As Father Dougal has noted, when a player is significantly over-or-under-performing, it’s only a matter of time before their output reverts back to their True Level of Ability. So, with most coaches looking to start upgrading, I’m going to continue on from my theme in in last week’s Rare Gems: I’ll warn you off some movers, and tell you which shakers should be on your radar.
Player Name (Club, Price, Average, Three-Round-Average, Five-Round-Average)
Shane Savage (STK, $479,300, 89.5, 105.3, 97.2)
Posting a career-best average of 89.5 last year, there’s little reason to think the injury-prone 28-year-old will do any better this year. Look elsewhere.
Jack Crisp (COL, $462,800, 88.0,, 88.7, 89.0)
A notoriously slow starter, it’s normally around this time of year that Crisp’s scoring starts to explode. He hasn’t missed a game since 2014, so if you want a cheap, durable defender who has the capacity to average 100+ for the remainder of the season, look no further.
David Zaharakis (ESS, $529,800, 97.6, 112.7, 97.6)
At 29, Zaharakis has never averaged 100+ for a season. He’s averaged 90-something for the last two years, and will more than likely do so again this year.
Jack Macrae (WBD, $614,300, 115.0, 97.3, 111.6)
Macrae started the year on fire, and made those of us who didn’t start him instantly regret our decision. However, a 97 and 85 in the last two weeks has sent his price tumbling, and, with a BE of 175, we should be able to pick him up for under $600K in a week or two.
Rhys Stanley (GEE, $489,700, 96.7, 113.7, 94.4)
Stanley is 28, and has never averaged 90+ for a season, his best effort being 89 last year. Through either injury, or just the whims of The Scott Twin™, he’s missed a lot of games over the last few years, too.
Toby Nankervis (RIC, $434,900, 81.5, 65.3, 72.4)
Nankervis has had a tough draw to start the year, facing Grundy, Gawn, Mumford, and the Lycett/Ryder double-act. His next four opponents are Tim English, Rory Lobb, Ben McEvoy, and Tom Bellchambers, so his scoring should improve from here. Personally, if I were in the market for a budget ruck, for $25K less I’d be looking at Mumford (the $279K Reilly O’Brien could also work, although his job security is shaky beyond the next few weeks), but some may find Nankervis’ durability attractive, with him only having missed 2 games since crossing to Richmond (one of which was a suspension).
Sam Gray (PTA, $428,500, 89.0, 101.3, 89.0)
At 27, the closest Sam Gray has come to SuperCoach relevance since his rookie year was in 2015, when posted an average of 89. Since then, he’s averaged 80, 76, and 70. You can do better, people.
Jack Gunston (HAW, $408,500, 77.2, 62.0, 72.0)
Durable. Consistently averages 90+. Nowhere near an age cliff (he’s 27). And, thanks to his current form-slump, should be available for under $400K next week. Along with Macrae, I know who I’ll be bringing in.
Are you eyeing off any of these shakers? Or are you convinced that one of the movers is the real-deal? Convince us in the comments below!
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