Motts Movers R16, 2012 – The Backs

Premiums

Brett Deledio ($546,200, 116.93, 106) – With a last 4 game average of 118 its fair to say that Lids is back. Having said that, 3 of those 4 games were against GWS, GC and Melb and in the one game against a tough team (Adelaide) he scored 91. Nevertheless, at $546k his price has bottomed out for the year so if you don’t have him (and 56% of teams do), now is the time to pick him up. I gave Richmond a B+ for their SC Finals campaign.

Midpricers

Luke McGuane ($324,100, 98.50, 1) – Statistics: 104 and 93 in his first 2 games. Facts behind the statistics: they were against the Dees and Suns. Also, in his 6 previous seasons he has never averaged higher than 62. If you’re the type of person who doesn’t hold the handrail on escalators because you like a bit of risk then Lukey’s your man.  Otherwise, pass him over and give some thought to Chris Yarran who’s almost the same price.

Grant Birchall ($493,000, 97.31, 88) – We love what he’s been doing lately (tons in the last 3 weeks averaging 109) but I’ve just had a look at the Hawks next 3 opponents (Collingwood, Essendon & Geelong) and how Birch has performed against them in the past and it ain’t that pretty. His last 3 games against each of them from most recent back are Pies (103, 62, 79), Dons (129, 64, 50) and Cats (86, 98, 61). That to me is cause for concern.

Andrew Carrazzo ($485,800, 98.75, 71) – Sometimes in this game its very easy to spot a bargain buy. Someone who you know is at their lowest price for the year. So it was with Carrots in R14 when he bottomed out at $442k. People jumped on him like he was the most unpopular kid in school at a pile-on. Since then he’s knocked out scores of 108 and 118 making all those that did extremely satisfied. With Judd and Simmo out for the next 3-4 he should see plenty of midfield time as well. Ripper.

Corey Enright ($496,300, 93.57, 102) – Big Sexy would be redecorating the inside of his undies with the form of this bloke. 112 average over the last 4. It’s a wonder BS’s SC team isn’t winning more games in our cash league (currently 7th). Enright hasn’t had a rest since the bye so watch for a late withdrawal somewhere along the way between now and the end of the regular season. If you have him, just pray it isn’t on a week when you need him.

Brian Lake ($438,700, 87.43, 40) – 34% of teams have Brian Lake in them and many have had him from the get-go (including mine). He’s been a super pick up. He’s played in every game bar one, he only cost $287k and he’s smashed out 5 tons including 2 in the last 2 weeks. In fact the 124 he scored against Hawthorn last week was his highest score for the year. Go Mr Harris!

Value Picks

Mark Baguley ($94,700, 79) – We spend all year waiting for a cheap D/M DPP to come onto the market and then bang! two make an appearance in the one round (Luke Brown was the other). Of the 2, The Bag had the better week scoring 79 (Brown scored 41). Upcoming opponents include Geelong, Hawthorn and Adelaide so I’d be a bit worried about his job security.

Lee Spurr ($217,200, 68.75, -23) – In another example of Rossy Lyon flipping the bird to fantasy footy coaches everywhere, Spurr got a late call up in the Dees game meaning his 100 sat on a lot of peoples’ benches. To the kid’s credit though, he grabbed his opportunity with both hands. Probably a bit dear to be used to downgrade to, and hasn’t made enough cash to downgrade from. He’s in the SC Twilight Zone.

Andrew McInnes ($113,200, 64, -59) – On the bubble after a 51 and a 77 against Collingwood and North but I get the feeling Ratts is just getting some games into him during the season and will revert to more seasoned defenders as the Blues make their charge to the Top 4, Top 8, 9^th. With blokes like Bret Thornton, Jordan Russell, Paul Bower, and even fellow rookie Josh Bootsma all sitting on the pine his JS is questionable.

Tagged as: Brian Lake, BS, cash, Collingwood, Corey Enright, JS, teams, Value Picks