Natopotato88 asked the question in the Polling Station of players fading out as the season wears on. While it’s extremely hard to predict, and even harder to put into a ‘Poll-form’, we’ll open up the Forum to all Coaches.
‘Jack The Salamander‘ predicts a downturn for Brodie Grundy…….I’ll let him explain:
‘I was talking about his direct opponents, i.e. opposition ruckmen, not the teams he’s playing.
This point is easier to demonstrate if we categorize ruckmen into different tiers, based on their form this season:
A-grade: Gawn, Grundy, Martin, Naitanui, Sinclair (arguably), Sandilands (he hasn’t been posting big scores, but he doesn’t tend to concede them, either, so for our purposes we’ll call him an a-grader).
B-grade: Kreuzer, McEvoy, Nankervis, Witts, Goldstein, Ryder
C-grade: Lobb, Bellchambers, Jacobs (at least earlier in the – he’s likely to be a B-grader from here on out), Zac Smith, Rhys Stanley, Tom Hickey, etc.
D-grade: Whoever the Bulldogs decide to trot out each week, makeshift ruckmen like Apeness, L-plate ruckmen like Scott Jones, etc.
With that out of the way, we can look at some statistics:
Brodie Grundy 2018 averages vs ruck tiers:
Pre-bye opponent breakdown:
Post-bye opponent breakdown:
Projected post-bye average based on current averages vs each tier: 115′
Who do you see taking a tumble in the stats? What is your opinion based on? Has the player got a record of fading out over the 23 Rounds? Showing signs of slowing down? Carrying an injury? Let us know about it, Coaches……..
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