2015 Byes



Finals Runs

by Motts on July 16, 2012

Did a little bit of work to assist you in making those all-important trade decisions as we count down to the end of the season. What I’ve looked at is the last 4 games of each team which as we all know is the SuperCoach finals. I’ve given each team a score based on where they sit on the ladder now, who they’re playing, and whether its away or at home.

 

Adelaide – Fremantle (H), Brisbane (A), Melbourne (A), Gold Coast (H)

A+  Four teams from outside the 8, Freo at home, and a GC GF

Players to consider: Scott Thompson, Patrick Dangerfield, Rory Sloane, Sam Jacobs, Kurt Tippett, Taylor Walker

Brisbane – Carlton (A), Adelaide (H), Port (A), Dogs (H)

A-  Three teams from outside the 8 and Adelaide at home

Players to consider: Tom Rockliff, Dayne Zorko, Ben Hudson, Simon Black, Jack Redden, Pearce Hanley, Jed Adcock

Carlton – Brisbane (H), Essendon (A), Gold Coast (A), St Kilda (H)

B+  Only travels once to play GC but two tough games against Top 8 teams

Players to consider: Marc Murphy, Chris Judd, Mitch Robinson, Heath Scotland, Andrew Carrazzo, Kade Simpson

Collingwood – Sydney (A), North (H), West Coast (A), Essendon (A)

B-  The North game is at Etihad so technically that’s an away game too but the Essendon one at home

Players to consider: Scott Pendlebury, Dane Swan, Steele Sidebottom, Dayne Beams, Heath Shaw, Travis Cloke

Essendon – North (H), Carlton (H), Richmond (A), Collingwood (H)

B+  No travel but all reasonably tough Victorian-based opponents

Players to consider: Jobe Watson, Brent Stanton, Paddy Ryder

Fremantle – Adelaide (A), Richmond (H), North (A), Melbourne (H)

A-  Tough first and third games but Melbourne in the GF

Players to consider: Matthew Pavlich, Michael Johnson, Jonathon Griffin (if Sandilands doesn’t come back), Michael Barlow, Aaron Sandilands (but make sure he’s right)

Geelong – West Coast (A), St Kilda (H), Dogs (H), Sydney (H)

A  The first game is a shocker but their last 3 at home including the PF & GF at Kardinia Park

Players to consider: Joel Selwood, Paul Chapman, Jimmy Bartel, Steve Johnson, Corey Enright, James Kelly, Tom Hawkins

Gold Coast – GWS (H), Hawthorn (A), Carlton (H), Adelaide (A)

C  The GWS game in the first week is good but will be punished by the rest

Players to consider: Gary Ablett, Harley Bennell, Danny Stanley, Sam Iles

Greater Wester Sydney – Gold Coast (A), Melbourne (H), St Kilda (A), North (H)

C+  Nice first 2 weeks but its gets hard from there

Players to consider: Callan Ward, Toby Greene

Hawthorn – Port (H), Gold Coast (H), Sydney (A), West Coast (H)

B+  Plenty of Hawks points in weeks 1 & 2 but Sydney away and WC in the GF isn’t optimal

Players to consider: Lance Franklin, Sam Mitchell, Jordan Lewis, Grant Birchall, Jarryd Roughead, Cyril Rioli, Matt Suckling, Brad Sewell, David Hale

Melbourne – St Kilda (A), GWS (A), Adelaide (H), Fremantle (A)

C-  GWS the only shining light and its away

Players to consider: Colin Sylvia, Nathan Jones, Stefan Martin

North Melbourne – Essendon (A), Collingwood (A), Fremantle (H), GWS (A)

A  Even tho the 1st 2 weeks are tough they’re at ES which the Roos love and a GWS GF

Players to consider: Andrew Swallow, Daniel Wells, Todd Goldstein, Brent Harvey, Leigh Adams, Drew Petrie, Nathan Grima

Port Adelaide – Hawthorn (A), West Coast (H), Brisbane (H), Richmond (A)

C  Week 3 the only one I give them any chance in

Players to consider: Kane Cornes, Travis Boak, Brad Ebert, Troy Chaplin

Richmond – Dogs (H), Fremantle (A), Essendon (H), Port (H)

B+  Like the first and last weeks of their Finals campaign

Players to consider: Brett Deledio, Trent Cotchin, Ivan Maric, Shane Tuck, Shaun Grigg, Dustin Martin, Chris Newman, Alex Rance, Jack Riewoldt

St Kilda – Melbourne (H), Geelong (A), GWS (H), Carlton (A)

A  4 games in-state, 3 at ES, and Melbourne & GWS thrown in – great run

Players to consider: Nick Riewoldt, Nick Dal Santo, Lenny Hayes, Brendon Goddard, Sam Fisher, Leigh Montagna, Ben McEvoy, Jack Steven

Sydney – Collingwood (H), Dogs (A), Hawthorn (H), Geelong (A)

B-  Facing Geelong at SS in the GF a terrible draw. Hawks & Pies as well – ouch.

Players to consider: Kieran Jack, Adam Goodes, Josh Kennedy, Shane Mumford, Ryan O’Keefe

West Coast – Geelong (H), Port (A), Collingwood (H), Hawthorn (A)

B-  Another team facing Cats, Hawks & Pies in their last 3 with an away GF

Players to consider: Dean Cox, Matt Priddis, Nic Naitanui, Scott Selwood, Luke Shuey, Daniel Kerr, Shannon Hurn, Chris Masten

Western Bulldogs – Richmond (A), Sydney (H), Geelong (A), Brisbane (A)

C  No bottom 3 teams to play, 3 away games including the GF, and Geelong & Sydney

Players to consider: Matthew Boyd, Ryan Griffen, Daniel Cross, Brian Lake

 

So the teams I think have the best Finals runs are Adelaide, St Kilda, Geelong and North. Have I got it right? Let me know what you think.

{ 18 comments… read them below or add one }

Joestar July 16, 2012 at 12:09 pm

Great Write up Motts, generally Geelong rest a few before the finals, but thats highly unlikely in this case unless they dont make the finals !
Will they put the cue in the rack if they lose to Ess, Crows, and Haw ?
TU- Yes, they’ll get in early for the end of seasons op’s
TD-They’ll see the season out.

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Sasha July 16, 2012 at 1:29 pm

Great write up I agree. Food for thought considering the minimal trades people have left. Gotta laugh at ‘players to consider’ Travis Cloke?! If
I had trades spare he be long gone.

Players not to consider – BROUGHTON!!

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Catta July 16, 2012 at 1:47 pm

Absolute “GOLD” post as per usual Motts, well done!

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Motts July 16, 2012 at 2:30 pm

Thanks Catta!

Took me awhile to put it all together. Now working on this evenings’ Movers post. #dedicated

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MJ July 16, 2012 at 2:37 pm

Brilliant write up Motts. Guess I kinda over looked Sydney’s finals draw when I brought in Goodes last week. Considering he averaged 115.67 across the games he played against Collingwood, Bulldogs, Hawthorn & Geelong last season, I don’t think it’ll matter too much.

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Coley July 16, 2012 at 2:46 pm

I’m very wary of trading in blokes from teams that have sewn up a top four spot in the last four weeks and are playing donkey teams – Superstar players being ‘rested’ in the lead up to finals is the bane of my supercoach life!
Prefer to pick blokes in teams battling for a finals berth or top four.

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Andy B July 16, 2012 at 6:59 pm

100% agree. Fingers crossed even probable top 4 teams out of West Coast, Adelaide, Sydney, Collingwood & Hawks will be fighting for the important top 2 spots & therefore not having to travel interstate.

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The Don! July 16, 2012 at 8:30 pm

But that’s the great thing about this year! Nobody will have top 4 spots “sewn up”!

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Joestar July 16, 2012 at 3:34 pm

Not sure a top 4 position will be decided on for some time yet, interstate teams dominating three our of the four positions at this stage with percentage being crucial, possibly Coll v GWS but even then they are in desperate need of so percentage boost, it’s tight at the top at the moment

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Shanos July 16, 2012 at 3:35 pm

Have Giles and I.Mullet in at the moment, will make finals and am fortunate enough to have 500k up my sleeve. I would like to upgrade Giles to a premium but am unsure who, feedback would be much appreciated.

Thumbs up – Giles to Cox (Historically a huge scorer)
or
Thumbs down – Giles to Jacobs (Great run home + good form)

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Andy B July 16, 2012 at 7:02 pm

Also consider Ben McEvoy. Lone ruckman at the Saints & also has a great run home & SC finals. Scored well at weekend (unlike Nit Nat who i drafted in!).

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Shanos July 17, 2012 at 11:09 am

Thanks for the feedback guys. Have taken the cowards way out and am waiting till next week to trade as i’m playing mostly rubbish teams

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Stoney July 16, 2012 at 4:41 pm

Need 1 more Premo mid to finish my side next week

Thumbs UP – Marc Murphy (approx $440,000)
Thumbs DOWN – Dane Swan (approx $605,000)

Thanks :)

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Ando July 16, 2012 at 5:21 pm

how is sydneys B- when they face hawks, pies and cats should be at least C-

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Motts July 16, 2012 at 5:41 pm

I’m taking into account their ladder position (#1), the fact that they’re playing the Hawks and Pies at home, and the fact that they beat Geelong last year at the Cattery.

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Rileeeeey July 16, 2012 at 7:13 pm

Who out of these options should i take:
Kerr, Murphy, Dal Santo, Barlow, Sylvia, Grigg
Enright, Scotland, Hurn
Fisher, Yarran, Rance or save a trade and keep S.Shaw on the field,
i have 5 trades left.

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Micky July 16, 2012 at 7:16 pm

Last year I loaded up on Hawthorn players, knowing that they played GC in the grand final week. Then Clarko rested half the team and i lost by 27 points! So this year i’m not risking it with any Crows or Kangaroos in my team. Although the difference this year is that percentage could play a massive part in the top 4 make-up so coaches may be less inclined to rest players.

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The Don! July 16, 2012 at 8:32 pm

Mumford agains his old side in the granny?! Smelling a big score anyone?

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