Where and when: Marvel Stadium, Saturday June 22, 4.35pm AEST
What it means for St Kilda: A percentage of 87 is wretched for a team eyeing off finals, so the Saints would need an extra win over the ninth-placed side to feature in September. They could tilt the equation in their favour, with a victory moving them to 7-6.
What it means for Brisbane: The young Lions haven’t won outside Queensland since beating North Melbourne in round two at Marvel Stadium. Producing away from home is the sign of a really good team, and defeating a Saints side that has been resilient would be meritorious.
The stat: Brisbane is ranked No.2 for tackles inside 50 per game. Skipper Dayne Zorko leads the way with 27 through 12 games, while Charlie Cameron (17), Lincoln McCarthy (14), Mitch Robinson (14), Eric Hipwood (14) and Jarryd Lyons (12) have also helped apply pressure.
The match-up: Rowan Marshall v Stefan Martin
Marshall has been one of the Saints’ best in 2019, having thrived after being thrust into the ruck role. Martin has been a bit down on form but despite being 32, there’s life in the big man yet.
It’s a big week for: Daniel Rich
The left-footer is having a great season and his boot could be very effective at Marvel Stadium, with conditions to be ideal for him to cut through St Kilda.
Thommo’s Tip: Brisbane by 15 points.
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With Gawn a bust, who should I C?
T.U: Neale
T.D: Grundy
Same dilemma… going Neale
Grundy slayed English last time, but apparently he’s a bit sore?
Can anyone make a spirited argument for one over the other?
I don’t know about spirited, but I can make a statistical one: English has a hitout win percentage of 30 % – and that’s from playing ruckmen who are far less dominant than Grundy most weeks. Last time they played, Grundy won, from memory, about 90 percent of the hitouts. There’s no reason he shouldn’t do that again.
Assume he attends 70 ruck contests (Grundy averages 75, English 65, so we’ll split the difference). If he wins 90 percent of the hitouts from those, thats 63 hitouts. His average hitout-to-advantage rate is 28 percent. 63 x .28 = 17.64, which rounds up to 18 hitouts to advantage. That’s an automatic 90 points right there.
If he’s not sore, then, with everything he does around the ground, that should pretty much guarantee at least a 150+ score. And even if he is sore, and therefore more restricted than usual, he should still be good for 30 to 40 non-hitout-related points, and thus score 120-130.
Now, Gawn managed to crack 150, so if you had the VC on him, there’s no reason to take any risks. Just lock it in. But if you missed the boat on that one, then the only way Grundy will blow up in your face is if he goes down injured, or is a late out.
Gawn bust……?
U may want to check the scores again. I’m taking gawns score
151 bust?
NO LATE CHANGES
FINAL INTERCHANGES
St Kilda: Blake Acres, Hunter Clark, Matt Parker, Nick Hind
Brisbane: Allen Christensen, Jacob Allison, Rhys Mathieson, Noah Answerth
Nevermind, Gawn got to 150. Taking that.
hanners started OK
oh mundy
you have just made my never again list & your head is on my dart board
traded you in @
590 k with a 3 rd av of 130
4 weeks later will be
450 k with a 3 rd av of 60
gna rival the stef martin fiasco of 2017
Neale being tagged
yep
dunstan has him
Come on Answerth make your BE so i can trade you out
R. Marshall 38
C. Cameron 43
J. Bruce 33
D. Rich 40
D. Hannebery 33
S. Martin 38
J. Battle 30
C. Rayner 31
S. Ross 29
D. Zorko 28
C. Wilkie 27
L. Neale 25
N. Hind 25
J. Lyons 25
L. Dunstan 25
H. Andrews 20
B. Acres 21
H. McCluggage 20
J. Billings 20
A. Witherden 19
S. Savage 16
D. Gardiner 19
J. Sinclair 16
O. McInerney 17
M. Parker 15
M. Robinson 16
J. Carlisle 13
L. Hodge 15
J. Newnes 12
R. Mathieson 14
J. Gresham 12
D. McStay 12
H. Clark 12
A. Christensen 12
J. Marsh 11
L. McCarthy 11
D. Armitage 8
R. Lester 5
D. McKenzie 6
E. Hipwood 4
T. Membrey 3
J. Allison 4
D. Kent 1
N. Answerth -1
Neale being tagged by Seb Ross … looks like very bad news for all of us Neale owners … all teams will tag him now as he can’t shake a decent tag …
Yep. Thanks Ed…
neale is a totally different player after R7
started off with all hardball gets & bein a part of every play
now its just gett’n loose & recieving easy possessions
doin short , dinky , ineffective sideways kicks
he has a totally different game style to the player i started with
maybe he’s got injured along the way
ainsworth & parker doin what ainsworth & parker do
picture of consistancy
Gawn last qtr saved me going c on neale
R. Marshall 68
J. Lyons 66
S. Ross 60
D. Rich 65
J. Billings 53
S. Martin 65
J. Gresham 53
O. McInerney 59
D. Hannebery 53
A. Witherden 49
N. Hind 50
A. Christensen 49
J. Battle 47
C. Cameron 48
J. Sinclair 45
M. Robinson 45
T. Membrey 45
L. Neale 37
L. Dunstan 43
R. Lester 33
B. Acres 41
D. Zorko 32
C. Wilkie 40
C. Rayner 31
J. Bruce 38
L. McCarthy 30
S. Savage 37
H. Andrews 29
D. Armitage 25
D. Gardiner 29
H. Clark 24
L. Hodge 26
M. Parker 24
H. McCluggage 26
J. Carlisle 23
N. Answerth 21
D. Kent 22
E. Hipwood 21
D. McKenzie 20
D. McStay 19
J. Newnes 16
R. Mathieson 17
J. Marsh 15
J. Allison 7
nah mate – it wasn’t really his last quarter, per se. I think the scoring system was going haywire the whole time – Fan Footy was crashing and all over the place with the scores … I think they were able to finally fix it as he was going up in 20 point blocks for things like handballs etc … he definitely had a better second half though, in real footy terms …
ahh
i thought the scores were a little low
Hannebery might make good mid cover for those with a bit of $$$$.
The castle….. Tell em there dreaming.
Neale has been tagged plenty of times in his career and has still killed it. Saints aren’t putting a hard tag on him. Still getting plenty of the ball but as mentioned earlier just not contested or penetrating so far. He is a gun but just not having a massive night so far.
Marshall has easily been the best pickup of my season
I still go with rob…..still got him
was tossn up btw buddy & marshall for my last fwd spot
20 / 20 hind sight
so glad i booted parker
neale will be 480k by seasons end
I’m still trying to work out whether you’re a troll or just different.
pre scaling
R. Marshall 117
S. Martin 129
J. Gresham 105
D. Zorko 118
D. Hannebery 97
D. Rich 113
S. Ross 96
J. Lyons 111
N. Hind 90
C. Cameron 105
J. Billings 88
A. Christensen 102
J. Battle 84
O. McInerney 99
L. Dunstan 83
A. Witherden 94
J. Bruce 76
M. Robinson 88
J. Sinclair 76
L. McCarthy 80
S. Savage 72
L. Neale 79
B. Acres 71
H. McCluggage 73
T. Membrey 69
D. Gardiner 69
C. Wilkie 65
E. Hipwood 64
M. Parker 61
L. Hodge 63
H. Clark 58
D. McStay 60
D. Armitage 53
H. Andrews 56
J. Carlisle 48
C. Rayner 55
D. McKenzie 40
R. Lester 54
D. Kent 36
R. Mathieson 42
J. Newnes 28
N. Answerth 38
J. Marsh 26
J. Allison 18
remember when Armitage was a 140 pt player
Hind is pretty good MID cover this players has skills
he was tearing it up in the VFL but had the juicy half flank role. Playing up forward in the seniors.
Finally Brought in Neale this week after regretting not being in my starting line up and captained him as well
Neale. 25 possessions @72% DE. Most clearances on ground. 3rd most contested.
79 pts is too skinny