Flavour Of The Week – Rd 2

Written by Chillo on March 27 2018

Round one is done, and generally speaking it was a good one for the Supercoach community. But we all know the fickle nature of this game, and for every coach out there who stuck the captain’s armband on Buddy Brilliant or Terrific Titch, there were dozens more who felt the wrath of injuries and the old-fashioned ‘shocker’.

You’re not really a Supercoach until you’ve experienced the joy of a good rage trade, but it would be remiss of me to omit our customary warning: avoid trading after Round 1 unless you have a long-term injury in your team.

Here’s an example of why: Dayne Zorko has scored less than 60 in 15 games in his career, including last Saturday’s 32-point bomb. In the fourteen games that have followed immediately after those previous ‘shockers’, Zorko has averaged 102.4, with eight tons. He will bounce back! Have faith! Save those trades! More clichéd exclamations!

Here are the most popular trade ins, as of 12pm ADST, Tuesday March 27:

1. Riley Bonner (PTA, def, $257 300)

Plus:

+ Bonner was a mid-priced punt in the backline, but he could scarcely have been more impressive in only his fifth senior game, racking up 31 possessions at 80% efficiency and 119 precious Supercoach points.

+ As you can tell from his numbers, he played that coveted Supercoach-friendly role of backline distributor, but he also showed the endeavour to push up onto the wing and beyond when the opportunity presented.

+ With the similarly-styled Jasper Pittard still a month away from his return, it would seem Bonner is locked into his current role for at least that period of time.

Minus:

– Realistically, he probably won’t be a keeper, which makes him an expensive cash cow. You’ll need to find some cash if you’re dumping a rookie for him, and you’ll be gambling heavily on points if you downgrade a premium for him.

– Hard to predict what will happen once Pittard does return. Can Bonner make enough cash by then? Will his role change? Will he even hold his spot in the team?

2. Nic Naitanui (WCE, ruc, $465 900)

Plus:

+ Buddy got the headlines but make no mistake, NicNat was magnificent on his return from an 18 month layoff. 113 points from only 54% TOG, with 12 possessions, 33 hitouts and a goal.

+ He was clearly the most influential player in the midfield in his abbreviated stints on the field. Showed no ill-effects from his injury in the ruck contest, and moved very well around the ground.

+ With Ryder out for 4-6 weeks and Kreuzer perhaps not at full fitness, Naitanui is a very viable alternative that also allows you to pocket some precious cash.

Minus:

– That was his first senior game in 18 months. It’s going to take time for Nic to build back up to full fitness and scoring power, and it’s likely he will be rested at some stage during the year.

– Knees are tricky animals. Just ask Tom Liberatore…..

3. Timothy Kelly (GEE, mid, $117 300)

Plus:

+ The biggest compliment you can pay a rookie is “I didn’t realise he was a rookie”, and those who saw Kelly’s game against the Dees would have been excused for making this mistake. 27 disposals (13 contested), a goal and 118 wonderful points in a composed and prolific debut.

+ “Mature-aged rookie” is the phrase that gets every Supercoach’s attention. At 23 years of age, Kelly already owns an AFL-ready rig, and 91% TOG on Sunday proves it.

+ Kelly has already shown that he can handle the big occasion, so there are no concerns with him playing in front of what is likely to be a full house at the ‘G on Easter Monday against the Hawks.

Minus:

– Will he still get that freedom to run through the midfield with Danger’s return? Job security shouldn’t be a concern, but role might be.

– Not much else to be honest. Not sure why you don’t have him already!

4. Tim English (WBD, ruc/fwd, $134 700)

Plus:

+ English was somewhat of a surprising call-up after not being sighted during JLT, but he repaid the trust shown in him with a solid first-up performance. 13 touches, six marks and 12 hitouts, for a very handy 83 points.

+ Young ruckmen are invariably ‘project’ players, but English has visibly added some brawn to his previously wiry frame in the off-season. It definitely helped his effectiveness in the ruck contests, while maintaining his noted mobility around the ground.

+ Dual position rucks are few and far between this year; English is probably the most viable out of the lot. Pretty decently priced too, he could definitely be your ruck cover option for the season.

Minus:

– As much as he has developed, he’s still relatively ‘light’ for a ruck. Shared those duties with Roughead and Trengove last weekend. Boyd and Schache waiting in the wings?

– DPP status looks good on first glance, until you try to find another player to set up that link. Mason Cox (suspended)? Cameron Pedersen (really?)?

5. Stephen Coniglio (GWS, mid, $452 400)

Plus:

+ More of a “fallen premium” than a true mid-pricer, Coniglio rewarded his owners with a dominant performance in Canberra. 32 possessions, two goals and 129 points. I watched him pretty closely on Sunday, and he was everywhere.

+ This continues on from his promising return from injury late last year, where he averaged 98 across eight games. And in 2016, he averaged 106 in 21 games – so he has shown that he can maintain his form across the rigours of a full AFL season.

+ With Kelly, Ward, Shiel, Scully et al running through the Giants midfield, the chances of Cogs being tagged are pretty close to zero.

Minus:

– Will he be a top 10 mid? Top 20? Too expensive to be a cash cow…perhaps you’re using him as a stepping stone to a cheaper Dangerfield? You need to make sure you know what his role is in your team.

– Suffered two LTI’s last year, so recurrence is a possibility. Has also been known to be lumped with tagging duties himself in the past. It’s low risk, but needs to be considered.

#6 – 10: Blake ACRES (STK), Tom MITCHELL (HAW), Patrick CRIPPS (CAR), James SICILY (HAW), Jeremy FINLAYSON (GWS)

Most traded OUT players this week: Tom LIBERATORE (WBD), Patrick RYDER (PTA), Aaron NAUGHTON (WBD), Nat FYFE (FRE), Angus BRAYSHAW (MEL), Dayne ZORKO (BRL), Zach MERRETT (ESS), Paddy DOW (CAR), Mason COX (COL), Marcus BONTEMPELLI (WBD)

Most popular trades so far this week:

Which of these popular picks are you bringing in this week (up to two choices)

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20 thoughts on “Flavour Of The Week – Rd 2”

  1. Regarding bonners JS once Pittard returns: Didnt port run with two backline distributors in Houston and Pittard for most of last year? If bonner continues his good form I think he will keep his place in 22 regardless of whether Pittard is in or not.
    He is pretty expensive though, the only reason I started with him was because of coffield not getting a start, if I didnt start with him I dont think Id burn a trade this week on him.

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    1. Houston is a very different player. Houston is just about the calmest player in our back line and doesn’t take the game on except for his pinpoint passes. Bonner and Pittard both are tasked with running with the ball and making much more aggressive kicks forward/creating space.

      I think Pittard has to earn his place in the team again with a stint in the SANFL until we either need to change the balance of the backline (maybe Howard starts to play ruck?), injury strikes or someone’s form drops off.

      Worth noting though that a lot of Bonner’s ball was in the first quarter when Freo were on top but not kicking goals. Once we got on top he wasn’t given the ball quite as much and that’s what I’d expect from him for most games- which would probably result in mid 80s.

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  2. You need a box selection for NO TRADES FOR ME UNTIL NEXT WEEK – SAVE THOSE TRADES (quote unquote Chillo above)

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  3. Great write up Chillo!

    Terrible news for Libba and his owners like us Chillo.

    I have gone a bit out of the box with my Libba trade having cash in the bank and got a Premo Back POD with the handy Round 12 Bye in Kade Simpson coming off a 150.

    Will watch Naughton and Bonner this week before pulling the trigger on that Trade next week with my remaining bank.

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    1. I’m a big fan of marchbank death adder terrific JLT and carried on to Rd1 like his job role and his run. I’m considering finlayson to the guts for libba and getting marchbank or sicily down back.

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  4. I have libba… now what to do with him i do not know..
    do i downgrade to JOM, armo or graham.. or
    DPP swing and get curnow or sicily up fwd?

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    1. I think whoever you decide to bring in for Liberatore, he should be in your team in Round 23. For this reason, I’ve crossed the three mids you’ve mentioned off the list.
      Go for Sicily if you’re not on any sort of blood pressure medication; otherwise, Curnow.

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  5. Can SC block my field preventing me from trading this week? Trigger-itis persists painfully after all these years.

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  6. The only reason to trade this week is if a player has gone down to injury, otherwise you should be saving your trades.
    Remember, one data point is not a trend!

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  7. I know people are not a fan of corrective trading on this site, but the right corrective trades can be invalueable , last year netted
    me both Oliver and Kelly( Also a certain GC player that spudded it up whose names escapes me for now). I know trades are gold but still had 1 to spare into the last round. Finished top 2k last year and hoping to improve on that this year.It’s all subjective that involves well thought out strategies …..and luck, did I mention luck…and ass, …. complete ass.
    I’m interested in Blake Acres , is he this year’s Oliver? Or will he be the Gold Coast dud..who was that ??? Scored 160 odd in the first round got injured and never saw north of 70 for the rest of the season.

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    1. Acres is a solid player, but remember that Saints don’t get to play the Lions every week, and Blake won’t be allowed to run up and down the wing unmanned for the entire season. A good rule of thumb is that if you weren’t considering him in the pre-season, you probably shouldn’t be considering him now.
      Just to really confuse you – I really liked Jack Steven’s game on the weekend. Yes, he will get tagged at some stage, but at less than 500K, he is severely under-priced.

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    2. Have to agree with Chillo. As a Saints fan, I pondered both for weeks prior to Round1, and went with neither! Acres is still sub-50 games and although he’s got the rig and aerobic capacity, I reckon he will still have too many sub-60 games, especially against tougher opposition.
      Stevens is a much safer bet and will consistently outperform price as long as Armitage can stay fit (frees him up). Yes he will get tagged, but tends to just run whoever it is off their feet (has one of the biggest engines in AFL).
      If I had an injury to cover, he’d be my choice.

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        1. Entering into that 50 game zone is right in that breakout window. Pick 19 in the same draft as Kelly ( and 2 drafts prior to Oliver-he’s a freak). I’m hearing ya both but considering the risk( costing Cox and Christensen). Some players like Treloar are just not SC friendly , they almost get more possessions than SC points, Im putting Christensen in the same bucket. Cox is simply not up to it and at his price will not be viable to take a spot in the team.I’m likeing where Blake is situated in his career and with All Saints stating that he’s got the tank has me almost sold.

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    1. I’m starting to remember now
      Wasn’t his name something like
      B…. br…. ba… Bart? Bart Ma.. ma.. matero??
      Something like that

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      1. Hahaha, I hate to be the one to say ‘I told you so’, but in the words of Michael Caine….

        “I did bluddy tell ya!”

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  8. At the risk of being more conservative than a Republican grannie at an Iowa church picnic, I’m holding Ryder this week.

    English can cover while I wait it out one more week. Being ranked in mid 5000s it would be great to go hard, but if whoever pick next week (eg: NN etc) goes down week, I’ll never forgive myself for not having had patience. It’s a long season…
    ….sip….

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  9. Waiting for teams but 0 1 or 2.

    Not liking Lycett in my ruck 2 position. Cannot see he has a future at West Coast. His ruck work is so poor then might be better off will McInnes or McGovern takes second Ruck.

    When a coach proposes 4th or 5th string Rucks as an alternative you know you’re in a lot of strife.

    Actually being a contest in the ruck, that is not his problem, but getting a hit out to advantage seems tuff for him and he neither does enough in the forward line or as a ruck to be valuable for either.

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