Movers & Shakers – Round 7

Written by The Salamander on May 2 2019

As Father Dougal has noted, when a player is significantly over-or-under-performing, it’s only a matter of time before their output reverts back to their True Level of Ability. So, with most coaches looking to start upgrading, I’m going to continue on from my theme in in last week’s Rare Gems: I’ll warn you off some movers, and tell you which shakers should be on your radar.


Player Name (Club, Price, Average, Three-Round-Average, Five-Round-Average)

DEFENDERS

Shane Savage (STK, $479,300, 89.5, 105.3, 97.2)
Posting a career-best average of 89.5 last year, there’s little reason to think the injury-prone 28-year-old will do any better this year. Look elsewhere.

Jack Crisp (COL, $462,800, 88.0,, 88.7, 89.0)
A notoriously slow starter, it’s normally around this time of year that Crisp’s scoring starts to explode. He hasn’t missed a game since 2014, so if you want a cheap, durable defender who has the capacity to average 100+ for the remainder of the season, look no further.

MIDFIELDERS

David Zaharakis (ESS, $529,800, 97.6, 112.7, 97.6)
At 29, Zaharakis has never averaged 100+ for a season. He’s averaged 90-something for the last two years, and will more than likely do so again this year.

Jack Macrae (WBD, $614,300, 115.0, 97.3, 111.6)
Macrae started the year on fire, and made those of us who didn’t start him instantly regret our decision. However, a 97 and 85 in the last two weeks has sent his price tumbling, and, with a BE of 175, we should be able to pick him up for under $600K in a week or two.

RUCKS

Rhys Stanley (GEE, $489,700, 96.7, 113.7, 94.4)
Stanley is 28, and has never averaged 90+ for a season, his best effort being 89 last year. Through either injury, or just the whims of The Scott Twin™, he’s missed a lot of games over the last few years, too.

Toby Nankervis (RIC, $434,900, 81.5, 65.3, 72.4)
Nankervis has had a tough draw to start the year, facing Grundy, Gawn, Mumford, and the Lycett/Ryder double-act. His next four opponents are Tim English, Rory Lobb, Ben McEvoy, and Tom Bellchambers, so his scoring should improve from here. Personally, if I were in the market for a budget ruck, for $25K less I’d be looking at Mumford (the $279K Reilly O’Brien could also work, although his job security is shaky beyond the next few weeks), but some may find Nankervis’ durability attractive, with him only having missed 2 games since crossing to Richmond (one of which was a suspension).

FORWARDS

Sam Gray (PTA, $428,500, 89.0, 101.3, 89.0)
At 27, the closest Sam Gray has come to SuperCoach relevance since his rookie year was in 2015, when posted an average of 89. Since then, he’s averaged 80, 76, and 70. You can do better, people.

Jack Gunston (HAW, $408,500, 77.2, 62.0, 72.0)
Durable. Consistently averages 90+. Nowhere near an age cliff (he’s 27). And, thanks to his current form-slump, should be available for under $400K next week. Along with Macrae, I know who I’ll be bringing in.



Are you eyeing off any of these shakers? Or are you convinced that one of the movers is the real-deal? Convince us in the comments below!

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21 thoughts on “Movers & Shakers – Round 7”

  1. does rocky present value still? Has a very nice draw & bye and I think he may go close to Top 8-10 if he stays on the park

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  2. Gunston has consistently scored well in a highly competitive team. Hawthorn are a different beast now. I wouldn’t touch him

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    1. Great, more Gunston for me! 😛

      In all seriousness, including finals, he averaged 101 in wins (high 140, low 74, 5/15 100+, 2/15 below 85) and 84 (high 104, low 47, 3/8 100+, 2/8 below 75) in losses last year. He was also not particularly sensitive to big margins:

      Average when ratio of points for/against less than .7: 87
      Average when ratio of points for/against greater than 2: 97

      Correlation between margin and SC score: .16 (i.e. basically non-existent)
      Correlation between points for/against percentage and SC: also .16

      I can see the logic in avoiding him if you think the Hawks are a bottom-4 side, but as long as they can win 6 to 8 games, he should have more than enough good scores to cancel out the bad.

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      1. It’s only his goal-kicking that concerns me. It’s fallen through the floor and he seems to be severely lacking confidence.

        Am keeping an eye on Crisp and Macrae for certain.
        Westhoff and Darling too, tho far from convinced just yet.

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        1. I’m with you. The wife started him. I’d love him to drop a bit, tho he’s still pretty cheap. Their BH draw is sweet!!

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      1. If there was ever a KPP that would take Buddy’s mantle as ‘the only SC relevant KPP’ then Jeremy Cameron is starting to look like he might be it.

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  3. Macrae has always been on the radar, since choosing not to start him, I had to find a way to get him in. This seems to be the moment as he shouldn’t get much cheaper than what he is in the next 2 weeks. If he does, I’d be getting concerned on his future output.

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  4. Do coaches view Zac Fisher as a potential top-10 forward?

    Currently 15th in points for forwards, DPP, friendly bye, Blues have been more competitive, third-season… thoughts?

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    1. Potentially. He’s playing in the midfield, so a 90+ average is quite achievable. His teammate SPS is in a similar boat, albeit without the DPP.

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      1. Appreciate your thoughts, Sal.

        I’m going to first go for TK and Boak, but they are on the watch list.

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  5. I was looking at Gunston or Tom Hawkins next week.

    Decided on Hawkins given their draw (they’re through the toughest part of it)

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  6. I was liking gunston next week. If he is to average 90 for the season he averages more than that from now on. Can’t see myself no trading him in

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    1. Fanfooty lists him as having played midfield for both of those games, but that doesn’t necessarily mean he didn’t float foward at times. I didn’t see either of the games, so I can’t be 100 percent sure.

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  7. Has Westhoff now bottomed out and ready to be picked up? Why was his score greatly improved last week as opposed to other weeks?

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