Flavour Of The Week – Rd13

Written by Schwarzwalder on June 15 2016

G’day Supercoaches!

We have quite the conundrum on our plates this week.  Any player that you bring in this week will miss a game over the next three Rounds.  While it is normally recommended to conserve trades over the first week, there are a number of rookies that have presented a strong case for recruitment before their first price rise.  Add to that the injuries to many Ruck lines and the trades continue to flow in the lead up to the Bye Rounds.  The most popular Traded-IN players are: (SC Gold as of 15.6.16 at 5am):

 

1 – Jack Trengove (MEL, $156 500, MID)

Plus:

+ Got through his 2nd game unscathed, now ‘on the bubble’.

+ 13 touches, nine tackles and a goal for his 81 pts against Collingwood.

+ Job security is solid.  As long as he’s fit, he’ll stay in the seniors.

+ BreakEven of -47 and projected BE of -26, time to jump on!

Minus:

– Injury is the big worry and his foot troubles are always a risk to flare up again.  Would you pass him up though based on an injury that may/may not flare up again this year?

 

2 – Kade Stewart (HAW, $102 400, MID)

Plus:

+ BE of -98 with projected BEs of -41 & -19, bargain basement price!

+ Cracked into a classy midfield with some handy efforts.  Scores of 90 & 70 at his first two appearances.

+ 13 touches and two goals for his 70 pts against Essendon.

Minus:

– Hawthorn has made a habit of giving rookies a seniors experience but never for too long.  I wonder if Stewart keeps his spot when Mitchell and Hodge return to the line-up.  Unless Sicily, O’Brien, Hartung or Langford are taken out ahead of him?  Hawks Fans, what do you think??

 

3 – Max Gawn (MEL, $586 300, RUCK)

Plus:

+ The highest-scoring Ruckman so far this year and 5th best scorer overall with an average of 116.7 pts.

+ As long as he stays fit, he’s simply a must-have on your Ruck line.

Minus:

– Did throw in a couple shockers recently (49 & 63) but you may just have to take the good with the bad.

– Injury flaring up again?  He’s been fit for a year now which is un-characteristic for his career.  Fingers crossed……….

 

4 – Todd Goldstein (NTH, $599 200, RUCK)

Plus:

+ #1 Supercoach player of 2015 and currently running at a 114.9 avg this season.

+ Eight tons from eleven games so far this year.  Playing consistently (again).

Minus:

– Carrying some niggling injuries!  Missed the game against Richmond and has been in serious doubt for the last few weeks.  Really in need of that Bye!

– BE of 165.  While he is a player capable of scoring that, he’ll most likely be cheaper after his bye if you can afford to wait.

 

5 – Shane Mumford (GWS, $453 500, RUCK)

Plus:

+ While only averaging 94 this season, he is capable of much more……2011 – 111avg & 2014 – 115avg.  Perhaps he’s the best of the value picks?

+ Playing at the Giants, one of the most promising lists/midfields in the competition.  Plenty of good players around him at the centre bounce.

Minus:

– Hasn’t played more than 19 games in a season and currently has played all 12.  Will he see out the season at all?

– Only averaging ten disposals a game, very reliant on hitouts for SC pts.  Hasn’t been as dominant against opponents as in years gone by.

– What’s happened to his high-scoring ceiling this year?  Granted he’s scored five tons till now but highest score was 117.  Isn’t getting close to the 150s & 160s of 2014 or 2011.

 

Nos 6-10: Logan Austin (PTA), Joel Selwood (GEE), Tom Phillips (COLL), James Rose (SYD), Dayne Zorko (BRL).

 

Most Traded OUT Players: Nic Naitanui (WCE), Josh Smith (COLL), Luke Dahlhaus (WBD), Ryan Davis (GCS), Kurt Tippett (SYD), Ben Keays (BRL), Aaron Hall (GCS), George Hewett (SYD), Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti (ESS), Sam Kerridge (CARL).

 

Most Popular Trades Of The Week (pictured below):

tradesRd12

SCT Leagues Update will be up later today, see which leagues are up there in the overall rankings (one has crept into the Top15!).  MJ’s Fallen Premiums are always a must-read.  Father Dougal and his Excel magic will give us the cash projections on all rookies in the Cow Talk thread on Wednesday afternoon.  Plus Movers & Shakers, Bubble Busters, Trade Or Hold, The Captains Table and full teams as they’re announced.  So……..much……….analysis……………. 😉

What do you make of the popular trade-ins?  Are there any pros/cons you’d like to add?  Let us know in the poll and comments below.  Wishing you the best of luck over the next three weeks.  If you’ve done your homework properly, you should find yourself making a charge up the rankings in comparison to those less prepared………..

 

FoTW Trade Options Rd13 - Are you bringing these popular trade-ins to your team? (max two)

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3 thoughts on “Flavour Of The Week – Rd13”

  1. Trengove it is.

    Most likely looking at a second mid downgrade (Phillips/Read) for dpp.

    Technical looks possibly the Austin/Trengove combo, although mckenzie is just too darn cheap not to consider.

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  2. Thoughts on Rose? If I bring him in for Davis, it opens up my mid/fwd dpp link (currently don’t have one).

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Flavour Of The Week – Rd13

Written by Schwarzwalder on June 23 2015

Feeling refreshed after a week off. Went on a fact-finding mission to Munich. And yes, I’m able to confirm that the ‘Biergarten’ are indeed gardens flowing with beer aplenty 😉 One of my favorite cities in the world.

 

 
But I’ve waffled on enough, back to the matter at hand! The bye rounds have been rough as expected. At this stage, you should be doing your darndest to finalise your line-up amidst all the selection chaos. Coaches are frantically rushing to find viable downgrade targets in order to bank some valuable cash. The final upgrade targets are being meticulously chosen as trades start to run low. This week’s Most Traded-IN players list is as follows (SC Gold, as at 22.06.2015, 7pm):

 

 
1 – Jack Steele (GWS $117,300 MID/FWD)
Plus:
+ Dual Position Player.
+ Very handy debut with seventeen disposals (eight contested), eight tackles and zero clangers for his 84 points. Spent majority of his Time On Ground in the guts.
Minus:
– It’s like a broken record with any rookies but has to be said……..job security always a risk, especially if he has a bad game or two. When the Giants injury list starts to shrink again, will Steele still get a game?
– Took until Rd12 to get a game despite good form in the reserves. Just how high up the pecking order is Steele?
– Remember the Golden Rule of Supercoach: wait until a rookie is selected for his third game before trading him in. Only played the one game, has the bye this week, anything could happen between now and his third game. Beware the ‘Josh Glenn’ curse 😉

 

2 – Rory Sloane (ADE $483,500 MID)
Plus:
+ Last three years SC output: 2012 – 106 average from 21 games, 2013 – 107 (21) & 2014 – 115 (22).
+ Price……….don’t think you’ll see him any cheaper (barring more injuries, of course). Break Even of 77 this week suggests the same also. This was already covered in MJ’s Fallen Premiums post last Thursday!
+ Scores of 94 & 117 since returning from injury suggest he’s over any niggles.
+ High ceiling…….he was hot property after the first three rounds this year (145, 134, 140).
+ Durability! Before the fractured cheekbone this year, he’d only missed two games in the last three years.
Minus:
– Rumours of a niggling calf injury, the fractured cheekbone………..perhaps like Tom Rockliff, he might just be having one of those seasons that are constantly interrupted. Maybe I’m reaching here, but there aren’t many negatives that I can see. If you know of any, please share them with us in the comments.

 

3 – Toby McLean (DOGS $117,300 FWD)
Plus:
+ Is now on the bubble after his second game last weekend. Avoided the vests and picked up sixteen touches at 84% Disposal Efficiency for his 67 points. Spent 81% TOG.
+ Had a hand in their big win against the Lions. Coaches don’t like to mess around too much with a winning team, could perhaps hold his spot a while longer. And as Father Dougal pointed out in his detailed fixture analysis, the Doggies have the softest run home of any team in the league!
+ Picken and The Bont were inclusions last week and McLean held his spot…..surely that’s a big positive in itself?
+ Break Even of -16 next week followed by projected BEs of -25 & 17. He will rise rapidly in value if he can hold his spot.
Minus:
– He’s a rookie so job security is a big issue. Has a lot of competition for that spot (Caleb Daniel, Bailey Dale just to name a few) and the Dogs have been rotating many rookies through the line-up.

 

4 – Luke Hodge (HAW $556,600 DEF/MID)
Plus:
+ To borrow from my Rd10 Post (Hodge is a popular boy): Captain of the best team in the league, having won the last two premierships. Add to that his DPP status!
+ Averaging 110 from his eight games this year, his highest average in years! Lowest score of 81 while scoring 120+ on three occasions.
+ In a year of severe backline turbulence, Hodge looks to be a lock for Top 6 defender (correct me if you think I’m out of line!).
Minus:
– That price tag……….it’s a helluva lot to pay for anyone, let alone a defender. Long story short, if you have the cash and trades up your sleeve then bring him in. Otherwise you’re probably better off searching for a thrifty option down back that could score similarly for the remainder of the year.
– Even after his three week suspension, general consensus on the ‘Trade Talk’ thread seems to be that Hodge may still get rested before finals time.

 

5 – Shaun Edwards (ESS $123,900 DEF)
Plus:
+ Respectable performance against the Eagles. Gathered seventeen touches and two goals for his 77 points. Had 88% TOG.
+ Projected BE of -52 coming up after his second game.
+ Could provide a much-needed forward target for the Bombers (despite his DEF status in SC).
Minus:
– Took until Rd12 to get his debut game despite some reasonable pre-season form. And he didn’t get much of a run at GWS when they were losing badly during the last two years (only 12 appearances).

 
Nos. 6-10: Pendlebury (COLL), Kavanagh (ESS), B.Smith (ADE), Beasley (BRI), Houli (RICH).

 

 

 

 

* With more rookies on the list this week, be sure to check out Badger’s Rookie Review for extra info there. Father Dougal and his Excel-Minions will predict the perfect time to move on your rookies in ‘Cow Talk’. Plus MJ and his Fallen Premiums remain essential reading as always.

 

 
There are still three members of SC Talk in the Top 100 rankings! Nickoless and his ‘Clutch Maulers’ are sitting at no.7 overall, just 95 points away from second spot. Sodes is hovering at 30 and Andy B at 41. Good luck in the run home, guys! Our leagues haven’t had a great run during the byes. The former no.1 league ‘SCT AB’ is now at 26 overall while ‘Cattas SCT Challenge’ has dropped to 30. Hopefully we gather some momentum again this week! Special shout out to my fellow overseas Supercoaches in ‘SCT Abroad’. Currently sitting at 165 overall! Awesome effort considering the limited AFL screen time we can all manage, nice work!!

 

 
So how are your trades looking? Are you going with any of the popular picks this week? Let us know in the poll below. Please feel free to add your pros and cons in the comments if you feel I’ve overlooked something……..healthy footy debate is what it’s all about here! Best advice I can give is to stick with your gut feeling, especially when finishing your ‘ideal team’ in the run to the finals. You don’t necessarily need to follow the Hird……..I mean, herd 😉 Best of luck with your trades this week!

 

Sorry, there are no polls available at the moment.

 

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35 thoughts on “Flavour Of The Week – Rd13”

  1. Wanting to trade down Tarrant to a rookie.
    Who will be a better selection?

    TU McLean (Dogs)
    TD Fantasia (Bombers)

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  2. Getting in Fantasia and Sloane this week….. Gotta choose 1 of the following trades

    Thumbs up trade JJKennedy & Amon
    Thumbs down trade Joelwood & Amon (gives me a mid/fwd DPP link)

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  3. Welcome to the side McLean and B Smith, thank you for your services Tarrant & K McInt

    TU – These are SC Talk approved trades
    TD – Back to the drawing board

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  4. Is it ridiculous to consider boomer harvey for the f6 spot in my team? My line reads : gray, martin, swan, buddy, bontempelli & tarrant currently. Deledio is too expensive in my eyes and i worry about mitchell’s JS

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  5. Would it be a bad move to consider trading out J.Lewis, I know that it’s best to never trade out a prem but his games recently have been so poor and is losing so much money he won’t even be a prem any more.
    TU: Trade him!!
    TD: Get back to the drawing board!!!

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  6. Could say the same for Rance (and I have them both). Plan is to use them as my D7/M9 as haven’t got enough trades to see out season if I sideways trade/downgrade.

    Although in saying that, Rance probably has bottomed out whilst Lewis probably still has about another $100K to drop at the rate he is going 😛

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  7. People are trading in Brodie Smith this week?? Who are these people and what do they know that the rest of us don’t know.

    Yes, he’s incredibly cheap but look at the facts people. He’s cheap for a reason. His scores this season are reminiscent of a stock market crash.

    144, 117, 87, 60, 45, 75, 16, inj, inj, 67, bye, 68

    His BE is 51 so he’s likely at the bottom of his price cycle but there’s no indication that he’s on the way up.

    Rory Laird’s clearly stealing a lot of his scoring action.

    107, 98, 52, 59, 89, 122, 101, 64, 131, 132, BYE, 114

    And a final kicker. Kyle Cheney has a season average higher than Brodie Smith. That’s gotta be a sign that he’s not doing well.

    I’ve had him all season and i’ve watched him go from hero to zero. I’m stuck with him. Don’t make the same mistake!!

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  8. Hi Schwarzwalder, Just wondering if i can get your take on Dyson Heppell? ultra consistent but barely talked about, is their something i’m missing?
    cheers

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