Numbers Game – Captains Rd5

Written by Schwarzwalder on April 21 2017

Once again, Adam comes through with the goods.ย  There’s more numbers here than a NASA Science Fair ๐Ÿ˜‰ Adam has even added a list of tips at the end of his calculations.ย  Thanks Adam!

 

Top 10 Averages VS Rd 5 Opponent:

N Fyfe: 127.5 from 8

G Ablett: 126.5 from 12

S Pendlebury: 118.74 from 19

T Adams: 116.33 from 3

M Murphy: 114.1 from 10

J Kennedy (Syd): 113.45 from 11

M Priddis: 111.88 from 16

J Roughead: 111.14 from 14

M Bontempelli: 110.33 from 3

T Rockliff: 109.88 from 8

 

Percentage of 120+ games:

N Fyfe: 75% (6/8)

M Murphy: 60% (6/10)

S Pendlebury: 57.89% (11/19)

J Kennedy (Syd): 54.55% (6/11)

G Ablett: 50% (6/12)

T Rockliff: 50% (4/8)

J Roughead: 35.71% (5/14)

T Adams: 33% (1/3)

M Bontempelli: 33% (1/3)

M Priddis: 25% (4/16)

 

Top 10 Averages in Round 5:
G Ablett: 146.5 from 8
P Dangerfield: 135.6 from 5
S Pendlebury: 131 from 10
J Kennedy (Syd): 126.4 from 5
H Shaw: 125.33 from 6
N Riewoldt: 120 from 7
D Hannebery: 119.5 from 4
D Martin: 117.6 from 5
A Sandilands: 113.5 from 6
N Fyfe: 111.4 from 5

 

Percentage of 120+ games:
S Pendlebury: 80% (8/10)
H Shaw: 66.67% (4/6)
G Ablett: 62.5% (5/8)
P Dangerfield: 60% (3/5)
N Riewoldt: 42.86% (3/7)
N Fyfe: 40% (2/5)
J Kennedy (Syd): 40% (2/5)
A Sandilands: 33.33% (2/6)
D Hannebery: 25% (1/4)
D Martin: 20% (1/5)

 

 

 

ย Port Adelaide VS Carlton

O Wines:

Avg VS Carl since 2014: 97.75 from 4 (low of 60 and a high of145, 3/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2014: 104 from 2 (low of 80 and a high of 128)

 

M Murphy:

Avg VS Port since 2008: 114.1 from 10 (low of 82 and a high of 138, 3/10 below 100, 6/10 120+, 4/10 130+)

RD 5 avg since 2008: 108.44 from 9 (low of 73 and a high of 153, 4/9 below 100, 2/9 120+)

 

K Simpson:

Avg VS Port since 2007: 96.46 from 13 (low of 58 and a high of 125, 7/13 below 100, 2/13 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2007: 110.2 from 10 (low of 74 and a high of 138, 2/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

2016 Night Avg: 104 from 5 (low of 84 and a high of 128, 1/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2016 Avg vs Bottom 9 teams: 110.18 from 11 (low of 84 and a high of 129, 2/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)

 

S Docherty:

Avg VS Port since 2015: 116 from 2 (low of 85 and a high of 147)

RD 5 avg since 2015: 90.5 from 2 (low of 87 and a high of 94)

2016 Night Avg: 112 from 5 (low of 87 and a high of 135, 1/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2016 Avg vs Bottom 9 teams: 103.36 from 11 (low of 79 and a high of 147, 5/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

 

Western Bulldogs VS Brisbane

L Dahlhaus:

Avg VS Bris since 2013: 97.33 from 6 (low of 68 and a high of 111, 3/6 below 100, 1/6 110+)

RD 5 avg since 2013: 103.5 from 4 (low of 88 and a high of 126, 2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

2016 Avg at ES: 101.18 from 11 (low of 69 and a high of 154, 2/11 below 80, 5/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

2016 Avg vs Bottom 9 teams: 102.88 from 8 (low of 74 and a high of 119, 2/8 below 100)

 

M Bontempelli:

Avg VS Bris since 2015: 110.33 from 3 (low of 91 and a high of 147, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2015: 95.5 from 2 (low of 91 and a high of 100)

2016 Avg at ES: 108.43 from 14 (low of 67 and a high of 149, 2/14 below 80, 6/14 below 100, 5/14 120+, 3/14 140+)

2016 Avg vs Bottom 9 teams: 106 from 12 (low of 78 and a high of 140, 5/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

 

D Beams:

Avg VS WB since 2012: 121 from 2 (low of 105 and a high of 137)

RD 5 avg since 2012: 110.67 from 3 (low of 98 and a high of 121, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

 

T Rockliff:

Avg VS WB since 2011: 109.88 from 8 (low of 43 and a high of 153, 3/8 below 100, 4/8 120+, 3/8 145+)

RD 5 avg since 2011: 111.4 from 5 (low of 83 and a high of 140, 1/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2016 Avg at ES: 143.5 from 4 (low of 83 and a high of 204, 1/4 below 100, 3/4 120+, 3/4 130+, 2/4 150+, 1/4 200+)

2016 Afternoon Avg: 137.38 from 8 (low of 100 and a high of 204, 5/8 120+, 5/8 130+, 3/8 150+, 1/8 200+)

Avg VS Top 9 teams of 2016: 105.78 from 9 (low of 48 and a high of 133, 1/9 below 80, 3/9 below 100, 4/9 120+, 3/9 130+)

 

Gold Coast VS Adelaide

G Ablett

Avg VS Adel since 2007: 126.5 from 12 (low of 76 and a high of 198, 3/12 below 100, 6/12 120+, 3/12 140+, 2/12 190+)

RD 5 avg since 2007: 146.5 from 8 (low of 68 and a high of 254, 1/8 below 100, 5/8 120+, 5/8 140+, 4/8 160+, 1/8 200+)

Avg at MS 2016: 105.43 from 7 (low of 74 and a high of 139, 3/7 below 100, 3/7 120+)

Career avg at MS: 127.2 from 47

2016 Twilight Avg: 108.25 from 8 (low of 74 and a high of 143, 3/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

2016 Avg vs Top 9 teams: 115.86 from 7 (low of 87 and a high of 159, 2/7 below 100, 3/7 120+)

 

T Lynch:

Avg VS Adel since 2014: 87.5 from 4 (low of 40 and a high of 146, 3/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2014: 83.67 from 3 (low of 67 and a high of 113, 2/3 below 100)

Avg at MS 2016: 94.36 from 11 (low of 37 and a high of 126, 6/11 below 100, 3/11 below 80, 3/11 120+)

2016 Twilight Avg: 96.44 from 9 (low of 42 and a high of 129, 4/9 below 100, 3/9 120+)

2016 Avg vs Top 9 teams: 76.3 from 10 (low of 37 and a high of 118, 6/10 below 80, 8/10 below 100, 2/10 100+)

 

R Sloane:

Avg VS GC since 2012: 96.71 from 7 (low of 75 and a high of 136, 5/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2012: 96 from 5 (low of 69 and a high of 121, 2/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2016 Twilight Avg: 119 from 3 (low of 77 and a high of 141, 1/3 below 100, 2/3 120+)

2016 Avg VS Bottom 9 teams of 2016: 104.09 from 11 (low of 77 and a high of 141, 5/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

 

R Laird

Avg VS GC since 2015: 123 from 2 (low of 122 and a high of 124)

RD 5 avg since 2015: 84 from 2 (low of 79 and a high of 89)

2016 Twilight Avg: 102.66 from 3 (low of 74 and a high of 129, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Avg VS Bottom 9 teams of 2016: 105.78 from 9 (low of 80 and a high of 130, 5/9 below 100, 3/9 120+)

Sydney VS GWS

J Kennedy:

Avg Vs GWS since 2012: 113.45 from 11 (low of 61 and a high of 147, 3/11 below 100, 6/11 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2012: 126.4 from 5 (low of 101 and a high of 173, 2/5 120+, 2/5 140+)

Avg at SCG 2016: 115.3 from 10 (low of 75 and a high of 161, 2/10 below 100, 5/10 120+)

Career avg at SCG: 109.6 from 61

2016 Night avg: 116.25 from 8 (low of 75 and a high of 161, 1/8 below 80, 2/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

2016 Avg vs Top 9 teams: 115.36 from 11 (low of 90 and a high of 161, 3/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)

 

D Hannebery:

Avg VS GWS since 2013: 101.38 from 8 (low of 57 and a high of 136, 4/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2013: 119.5 from 4 (low of 107 and a high of 144, 1/4 120+)

Avg at SCG 2016: 105.27 from 11 (low of 68 and a high of 136, 4/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)

2016 Night avg: 113.44 from 9 (low of 68 and a high of 138, 1/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)

2016 Avg vs Top 9 teams: 112.73 from 11 (low of 68 and a high of 131, 2/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)

 

L Franklin:

Avg VS GWS since 2012: 97.5 from 8 (low of 54 and a high of 137, 2/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2007: 94.9 from 10 (low of 57 and a high of 171, 7/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)

Avg at SCG 2016: 97.82 from 11 (low of 60 and a high of 136, 6/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

Career avg at SCG: 99.1 from 28

2016 Night avg: 97.33 from 9 (low of 69 and a high of 141, 2/9 below 80, 4/9 below 100, 1/9 120+)

2016 Avg vs Top 9 teams: 92.45 from 11 (low of 34 and a high of 141, 3/11 below 80, 5/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

 

H Shaw:

Avg VS Syd since 2007: 103.47 from 17 (low of 64 and a high of 164, 8/17 below 100, 3/17 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2007: 125.33 from 6 (low of 82 and a high of 175, 1/6 below 100, 4/6 120+, 3/6 130+)

2016 Night Avg: 102.33 from 3 (low of 81 and a high of 124, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2016 Avg VS Top 9 teams: 121.6 from 10 (low of 74 and a high of 203, 1/10 below 80, 3/10 below 100, 6/10 120+, 2/10 140+)

 

Fremantle VS North Melbourne

N Fyfe:

Avg VS NM since 2011: 127.5 from 8 (low of 94 and a high of 164, 1/8 below 100, 6/8 120+, 2/8 140+)

RD 5 avg since 2011: 111.4 from 5 (low of 93 and a high of 129, 2/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)

Career Av g at DS: 105.6 from 62

 

A Sandilands:

Avg VS NM since 2008: 108.67 from 9 (low of 83 and a high of 154, 5/9 below 100, 2/9 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2008: 113.5 from 6 (low of 72 and a high of 145, 1/6 below 100, 2/6 120+)

Career Av g at DS: 97.1 from 100

 

T Goldstein:

Avg VS Freo since 2011: 91.86 from 7 (low of 44 and a high of 121, 3/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2011: 104.4 from 5 (low of 89 and a high of 125, 3/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2016 Night Avg: 106.64 from 11 (low of 49 and a high of 173, 5/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)

2016 Avg VS Bottom 9 teams: 121.38 from 8 (low of 87 and a high of 173, 3/8 below 100, 4/8 120+, 2/8 170+)

 

St Kilda VS Geelong

N Riewoldt:

Avg VS Geel since 2007: 84.75 from 12 (low of 32 and a high of 138, 7/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2008: 120 from 7 (low of 86 and a high of 157, 2/7 below 100, 3/7 120+)

2016 avg at ES: 117.23 from 13 (low of 79 and a high of 187, 2/13 below 100, 4/13 120+, 2/13 140+)

Career ES avg: 111 from 124

2016 Afternoon Avg: 103.64 from 11 (low of 33 and a high of 187, 6/11 below 100, 4/11 120+, 2/11 140+)

2016 Avg vs Top 9 teams: 104.64 from 11 (low of 45 and a high of 142, 3/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)

 

L Montagna:

Avg VS Geel since 2007: 102.15 from 13 (low 64 and a high of 131, 6/13 below 100, 3/13 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2007: 106 from 9 (low of 76 and a high of 140, 3/9 below 100, 2/9 120+)

Avg at ES 2016: 97 from 14 (low of 65 and a high of 130, 8/14 below 100, 2/14 120+)

2016 Afternoon Avg: 105.75 from 12 (low of 70 and a high of 150, 5/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

2016 Avg vs Top 9 teams: 95 from 10 (low of 45 and a high of 130, 4/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)

 

P Dangerfield:

Avg VS StK since 2012: 98 from 6 (low of 86 and a high of 116, 3/6 below 100)

RD 5 avg since 2012: 135.6 from 5(low of 89 and a high of 192, 1/5 below 100, 3/5 120+, 2/5 140+)

2016 Avg at ES: 147.6 from 5 (low of 99 and a high of 229, 1/5 below 100, 3/5 120+, 2/5 170+)

2016 Afternoon Avg: 116.8 from 10 (low of 77 and a high of 162, 4/10 below 100, 5/10 120+, 2/10 150+)

2016 Avg vs Top 9 teams: 138.73 from 11 (low of 77 and a high of 229, 1/11 below 100, 8/11 120+, 3/11 160+)

 

J Selwood:

Avg VS StK since 2009: 103.88 from 8 (low of 72 and a high of 151, 3/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2009: 105.63 from 8 (low of 83 and a high of 144, 4/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

2016 Avg at ES: 109.4 from 5 (low of 82 and a high of 141, 2/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)

2016 Afternoon Avg: 98.33 from 10 (low of 70 and a high of 132, 4/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

2016 Avg vs Top 9 teams: 110.73 from 11 (low of 69 and a high of 150, 2/11 below 80, 3/11 below 100, 5/11 120+, 4/11 130+)

 

ย 

Hawthorn VS West Coast

J Roughead:

Avg VS WC since 2008: 111.14 from 14 (low of 73 and a high of 184, 6/14 below 100, 5/14 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2009: 81 from 7 (low of 41 and a high of 109, 6/7 below 100)

 

M Priddis:

Avg VS Haw since 2007: 111.88 from 16 (low of 79 and a high of 173, 4/16 below 100, 4/16 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2009: 109.83 from 6 (low of 83 and a high of 173, 3/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)

2016 Twilight Avg: 116.89 from 9 (low of 75 and a high of 159, 1/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)

2016 Avg VS Top 9 teams: 104.3 from 10 (low of 77 and a high of 126, 2/10 below 80, 3/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

 

Richmond VS Melbourne

D Martin:

Avg VS Melb since 2011: 95.67 from 6 (low of 68 and a high of 118, 3/6 below 100)

RD 5 avg since 2011: 117.6 from 5 (low of 90 and a high of 168, 1/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2016 Avg at MCG: 116.71 from 14 (low of 79 and a high of 167, 4/14 below 100, 6/14 120+)

Avg VS Bottom 9 teams of 2016: 120.45 from 11 (low of 79 and a high of 167, 3/11 below 100, 7/11 120+)

 

Essendon VS Collingwood

S Pendlebury:

Avg VS Ess since 2007: 118.74 from 19 (low of 46 and a high of 170, 4/19 below 100, 11/19 120+, 4/19 140+, 3/19 160+)

RD 5 avg since 2007: 131 from 10 (low of 89 and a high of 170, 1/10 below 100, 8/10 120+, 7/10 130+, 3/10 140+, 2/10 150+)

Avg at MCG 2016: 120.21 from 14 (low of 82 and a high of 161, 2/14 below 100, 7/14 120+, 4/14 140+)

Career avg at MCG: 111.7 from 138

2016 Afternoon Avg: 120.3 from 10 (low of 100 and a high of 143, 5/10 120+, 2/10 140+)

Avg VS Bottom 9 teams of 2016: 126.09 from 11 (low of 82 and a high of 165, 2/11 below 100, 7/11 120+, 4/11 140+)

 

Captaincy options format:

Cosmo Kramer: (eccentric left of field option)

Cliff Clavin: (historically or statistically plays well against opponent, at venue or timeslot)

Billy Ocean: (thrives on the big stage or against the top teams)

Rodney Dangerfield: (option that gets no respect)

Tom Petty: (down on form or historically doesnโ€™t perform well against their upcoming opponent)

 

Cosmo Kramer: J Roughead

Avg VS WC since 2008: 111.14 from 14 (low of 73 and a high of 184, 6/14 below 100, 5/14 120+)

 

Cliff Clavin: T Rockliff

2016 Avg at ES: 143.5 from 4 (low of 83 and a high of 204, 1/4 below 100, 3/4 120+, 3/4 130+, 2/4 150+, 1/4 200+)

2016 Afternoon Avg: 137.38 from 8 (low of 100 and a high of 204, 5/8 120+, 5/8 130+, 3/8 150+, 1/8 200+)

 

Billy Ocean: S Pendlebury

Avg VS Ess since 2007: 118.74 from 19 (low of 46 and a high of 170, 4/19 below 100, 11/19 120+, 4/19 140+, 3/19 160+)

RD 5 avg since 2007: 131 from 10 (low of 89 and a high of 170, 1/10 below 100, 8/10 120+, 7/10 130+, 3/10 140+, 2/10 150+)

Avg at MCG 2016: 120.21 from 14 (low of 82 and a high of 161, 2/14 below 100, 7/14 120+, 4/14 140+)

Career avg at MCG: 111.7 from 138

2016 Afternoon Avg: 120.3 from 10 (low of 100 and a high of 143, 5/10 120+, 2/10 140+)

Avg VS Bottom 9 teams of 2016: 126.09 from 11 (low of 82 and a high of 165, 2/11 below 100, 7/11 120+, 4/11 140+)

 

Rodney Dangerfield: (option that gets no respect)

M Murphy:
Avg VS Port since 2008: 114.1 from 10 (low of 82 and a high of 138, 3/10 below 100, 6/10 120+, 4/10 130+)
RD 5 avg since 2008: 108.44 from 9 (low of 73 and a high of 153, 4/9 below 100, 2/9 120+)

 

Tom Petty: R Sloane

Avg VS GC since 2012: 96.71 from 7 (low of 75 and a high of 136, 5/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

RD 5 avg since 2012: 96 from 5 (low of 69 and a high of 121, 2/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

 

**ย  Big it up for Adam!! – Schwarzwalder **

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8 thoughts on “Numbers Game – Captains Rd5”

  1. Top 10 Averages in Round 5:
    G Ablett: 146.5 from 8
    P Dangerfield: 135.6 from 5
    S Pendlebury: 131 from 10
    J Kennedy (Syd): 126.4 from 5
    H Shaw: 125.33 from 6
    N Riewoldt: 120 from 7
    D Hannebery: 119.5 from 4
    D Martin: 117.6 from 5
    A Sandilands: 113.5 from 6
    N Fyfe: 111.4 from 5

    Percentage of 120+ games:
    S Pendlebury: 80% (8/10)
    H Shaw: 66.67% (4/6)
    G Ablett: 62.5% (5/8)
    P Dangerfield: 60% (3/5)
    N Riewoldt: 42.86% (3/7)
    N Fyfe: 40% (2/5)
    J Kennedy (Syd): 40% (2/5)
    A Sandilands: 33.33% (2/6)
    D Hannebery: 25% (1/4)
    D Martin: 20% (1/5)

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  2. Rodney Dangerfield: (option that gets no respect)

    M Murphy:
    Avg VS Port since 2008: 114.1 from 10 (low of 82 and a high of 138, 3/10 below 100, 6/10 120+, 4/10 130+)
    RD 5 avg since 2008: 108.44 from 9 (low of 73 and a high of 153, 4/9 below 100, 2/9 120+)

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  3. Maybe Danger isn’t such a great option as captain this week?

    Am still thinking Fyfe into Danger (using JOM as captain loophole) – but am a little concerned about Dangers ribs (and my main opponent this week doesn’t have him).

    Looks like Rocky or Pendles might be a good option if you have them.

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  4. I found I can’t loophole Fyfe into Danger (Eddy, Barrett and Hibberd don’t work).. Left with Sloane, Dahlhaus and JP Kennedy.
    On these stats, I am going to give Kennedy a go. Big game for the Swans and he’ll stand up.

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      1. Thanks. Somehow had in my mind Freo v North was a Sunday game.
        Sloane or Dahlhaus? Toss of a coin for mine. Crows man but think I’ll go Dahlhaus.

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