Midfield Evaluations – Group #3

Hi Everybody!

Here is the third batch of midfielders  I want to re-remind people, this is just my personal guessing, and not anything derived from math. Other than the stuff from the Predicting Uber-Premium Midfielders post, link below, that I will be referring back to sometimes. For those new to my ramblings, TLA stands for True Level of Ability, and I wrote about it more here:

https://supercoachtalk.com/luck-skill-and-circumstance-2020/

For those new to my ramblings, TLA stands for True Level of Ability, and I wrote about it more here:

https://supercoachtalk.com/luck-skill-and-circumstance-2020/

 

Elliot Yeo

Year	Games	Average	Age	TLA
2012	8	58	18
2013	19	61.9	19
2014	13	65.5	20
2015	21	82.1	21
2016	19	75.2	22
2017	21	102.1	23
2018	22	107.9	24	107
2019	21	107.6	25	108
		105-111		109

He was a good pick up mid-season, since his price dropped and then his output rose.  His versatility makes him an asset to the Eagles, but keeps him from being a solid supercoach asset, at least as far as starting with him. He is not close to underpriced enough to make him a bargain, and he is not a good enough scorer to make him a midfield keeper. Despite his real world value he should be in zero % of teams at the start of the season. But, if he ends up getting stuck in defense for a match or two and his price drops, he could end up being a great mid season pickup again. I think if he was playing full time mid he would be more a 115 average player, but there is no evidence that will happen and lots of evidence it will not. 

Andrew Gaff

Year	Games	Average	Age	TLA
2011	14	61.1	18
2012	22	90.4	19
2013	22	71.1	20
2014	22	87.9	21
2015	22	103.8	22	103
2016	21	90.7	23	104
2017	22	93.1	24	105
2018	19	108.2	25	106
2019	20	107.4	26	107
		104-110		107

It sure looks like he has found his level, which is, like Yeo, is too expensive to be a bargain and not high enough to be a keeper. There is pretty much zero reason to start with him that I know of. Get someone better, or someone just as good and cheaper. But, again like Yeo, watch for a price drop that could make him a good fallen premium mid season. 

Dayne Zorko

Year	Games	Average	Age	TLA
2012	16	100	22
2013	22	82.9	23
2014	21	99	24	101
2015	22	100.6	25	103
2016	20	109	26	105
2017	21	110.8	27	105
2018	22	95.8	28	103
2019	22	106.6	29	102
		98-106		101

Zorko The Magnificent has an Uber-Premium nickname, which makes him a personal favorite.  He is priced close to the top of what he could score, and is 30 and thus playing Frogger. Just not a good risk. On the other hand, if he has a really bad start I’ll be tempted by him because I don’t think he’s going to fall far and fast this season. 

Josh P. Kennedy

Year	Games	Average	Age	TLA
2008	3	50.7	19
2009	10	80.8	20
2010	22	81	21
2011	22	96.1	22
2012	22	120.2	23	115
2013	22	105.4	24	115
2014	20	113.9	25	112
2015	22	110.2	26	110
2016	21	113.4	27	108
2017	19	102.6	28	103
2018	22	96.8	29	101
2019	19	106.6	30	100
		96-104		99

He dodged the beer trucks at 30, and will be trying again at 31. I think the biggest risk to his scoring is all the youth that the Swans seem to be planning to play. He might well dodge skillfully again this year and put up a score close to last year, but with so many better options why risk it?

Zachary Merrett

Year	Games	Average	Age	TLA
2014	19	63.7	18
2015	17	88.5	19
2016	22	111.5	20	108
2017	21	109.2	21	108
2018	22	100.4	22	108
2019	22	105.6	23	108
		106-112	24	109

Talked about him already in my original TLA post this season. But, just looking again now, I sort of see his 2018 and 2019 seasons as injury recovery. Which is probably wrong. But, at some point I think he will put up a 112+ average again. I really don’t think he will get worse. The main problem with him is that his ceiling is not high enough to bring him in for that, and even at a discount he’s not cheap enough to start with.  Seems to be a theme at this level.

 

Remember the Craggy Island Guarantee, All predictions wrong or triple your money back!

Thanks for reading!

 

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