Motts Movers R3, 2012 – The Mids

Written by Motts on April 18 2012

Premiums

Gary Ablett ($708,000, 154.7, 93) – Who knew his 2012 starting price this year ($689k) was cheap? If you don’t have him, do whatever you need to do this week to pick him up. He is the one true perma-captain and you’ll get burnt if your opponent has him and you don’t. Next 3 opponents: Brisbane, NM, Freo (home).

Marc Murphy ($642,100, 132.0, 102) – Has started the year like a bull at a gate. Not a bad run coming up either with Essendon, Freo (away) and GWS. Followed by St Kilda, Adelaide (home), Melbourne, and Port (away).

Joel Selwood ($600,400, 122.7, 104) – Got the nod over a number of his contemporaries on the basis of his price, the opponents he’s scored that average against (Freo [away], Hawthorn and North) and his next 3 opponents: Richmond, Brisbane and Melbourne.

Lots of others I could’ve mentioned. FYI Scott Pendlebury has a BE of 206 – this week is NOT the week to bring him in.

Midpricers

Scott Selwood ($503,800, 134.7, -3) – He’s done it against some pretty easy opposition (Dogs, Melbourne and GWS) but you can’t argue with that average. And an injury to Bradd Dalziell could actually improve his scores. Either that or open the door for Koby Stevens (played his first game last week and scored a delectable 81). Next 3 opponents: Hawthorn, Richmond & North Melbourne.

Chris Masten ($376,300, 113, -37 ) – OK so his first game against the Dogs was nothing special (80) and he’s faced two easy opponents after that (Melb and GWS) but that average for that price means he gets a mention. Next 3 opponents: same as Scotty.

Brad Ebert ($391,400, 105.7, 25) – Got the nod over David Armitage because the quality of the opposition he’s faced (St Kilda, Essendon and Sydney) has been relatively tougher. Next 3: Collingwood, Adelaide, Richmond.

There’s always so many more that miss out on my top 3 picks. Coming in very close were Liam Anthony, Andrew Gaff, Rory Sloane, and Tendai!

FYI Keep an eye on Jack Ziebell ($428,500) this week – scored 132 in his first game for the year last week.

Value Picks

Lewis Jetta ($285,400, 87.3, 10)

Toby Greene ($206,300, 75, -18)

Dylan Shiel ($160,200, 58.7, -47)

Everyone knows about James Magner so I’ve skipped over him. He’d be at the top of the list otherwise. Other M/F DPP’s were named in The Forwards edition.

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114 thoughts on “Motts Movers R3, 2012 – The Mids”

  1. Good to see two eagles and a former eagle made up all your midpricers, brought in Scotty last week into my SCTTL team and was very happy, am actually thinking of fyfe to masten this week but will more than likely hold him or switch to trealor.

    On a side note I saw the headline ‘Is Ablett Unstoppable?’ on Afl.com.au and read a whole article on if hevis or isn’t, I could of save them an article by just sayin YES!

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  2. My mids are Ablett, Stanton, Murphy, Bartel, Priddis, Magner (Parker & Shiel)
    I have 209k in the bank. What you guys think of best way to get pendles? who should i get rid of?

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  3. How’s about Michael Barlow.

    He has been vested twice and still avg 83. His points per minute is around 1.1 which is among the very elite in the game. He has dropped down to 440k and his break even of 94 so this is prob the cheapest you will get him.

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  4. Hey fellas. In the wrong section but will get the quicker response.. Lol
    If we hang onto fyfe this week and he doesn’t play with someone on the bench to cover points. Will his price drop again not playing or will he stay the same..?
    Therefore picking up a superstar forward next week when they don’t make there BE’s..

    Cheers roo

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  5. I brought in Pendlebury last week since he was performing,
    I was in the logic that if he scored another 130+, he’d rise still.
    Now I have to bite the bullet…

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  6. Ablett was pretty clearly underpriced at the start of this year, given he didn’t have a preseason last year and took half the season to get going. If you take out his injury affected score of 19, his average was 142SC points for the second half of the season – not bad for someone priced at an average of 128SC points this year.

    Pretty sure Dalziel being injured wont improve Scott Selwood’s scores – Dalziel wasn’t in the team when Selwood made his first two week’s worth of scores, and only played part of the game when Selwood made his 3rd score, so Selwood’s current average pretty much assumes no Dalziel in the team.

    If you’re prepared to take a risk with the midpricers, Barlow and Hayes (both injury concerns) are also great value for their proven potential …

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  7. What is everyone who was unfortunate enough to pick up Martin doing with him?

    Thumbs up: Trade

    Thumbs Down: Keep

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  8. Nathan Fyfe. Definitely the biggest issue this week is; what to do with him?
    Theres 4 main options.

    1) Swap for someone of similar value.
    This would be the most travelled path us supercoachers would be taking. With the risk that it could pop out at any time, it simply makes sense. The only problem is, who for?
    Every candidate has a potential risk. Roughead with his achilles, N.Roo with his knee, Boomer with his age, Sidebottom (and Zaharakis for that matter) with his lack of experience and Cyril with his hammies. Don’t forget Pav, Stevie J and Chapman, who are all out of form. Do we take the punt? Trade out Fyfe with the risk of his shoulder for someone else with a risk? Due to the lack of quality options, i’d steer clear.

    2) Downgrade to a rookie. This option certainly looks appealing, I mean, Treloar was one of the most hyped up GWS rookies. Only problem was he didn’t make the round 1 line up. This certainly looks appealing. So whats the problem?
    Goodes. Many of us have him, and his failure to learn from rough conduct 7 weeks ago presents us with a dilemma. With him on the bench, can we afford to lose Fyfe, a fellow star, for another rookie? Can we bank on Premiums such as Franklin to carry our forward line?

    3) Bring Fyfe into the midfield and upgrade him to a star. To any teams with a quality DPP in the midfield, i would highly recommend this option. Upgrading Fyfe to Dal Santo sure does sound appealing ! For the rest of us, this option certainly isn’t ideal, as again, we lose some serious forward firepower.

    4) Leave him ! Despite knowing Fyfe’s shoulder could pop out at any time, this definitely looks the goods to me. Why, you might ask?
    If we look back to season 2011, we find that Fyfe’s 108 averaging year was riddled with partial shoulder dislocations.
    http://www.footywire.com/afl/footy/pg-fremantle-dockers–nathan-fyfe?year=2011&fantasy=y
    If we have a look at the statistics, Fyfe scored below 80 thrice, and under 100 6 times, despite being having constant queries about his shoulder.
    Freo surely wouldn’t risk the long term safety of perhaps their brightest young player would they?
    Despite looking the ideal sub candidate for Friday, us supercoachers will have an hour and a half notice in advance to make a decision !
    All the other options present a risk, surely keeping him and saving a trade is the most logical option at the moment!

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  9. does anyone know how break evens are calculated, and if they are just given weekly estimates to meet, or if it’s cumulative (if a player misses his break even one week by x amount, his next week break even increases by x amount) cause i don’t see how a player can get a break even of over 200.

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  10. why would fyfe start as sub when they could give him a rest and give someone like lachie neale some experience, not to mention someone could get injured in the first 5 minutes and he has to play a full game anyway. cant see the point of it myself

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  11. Fyfe —> Treloar
    and
    Caddy (BE 42) —> Murphy
    Thumbs up

    OR

    Fyfe —> Harvey
    Thumbs Down

    OR

    Don’t trade Fyfe
    Comment

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  12. Is it the same people who are talking about trading Fyfe out that also traded Broughton for Dempsey??

    We do have the option of not making a trade.

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  13. i’ve traded him for carazzo. may reverse it. but not sold on his shoulder and feel he’ll do again in the season if it’s not operated on (again). pretty much talking myself out of fyfe. Spewing i’ve swapped both my for/mid dpp’s. can only get fyfe for a forward or defender

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  14. Midfield Poll

    Thumbs Up – Sam Mitchell
    Thumbs Down – Trent Cotchin
    Look up their stats if you want to know them?

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  15. Het SCT coaches,

    I’m having a dispute with a mate over James Hird & Wayne Carey…. Let me paint the picture, it’s a wet day at the “G” & you have the opportunity to pick one of these champion players to try & get their team the 4 points for a win!

    Who would be the better player on a wet day at the “G” ?

    Thumbs up…………….Wayne Carey
    Thumbs down…………James Hird

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  16. There are a lot of blokes looking like tossers recently… Pull your heads in. You have more important things to think about… to trade Fyfe or not to trade Fyfe… That is the question.

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  17. The two trades options ive got this week is –
    Thumbs Up:
    Adam Goodes – Travis Cloke (playing Port)
    A.Saad – A.Kennedy (playing the Crows)
    Or
    Thumbs Down:
    Adam Goodes/Steve Johnson – Nick Riewoldt (playing Freo)
    Greg Broughton/Heath Shaw – Andrew Carrots (playing Essendon)
    If Thumbs Down which of the above gets traded??

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  18. so confused about fyth not gnna take the chance of keeping him due to having a massive BE who should i trade in?

    Thumb up Barlow
    Thumb down Whitecorss

    Comment Hawkins/masten

    comment for anyone else :S

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  19. Don’t think Barlow will get much cheaper than $440k, but the rookies haven’t MOOOOed enough yet. Hoping he doesn’t get into the 500s too soon

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  20. ok i have made the decision to get rid of fyth due to injury scare and martin aswell his be is high and richmond is vsing geelong no point keeping hes gnna drop value

    Thumbs up Masten, Whitecross
    Thumbs down Ebert,Hawkins

    comment otherwise

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  21. Just saw that the hawks Brad Hill will defenatly make his debuet against the eagles and essendons Cory Dell’oglio has been elevated and might play if dempsey dosnt

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  22. considering fyfe situation and in a worse case scenario he does his shoulder again would you consider doing this trade

    fyfe- ->M Murphy

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  23. Nat Fyfe just met Dr & said surgery is inevitable in the future but still hopes to take on Saints on #AFL

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  24. I got laughed off by my mates for having Ziebell warming the bench in the first 2 rounds but oh what joy it was watching him carve up Geelong last weekend. He is a gun. Anyone else worried by Fyfe or back him in?

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