I have heard talk, rumors, and even myths about various players and how they do/do not perform. If true, these are good to know and can help us make good decisions. But if they are not true, and are in fact myths, then we sure don’t want to make decisions based on myth and legends! Who would want to lead their life based on stuff some bloke wrote when there is no evidence for it? Madness! So, I’m going to take a look at some of the ‘myths’ I’ve heard, to see if the facts match the rumors. If so we have learned something useful. If not, then as far as myths go, it will be time to smite with mighty smiting!
Today’s ‘Myth’: Josh P Kennedy (SYD) always starts the season slowly. Let’s just look at his average over the first 7 matches, which is about 1/3 a season, vs his average over his last 15 matches for, say, the last five seasons. Those numbers below.
Looks like he started out stronger over the first part of the year in four out of the last five seasons! The only one where he started slowly was 2016. I suppose that would explain why people might think he starts slowly, since recent events are more memorable, but the data shows otherwise. I suppose he could have eaten a magic “from-now-on-have-a-slow-start-to-the-season” biscuit at Christmas 2015, but that does not seem likely.
Conclusion: Myth! There is no reason to expect him to have a slow start to the 2017 season. He could, just like last season, or he could start fast like the previous four.
(Are there any myths you’d like us to look into over the next few weeks? Something you have heard often in our Forums but weren’t really sure?)
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