Venue: Domain Stadium at 8:10pm AEST
Last 5 times:
R11, 2015, West Coast Eagles 14.12 (96) d Essendon 6.10 (46) at Domain Stadium
R21, 2014, Essendon 11.11 (77) d West Coast Eagles 11.8 (74) at Etihad Stadium
R20, 2013, West Coast Eagles 18.12 (120) d Essendon 9.13 (67) at Etihad Stadium
R14, 2013, Essendon 15.8 (98) d West Coast Eagles 13.13 (91) at Domain Stadium
R7, 2012, Essendon 16.17 (113) d West Coast Eagles 7.10 (52) at Etihad Stadium
Top SC scorers from last match:
- West Coast: Natanui 147, Priddis 115, LeCras 103, Gaff 100
- Essendon: Z.Merrett 130, Goddard 96, Baguley 91
- In: Mitch Brown, Scott Lycett, Jackson Nelson, Patrick McGinnity
- Out: Fraser McInnes (Om.), Jack Redden (Om.), Josh Hill (Ill), Jonathan Giles (Om).
- In: Matt Dea
- Out: Patrick Ambrose (Back)
Game notes: While the Eagles have not yet defeated a fellow top 8 side in 2016, they have not lost a game to a team outside the top 8 either, so there is no prize for predicting the outcome of this match. The omission of Redden indicates that Simpson has lost patience with his side so expect a large margin as West Coast builds towards finals.
The Bombers are claiming they can win another match this season and the top-up players will be seeking to impress Woosha to earn a new contract for next year. Will their efforts be enough to come close to upsetting West Coast at home?
The 6 Points
1. The last time these sides met Essendon managed only three goals in the first half, six for the game, had 20 fewer inside 50s and 10 fewer scoring shots. But the Bombers had more disposals (413-362) and took more marks (120-88).
2. West Coast is ranked third for marks inside 50 averaging 14.4 per game. Essendon has struggled in this area, ranked last with only 9.4 per game.
3. The Bombers continue to be a high-disposal side, ranked second in the AFL averaging 393.7 per game. They are also ranked second for uncontested possessions with 264.6 per game.
4. West Coast has dominated Essendon at Domain Stadium, winning 15 games to three, including nine of the last 10. The Bombers have lost their last 10 games interstate and haven’t won since 2014 in Adelaide.
5. There is a big difference between the two teams in scoring. West Coast is ranked third for goals per game with 15.1 while Essendon is last with 8.5. The Bombers are the only team under 10 goals per game.
6. West Coast has two of the top-12 key forwards in the AFL Player Ratings in Josh Kennedy (35 overall) and Jack Darling (110). The Bombers’ highest-ranked key forward is Joe Daniher. He is 25th among key forwards and 256th overall.
Thommo’s tip: West Coast by 100 points.
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