Premiums
We all know about Selwood, Murphy, and Watson so lets go a little left of centre:
Callan Ward ($538,700, 121.25, 64) – Hasn’t scored less than 108 and he’s done it all without playing the GWS Giants. In only 8,176 teams – a true POD.
Josh P Kennedy ($563,100, 124, 121) – Go on admit it: he was in at least one version of your pre-season team and for whatever reason he’s not in your team now.
Brent Stanton ($591,200, 142, 104) – In only 17,857 teams last week. To put that in perspective, GAJ is in 194,076.
Midpricers
Shaun Grigg ($489,900, 107.25, 52) – I wouldn’t pick him but you might be a Tigers supporter looking for someone different.
Clancee Pearce ($394,800, 108.33, 11) – 96, 116, 113 in the last 3 weeks.
Tendai Mzungu ($473,900, 101.50, 80) – hasn’t scored less than 92 in 4 games.
Take a peek at Jack Ziebell too. $428,500, 115, 30 after 2 games.
Value Picks
James McDonald ($106,600, 89, -113) – warning: I seriously doubt he will play out the year. Having said that, he will probably make you a truckload of cash by the time he does stop playing.
Adam Treloar ($113,200, 73, -77) – Handy M/F DPP too.
Devon Smith ($213,400, 60.50, -4) – gave him the nod over Dylan Shiel coz I mentioned Dylan last week and because he’s a M/F DPP.
{ 53 comments… read them below or add one }
Good looking list.!
Ziebell is in great form trying to find a way to slot him in.. Not sure there’s room in the mids for my side tho.
Trying to decide on my trade cash up trade for the week. What does anyone think .. OUT ledger, IN..
Thumbs up – old mac
Thumbs down – teloar
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Old McDonald’s BE…-113
Treloar BE…-77
Both great choices, Old Mac’s bigger body would be my choice. As the season continues, the younger bodies start to struggle so IMO Old Mac has longer JS Trooroo!
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Shaun Grigg 5 year SC AV 33 , 69,74,81,79 , at 490k no thanks , Shane Tuck at a similar price may be a better bet for those Tiger fans wanting a player
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I might eat these words but Grigg looked really good in the last few weeks. Is it me or is Richmond probably the best team going around sitting at 1-3?
Bet they finish 9th…..Bahahahahahahahaha
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The Tigers are slowly but surely coming good. Although I would not pick him Grigg has added something to the mids as has Conca, not to mention Lids.
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Barlow anyone??
Thinking of burning the Gaz trades( 1 out 1 in)
26k overall so only going for league wins. Sitting at 0-2 atm.
My thinking is trade in Barlow this week and milk a cow next week to get Pendles in.
I really think Gaz will be eased back into the side as they wouldn’t want to risk the 9 million dollar man for short term gain.
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Like the Barlow pick. Don’t like the injury risk that comes with him. Don’t agree with your “eased back” thinking. With this new “4 Hour Body” training regime that GAJ is on (and incidentally that is a very good book for anyone that is interested) he’ll be back in 2 weeks and he’ll be right to go immediately.
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Thanks Motts for you feedback. Love ya work!!
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GAJ will only have one week off for sure
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Hidden due to low comment rating. Click here to see.
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1) Not all injuries are the same and there is always a spectrum of how bad each is structurally.
2) He and the footy club have the best doctors going around plus the best rehabilitation/recovery facilities (pretty sure you didn’t)
3) Ablett says 2-3 weeks but he thinks he’ll be back earlier.
4) McKernan is in hot water needing to win 6 games or so this year to renew his contract. Round 7 (3weeks) gold coast play GWS therefore he will be playing that game and he will kill it when he does as coach and his team need to win that.
5) If you trade him out he will still be about 700K not sure where you get the money to get him back in but thats gonna mean at least 2 extra trades to get him back in.
Up to you what you do but with other actual LTIs I am keeping him.
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Simon … love that your point of reference is an U14′s injury
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I think he will be out for two and back to take on GWS. It will be like a final for the Suns.
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Let me go left of centre with another Selwood Motts,
Scott Selwood @ $543,000 with scores of 104 v Bulldogs, 152 v Demonds, 145 v GWS & 94 v Hawks. Ave of 124.5 & enjoying his opportunities to take himself from being a mid-pricer to knocking on the door of being a priemium midfielder.
With the Tigers, Kangers, Bombers & Saints over the next 4 rounds, his average could break thru 130 by round 9 IMO.
Hot debate. What do you think?
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Actually had written him up before noticing I named him last week. So replaced him with Stanton. I like to provide diversity.
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Fair enough Motts, I must of overlooked that one last week.
As normal, keep up the great work!
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Cheers buddy
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Sandilands in doubt.
http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/breaking/13502793/sandilands-in-doubt-for-carlton-clash/
Hot debate. What do you think?
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just brought him in for Mummy too. The rucks are causing me all sorts of grief this year
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Traded Mummy out last week too and almost went for Sandi. For some reason I just knew he would have some injury worry during the season so I went Naitanui!! I can’t see Sandiland’s ever playing much more than 18-20 games a season.
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I think he will play. Lyon was quoted “He’s got such a big heart and (he’s so) mentally tough that I’d be surprised if he doesn’t play.” They need him … I need him!
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Great write up as usual Motts. Am really tempted to swap Ablett out make some cash and then bring him back in, if he was a defenate three weeks I’d do it, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he only misses one…I can just see him thinking to himself ‘how many brownlow votes am I missing out on?’
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well he wont be playing this week thats for sure. They are then up against Freo at Metricon followed by the GWS.
He is either going to be back for the Freo game or they may stretch it out until round 8 against the doggies
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If he stays fit I think he can win the brownlow this year.
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Hey Motts seeing as we had a GAblett thread can we please have a Carrazzo post with who people might be swapping with? The more research I do the more confused I get. The way I see it of Shaw gets named I’ll probly bring him in. If not Scotland seems to be the obvious choice, but im tempted to go a bit left field and go someone like M Johnson, Duffield, Geary, Rance or Malcheski
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Suckling or Birchall at a similar price to Carrots, could be worth a look Matteo!
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Had the same thoughts mate but wanna try and get someone that most people don’t have
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did you ever consider rance? Could be his breakout year and he has scored pretty nicely averaging over 100.
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Quote Bruce McAvaney, ‘Barlow, industrious as always.’
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Morris/Ellis call. Motts – Champagne comedy
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its jus me, but i wont be bringing any Pies/Bombers players into my team this wk with the 4 day turn around.
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How come G-Rex?
Sidebottom, Stanton & Ryder are just a few potential trades on my watch list this week.
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short break.. prob upgrade nxt wk
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There’s ~3300 SC points to be earned in any one game of AFL footy. Someone in that game has to score well!
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lol thats a fair point.. but, i’d be more confident if they had a longer break. i’d rather play it safe considering shockin run of injuries amd late withdrawls out there in SC land.. i have managed to miss the carnage up to now with Ablett and 211…
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Is it worth it to do the following trade just to generate fund faster
Devon Smith/A. Kennedy/Shiel -> Treloar
Thoughts or Thumbs?
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If you’ve got a few trades up your sleeve (22+) then I’d make that trade. 1 trade for $100k profit seems reasonable.
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I think its 2 weeks too early for that one but hey if you can use that $100k wisely and you have lots of trades then go for it
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if you have a player such as ledger or dickson or someone else that hasnt and wont be playing for a while than u would be better off getting rid of them rather than the boys u mentioned.
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G’day Motts,
Great site…..just started using your site this year as good source of info and opinion.
Just like last week i find myself wondering what to do, so was wondering if you had any advice?
Background:
Remaining Salary Cap $311,700, Trades left: 19, Team Value: 10,873,000
Dilemmas:
Carazzo: Who do i trade for? (want Pendles next week so don’t think i can afford to eat into my salary cap this week)
Dempsey: Do i start him if named for Wednesday?
Smedts, Clay smith: Do i trade for JMac/Treloar and $ or save trades
Rucks (Giles, Mummy, Orren & Redden): do i tweak now and change mummy or do i ride out mummy and upgrade one of the others in 4-5 weeks?
Any advice/help would be much appreciated as i stuffed up last week when left to my own devices (1,897 rd points) and have a tough opposition this week!
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Was going to advise a trade to get Treloar but noticed you have used 5 trades already.
If you are going to do anything i’d advise one trade. Either of a non-playing rookie like Smedts or Smith to a cheapie premium (Ward or Ziebell could fit the mould here) or an injury replacement for Carazzo or Mummy. Something smells bad about Mummy’s short term playing future.
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Thanks Roo,
I’ve definitely gone a bit overboard on the trades so far! My theory was to build value fast and upgrade early. All my trades have been worth good money but i think i’ve underestimated the value of trades to cover injuries…..think I’ll be learning the hard way, come finals, that this is SC and not the stock market!!
I suppose the only essential trade is Carrazzo atm so will take ur advice and minimise to that 1 trade.
Tossing up between Duffield, Johnson, Geary, Suckling, Rance, Enright (need a keeper)
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I know I know, saints goggles… but I’ve been happily surprised with Clint Jones’ season thus far (for arguably one of, ifnnot the games current best tagger). Scores of 83, 105, 95 & 109 would be one out of the box for him, no? Break even of 64. Should make that easy coming up against the Dees.
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Operation ‘Get Pendles’ has begun
Figure he’ll drop to $610k next week, I have $135k in the bank, so $475k + a rookie to go
If they all play I think my rookies will be worth:-
Magner $255k, Shiel $240k, Greene $235k, Conig $239k
Kenn $235k, D Smith $235k, Milera $225k, Smedts $135k
Even if I traded my 2 highest rookies I’d still be about $80k short
Thumbs up – Start cashing in your rookies this week for J McD / Treloar
Thumbs down – Grab Pendles a week later (he’ll stay in the low $600 and your rookies will have gone into the $270-$280s
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Last year I had Callan Ward, Josh Kennedy AND Cotchin from the start … what I wouldn’t give to be able to afford all three this year ! Oh, and last year I didn’t have Fyfe … what I wouldn’t give to have not had Fyfe this year !
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The SC merry-go-round
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anyone got anymore news on Fyfe? on twitter yesterday they said he trained with main group, did the whole session..
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did that last week too
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and we even got treated to a lovely photo of him taking a mark (probably from 2 years ago)
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Out : carrazo,mumford
In : thumbs up : J.selwood , Mcintosh
Thumbs down : Lenny Hayes , Sandilands
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Motts, what do you reckon about this: (playing for league wins – 23 trades left, $65k)
Ablett out, J. McDonald in
T. Dickson out, Treloar in (for money-making purpose)
($670k)
Next week:
Pendles in, Magner or Coniglio out
($270-300k, my guess)
Round 7:
Ablett in (if he returns vs GWS), Manger or Coniglio out
Any comments would be appreciated greatly, and I know the lockout is only 2 hours away!
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Beas that’s my exact plan! I have chucked it on the “Fridays Final Thoughts” thread and have got 1 thumb-up and 1 thumb-down so far.
I like the plan!
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Aye – 5 premiums in midfield by round 7, a lot to like about.
Might also trade Mumford out for NicNat or downgrade him to a rookie, as Giles is going along nicely, next week.
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