Myth-Smiters: Joelwood’s Slow Starts

Today’s Myth: I’ve heard a rumor that Joel Selwood starts the season off slowly. Since he is one of those rare R12 bye premiums, the timing of his upgrade is very important. As with JPK, all we have to do it look at how he did the first third of the last five seasons compared to the last two thirds.

 

Round	2016	2015	2014	2013	2012
1	105	69	157	126	116
2	70	110	140	140	112
3	142	154	138	74	140
4	100	84	126	163	144
5	144	83	83	87	114
6	138	104	82	105
7	132	89	93	100	114
	118.7	99.0	117.0	113.6	123.3
8	69	90		83	140
9	72	79	140	91	110
10	82	122	113	73	104
11	150	89	98	137	154
12	141	74	122
13	130		100	135	101
14	106		103	54	149
15		103	138	151	116
16	102		84	133	107
17	128	142	144	137	83
18	128	171	147	151	126
19	85	145	148	103	132
20	88	114	128	160	99
21	101	81	110	144	81
22	116	51	90	131
23	124	142	176	127	111
	108.1	107.9	122.7	120.7	115.2
	111.5	104.8	120..9	118.4	117.6

So, a slow start three times and a fast start two times. Not a lot of meaning in that. His average for the first seven matches from all five seasons is 114.3. His average for the last 15 matches from all five years is 114.9.

Conclusion: Myth!  Joel’s average first and last thirds has only been 0.6 different over the last five seasons. He could have any kind of start.

 

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