Flavour Of The Week – Rd10

Written by Schwarzwalder on May 24 2016

G’day Supercoaches!

Who would’ve thought we’d have such a high-scoring weekend of Supercoach?  Especially after all the selection chaos of last Thursday night!  Safe to say that many would’ve lagged behind without the likes of Shaw & Goldstein in their teams (and as Captain).  While Shaw is almost out-of-reach for those wanting to recruit him ($639k and rising!), Goldy still presents great value before his impending price rise this week.  Is he the Flavour Of The Week?  Here are the Most Traded IN Players ahead of Rd10 (SC Gold as of 24.5.16 at 6am):

 

1 – Jacob Hopper (GWS $193 800, MID)

Plus:

+ Backed up his 106pts debut with 74 against the Dogs.  18 touches (eight contested) and six marks at 72% Disposal Efficiency.

+ Looks a solid rookie option ‘on the bubble’, getting a game ahead of Jack Steele (among others).

+ BreakEven of -64 with projected BEs of -7 & 2.

Minus:

– Very pricy for a rookie.  Not the greatest choice for building a war chest.

– Ryan Griffen to come back soon, might push Hopper out of the team?  A number of teammates waiting in the reserves to get back in as well.

 

2 – Bailey Williams (WBD $117 300, DEF/MID)

Plus:

+ 60 & 54 from his first two games at AFL level.  16 touches (75%DE) & four marks against the Giants on the weekend.

+ BE of -44 with projected BEs of -14 & 2, won’t be any cheaper this year.

+ Dual Position Status is always handy.  Can be used to swap over in the midfield with players like Bartel, McVeigh, Yeo, Rich or B.Smith (as back-up in case of injuries) or simply as a loophole option (if not playing)

Minus:

– It’s all a question of job security with Williams.  The Dogs have a sizeable injury list at the moment.  Matthew Boyd returns this week from suspension with Adams & Suckling expected back in the next two weeks.  Hard to see Williams holding his spot for too long (in my opinion).

 

3 – Sam Docherty (CAR $554 700, DEF)

Plus:

+ Three Round Avg of 134 after 120, 147 & 135 against Collingwood, Port & North respectively.  Has hit a purple patch!

+ Averaging 109 over the first nine Rounds, having hit the ton six times already (twice as many as 2015!).

+ BE of 50 means he won’t be at this price for a few weeks (at least).

Minus: 

– Last two years averages were 76 & 87.  Can he maintain the current 109avg for the rest of the year?  Is this a genuine breakout performance?  Or are you jumping in at his peak price for the sake of a ‘purple patch’?

 

4 – Todd Goldstein (NTH $574 800, RUCK)

Plus:

+ I don’t need to harp on too much about Goldy.  Was the #1 SC player of 2015 with an average of 128.

+ Seven tons from nine games this year including a 172 & 173 (just last weekend).  That 49 against the Dogs is now out of his scoring cycle.

+ BE of 66.  This might be the last time he’s under $600k this year.  He’s the #1 Ruck in Supercoach, not having him is a disadvantage!

Minus:

– Nine of the last fourteen games are against fellow Top8 sides, might find the going tougher?  I’m reaching here, aren’t I?  If you have a Ruckman that isn’t Gawn or Nic Nat, you should probably trade them in for Goldy………

 

5 – Matt Priddis (WCE $502 800, MID)

Plus:

+ After three sub-100 games, The Perm has hit back with 123 & 112 at his last two.

+ Has averaged 110+ over numerous seasons, always a solid performer!

+ BE of 65 and coming up against the depleted Suns in Perth.  Last year against the Suns: 196 & 125!  Last chance to jump on at this price!

Minus:

– Disposal Efficiency was the main reason for his recent scoring slump, going as low as 50% at times.  Maybe you want to back against him this year?  Otherwise, he seems a great value pick……..

 

Nos. 6-10: Dayne Zorko (BRL), Heath Shaw (GWS), Rhys Mathieson (BRL), Dustin Martin (RIC), Scott Pendlebury (COL).

Most Traded OUT Players: Darcy Byrne-Jones (PTA), Mitch Brown (ESS), Daniel Wells (NTH), Ben Kennedy (MEL), Marcus Adams (WBD), Tom Papley (SYD), Connor Menadue (RIC), Aaron Hall (GCS), Gary Ablett (GCS), Darcy Parish (ESS).

Most Popular Trades ahead of Rd10 (pictured below):

TradesRd9

 

Be sure to check out the SCT Leagues Update later today to see which leagues are up there in the overall competition (we still have one in the Top20!).  MJ presents his Fallen Premiums as always on Wednesday morning.  Father Dougal gives us the projections on cash cows in his Cow Talk thread on Wednesday afternoon.  Plus Movers & Shakers, Bubble Busters, Burning Question, The Captains Table and full teams as they’re announced.  SuperCoachTalk is your daily SC-fix!

So is it worth getting Hopper in this week?  Should we go with the cheaper option in Williams?  Is Goldy a must for all non-Goldy teams?  Tell us all about it in the poll and comments below………

 

FoTW options - Rd10 (max two)

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26 thoughts on “Flavour Of The Week – Rd10”

  1. What do you guys think about the Martin -> Goldstein trade?

    Is the situation dire enough yet that Martin has to go?

    T/U – Ditch him
    T/D – Keep him

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    1. Keeping him until after Rd 14 then going to Nic Nat. Already got Goldy and Gawn starting to look a little flakey.

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    2. Martin is the subject of our Burning Question tomorrow. It’s a tricky one. Part of me says he’ll come good. Other part says its justified since Goldy won’t be under $600k for too long and is definitely a Top2 Ruck…..

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    1. No doubt he’s played well till now but it just feels like chasing pts. He might still score the odd ton, but his best patch is probably already behind him……

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  2. I’ve been thinking about the hopper trade. I’m very undecided. I’m leaning towards getting mathieson instead. I’m thinking trengove can’t be too far away. He might be an alternative to hopper

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    1. in same boat. the only option I can downgrade for Hopper atm is McCarthy, it doesnt really some worth a trade to bank the $70k I would make from that downgrade.

      Im more keen on DBJ or Adams to Williams but will wait to see teams. if all suckling is back this week and williams retains his spot I will be more likely to bring in williams.

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  3. o McDonald vs B Williams ? Whats everyone’s thoughts on their job security ? Surely a burning question too considering the dearth of cheap downgrade options now available.

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  4. With 2 premium midfield spots left who should I get out of Neale, Priddis and Gray before the byes. Current mid premiums are Dangerfield, Hannebery, Pendlebury, Parker, Ablett, Shiel.
    Thumbs up- Priddis and Gray
    Thumbs down- Neale and Gray
    Comment- Neale and Priddis

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    1. Hold off for gray for a little longer, as he still has a breakeven of around 140 so he still has a highly likely chance to drop a little more.

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  5. Traded Hopper in for Wells. 2nd trade is “sideways” but not really the way my pair are doing. I’ll do the trade I don’t do this week, next week.

    T/u. Trade in Priddis and have Priddis and Stef Martin

    T/d. Trade in Goldstein and have Goldstein and Wines

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    1. Couple things. If west gets more games for brisbane outlook bad for martin. Wines been getting the ball just using poorly. Least you know he hasnt gone cold.

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    1. Priddis has a breakeven of 66, he will go up in price this week. If you are looking to get him in then do It this week.

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  6. Interested in your thoughts on Brodie Smith

    T/U – Trade him
    T/D – Hold him as he will come good

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  7. Definitely after Priddis this week. Likely out would be Oliver (MEL) Also on the radar is a little downgrade from lynch (GC) to the in-form and great BE value of Cameron (GWS). Could hold Lynch and dump Wells (NTH) or Hall (GC) if injuries are still a concern. Regardless next week have the cash for a De Goey (COL) upgrade to any premo MID or FWD. Injuries destroyed me this year but took no donuts…my trades, however, have disappeared. Just my second year playing SuperCoach…still working out kinks/learning footy in general. Great site, great sport, great fun with SuperCoach !

    T/U – my thoughts for this week seem sound. (Lynch to Cameron, save money)
    T/D – Hold Lynch, dump a cash-plump(ish) rookie (less money for upgrades next week)
    Comment – Forget about Cameron save trades (Bye weeks look good, current trades remain 14 before moves)

    Thanks!

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    1. Actually maybe a change of plans
      Mills down to Hopper
      Mumford up to Goldy?
      T/U if this is better than the trades above.

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Flavour Of The Week – Rd10

Written by Schwarzwalder on June 2 2015

Isn’t hindsight a wonderful thing? 

I was pretty sure that Tom Rockliff would be making another appearance on the FoTW after another ton but it wasn’t meant to be. While looking over the last FoTW post, I read my prophetic words: ‘Bad luck might continue? How are those ribs of his?’ It’s hard to be too upset since he was sub-$500k and seemed to be getting back to full fitness. Those injuries are a SC-killer. It’s up to you if you want to hold Rocky or not. I’d understand the decision either way, I’m still on the fence. Since trades are at a premium, I’m swaying towards holding at this stage. Things should become clearer after selection news on Thursday (Oxley, Krakouer etc). But again, you decide what’s best for your team!

Was a little surprised to see so many rookies on the Most Traded-IN players this week. I see that our fellow Supercoaches are trying to raise some cash for those important upgrades around the byes. So who is this weeks’ Flavour? Let’s check out the popular picks (SC Gold as at 01.06.15, 7pm):

1 – Joel Hamling (DOGS – $123,900 DEF)
Plus:
+ Solid debut game for the Doggies on the weekend. Sixteen disposals with only one clanger for his 82 points.
+ Spent practically the entire game on the ground. Hopefully more game time coming up!
Minus:
– Has taken till Rd9 to make his debut after looking a certain starter during the pre-season. Michael Talia is waiting in the magoos for Hamling to stumble. Job security depends on next few performances.
– Only the one game till now. Hamling won’t be ‘on the bubble’ until after the Dogs’ Rd11 bye. Anyone who took Josh Glenn early can explain the risks involved there.
– Likely to play more of a key position defensive role so don’t expect 80+ each week.

2 – Lance Franklin (SYD – $468,600 FWD)
Plus:
+ One of the biggest names in the game. Arguably one of the best five players going around at the minute. Buddy is definitely one of the most influential when he gets going, a real match-winner!
+ After an indifferent start to 2014, he averaged 115+ over the last thirteen games of the season.
+ Has scored 90+ in six of nine games this season plus an 80 in soggy conditions against the Dogs.
+ Tore Carlton apart with 22 disposals and seven goals straight for his 149 points. Pushes hard up the ground for many of his disposals.
+ Break Even of 83 and projected BE of 46 next week. With games against the Suns and Kangaroos, you’d think he’d be over $500k again shortly.
Minus:
– Key Position Forward so scores can fluctuate depending on form/conditions. Was held goalless twice this year for scores of 62 & 47.
– Seven clangers against Carlton, arguably could’ve nudged 180+ on the weekend. With Buddy, you have to take the good with the bad.
– Doesn’t play for Richmond! Seriously, Richard Tambling ahead of Buddy? I’ll never live that one down 😉

3 – Daniel Robinson (SYD – $123,900 MID)
Plus:
+ Managed to break into the Swans midfield! That’s quite an achievement in itself.
+ Fifteen touches and a goal (with zero clangers!) for his 83 points on debut against Carlton.
Minus:
– Constant question of job security will follow him as long as he’s in the ones. If Tom Mitchell had such a hard time cracking the squad, then Robinson will have to do it hard. How many games can he string together? Will he rise much in value over the year?
– As with Joel Hamling, another rookie to have played just the one game till now. The Golden Supercoach Rule states not to trade in rookies until they’re named for a third appearance.
– Feel the need to harp on about job security here. Heeney and Zak Jones should be fit after the bye plus Craig Bird is sitting in the reserves. Robinson wouldn’t want to put a foot wrong.
– Perhaps an inflated score against Carlton? Especially with the handy players around him (Hannebery, JPK, McGlynn and so on).

4 – Luke Hodge (HAW – $541,000 DEF/MID)
Plus:
+ Dual Position Player. Very handy around the upcoming byes!
+ Captain of the best team in the comp, having won the last two flags.
+ High ceiling when he goes large. Already has a 130 & 177 to his name this year. Lowest score of 81 in six games till now. In a tricky season for selecting defenders, Hodge seems certain to feature in the Top 6………worst-case scenario, Top 10!
+ Only one clanger from his thirty disposals against the Suns, including eleven contested possessions for his 130 points.
Minus:
– Had his brain-fade against the Kangas when he tried his hand at Ultimate Fighting. 😉 Has had three weeks off and the bye is coming up yet the Hawks are always quick to rest players with little niggles (Jordan Lewis on the weekend is a prime example).
– The price tag. Anyone who brought in Tom McDonald over $500k would be a little weary of paying that much for another defender. Especially with cheaper players in the midfield that can score just as well / consistently.
– Despite a lowest score of 81 this year, he’s only hit the ton twice (when he’s gone large).

5 – Trent Dumont (NTH – $153,500 MID)
Plus:
+ In his first full game for the Kangas, he produced eighteen touches and ten tackles (!) for his 84 points. Played only 68% of the game so he was running close to a point per minute. That’s impressive for anyone, let alone a rookie!
+ Does look a class player of the future for the Roos.
+ BE of -18 plus projected BEs of -23 & 33 suggest a steep price rise coming up.
Minus:
– Started as sub in two of his three games till now. Even after an impressive (short) debut against the Cats, he was quickly demoted to the reserves. As ‘Diz’ pointed out in the Trade Talk thread: Dal Santo, Wells and Swallow will be back soon so he might struggle for a spot in the Kangas’ best 22. Big job security issue!
– Only 50% Disposal Efficiency against the Pies. Hope that trend doesn’t stay constant.

 

No.6-10: Dangerfield (ADE), Boston (GCS), Wallis (DOGS), Shaw (GWS), Goldstein (NTH)

 

* With so many rookies featuring this week, be sure to check out Badger’s Rookie Review for more info. Plus MJ’s Fallen Premiums is always essential reading for the keen Supercoach.
Rd9 produced some massive scores in the SC world. SCT AB is still the No.1 League overall but only just. The gap has closed to second place. Such is the evenness of the competition that Cattas SCT Challenge dropped from 7 to 16 overall. Heads up, fellas! There’s always next week. There are still five SCT coaches sitting in the Top 100 overall: Andy B, nickoless, Catta, sodes & Frosty (just). Plus Keyboard Warriors aren’t far off either at 128. Best of luck in the quest for that pot o’ gold! One final tid-bit from me: be sure to fine tune your teams heading into the byes. I’m still adamant that poor preparation cost me about 2000 spots overall at years end. That one bad round can have a huge effect! Good luck with your trades this week!!

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20 thoughts on “Flavour Of The Week – Rd10”

  1. Ideally, Dumont is the sort of tough nut that could replace many of the things Greenwood did for our midfield. Even with our full midfield back, it couldn’t hurt to have another inside midfielder!

    Whilst I wouldn’t be expecting an extended run of games from him, i’d imagine he’d be putting constant pressure on the likes of Bastinac and Atley to play well!

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  2. What are people’s thoughts on Rockliff. Even if one of the 2-3 weeks is their bye, I would think that it would still be a few weeks before he would be back scoring to his potential. Given his courage and the fact he captains the team, I’m assuming he is going to come back and play sore. So the likely outcome is he misses 2-3 weeks and then plays sore for possibly another 2-3 weeks. Not to mention the risk that he could break them again. I’m really starting to think he needs to be traded, especially when you think it will only costs up to $25K to get one of K.Jack, B.Ebert, O.Wines.

    T/U: Keep Rockliff
    T/D: Trade Rockliff

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  3. The article about Claye Beams on the afl website says Rocky will be out for up to 6 matches.

    Clearly, that is a long time to hold onto someone – but I am still considering it.

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