Tackles:

2012: 1.19

2018: 1.9

 

Clangers:

2012: 1.24

2018: 3

 

Goals:

2012: 2.95

2018: 2.9

 

Time on Ground %:

2012: 87.86%

2018: 91.4%

 

Disposal Efficiency%:

2012: 67.66%

2018: 64.33%

 

Contested Possession Rate%:

2012: 54.95%

2018: 51.13%

 

Observations:

Averages 105+ against 7 teams (Bris, Ess, Freo, GC, GWS, Haw, WB) with 5 pre-bye and 4 post bye against those teams.

36.21 win/loss differential with both seasons exceeding a 110+ avg in wins.

17.98 post bye/pre-bye differential with both seasons recording a 100+ avg post bye.

30+ avg differential when disposals equal/exceed 16, kicks equal/exceed 11 and contested possessions equal/exceed 8.

 

5 of their first 6 games are against 2018 top 8 teams and Hawkins performs poorly in losses compared to wins as evident by his 36.21 differential and is therefore suited as an upgrade target when he inevitably drops to around 450,000.

Verdict: Upgrade target

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2 thoughts on “Elite Numbers ’19 – Tom Hawkins (GEE)”

  1. Not for me … doesn’t have the consistent record over his career.. I see last year as his peak.. I also see Riewoldt outscoring Hawkins and most other key forwards this season. Riewoldt will benefit hugely from Lynch being on the park in not having to beat 2 and 3 players in most contests. He will also benefit more than most from the hands in the back rule .. and he is $48.8k cheaper.

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