Poll – HamptOtten

Written by Schwarzwalder on May 8 2017

Andy Otten has been the best starting rookie option in 2017.  At just $123 900, Otten surpassed expectations and is running at a 85avg after seven Rounds.  After an inital 45,  Otten managed two tons and two further scores at 98.  Since Josh Jenkins has returned, Otten scored 61 & 69.   You can make a case to keep Otten till the Bye Rounds, but with a BE of 91, Otten may just have hit his peak price……..

 

Has Andy Otten reached his peak value?

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Curtly Hampton is performing exactly how I thought Andy Otten would be at this stage.  He had the one ton surrounded by 5 weeks of mediocrity.  It did push his price over $300k if nothing more.  I have a feeling he’ll be off-loaded by a few teams with his BE of 91 this week.  What are you planning on doing with these two Crows?

 

Has Curtly Hampton reached his peak value?

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26 thoughts on “Poll – HamptOtten”

  1. Goneski.

    Frustrating that I held both these guys and flicked Marchbank, but you can’t win them all. Both with BE’s around 90 now, so the risk of losing money means they have to go.

    OUT: Otten + Hampton
    IN: Laird + Lloyd

    Backline: Laird, Adams, Lloyd, Shaw, Howe, Newman (EVW, Stewart)

    Just need Doc to have a quiet one soon so his price drops a bit and I can pick him up closer to $500k to finish off the line.

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      1. Playing for League wins, rather than overall (ineligible for cash prizes as a News employee), happy to take a bit of a hit in one bye week for stronger performances in the other two.

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  2. Same BE but Otten has a better average so I am going to assume he will be the one that gets closest to it and loses less money. We also know he has the potential to score tons.

    I can probably only offload 1 this week and I was planning to drop Hampton last week until Newman took another vacation. So Otten is staying currently and Hampton to Mcneice most likely if named

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    1. Worth noting that Otten’s drop off in scores has coincided with Jenkins’ return to the side. I don’t think it’s a poor patch of form, he’s just moved back down the pecking order.

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      1. He also managed to score similar scores in both games and one was a massive loss so if they were winning would have that been a boost in the scores? Making just the first game of Jenkins return a bad game as he had to adjust in roles?

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        1. Average without Jenkins (Rds 2-5) = 101.25 pts
          Average with Jenkins (Rds 1, 6 + 7) = 58.33 pts

          Cause for concern there I reckon. If he can score 80+ for the next month he’ll make another $20k or so. If he scores 60s he’ll drop about $50k.

          I see more risk than reward, personally.

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  3. Round 13 bye rookies are gold. Unless they start looking like losing too much money I think they might be worth holding till then.

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    1. Worth doing the math to see what you stand to lose if he scores 70 a week from here to his bye? Is there a calculator floating around for that?

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        1. Cheers Frenchy.

          Food for thought on Otten, folks:

          Avg over next 5 rounds (Price Change)
          50pts (-$77k)
          60pts (-$49k)
          70pts (-$19k)
          80pts (+$10k)

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          1. Adelaide got thumped in the first quarter and Otten scored 1 point. Had Adelaide been competitive like the last 3 quarters, he very well could have gone 90 points again this week. He’s still playing forward and should still see plenty of ball in the coming weeks (Melbourne, Brisbane and Freo).

            I have him down for 70s here on out, one good week in any of the next 5 and he holds his price.

            He’s made $250k, so it’s no longer about the cash. It’s about playing rookies who are good for 60 points. There are very few rookies available this week that look the goods. If he loses 20k, I will live.

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  4. Holding Otten, probably until his bye.

    With an almost completed team I need rookies who are playing to navigate through the bye so will look to upgrade then. Might lose some cash, but he seems to have good JS and good for consistent scores. Many of which my other rookies are lacking.

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    1. Completed premo teams leading into the byes need playing rookies and Otten is a reasonably reliable one so I agree holding at the cost of 10-20k is worth it IMO. This is the first season I have raced to complete my side and I am nervous about what the byes have installed!

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        1. How many upgrades do you have left?
          After this week’s trades I will only have 5 rookies on field (including Mbank/WHE) plus steele who im still not sure is a keeper or not.
          But Ive kind of dug myself into a hole with only 9 premos available in rd13.
          Im hoping to get tom lynch in after rd9 and then hope I can get the funds to bring in Doch and Rocky after the rd 11 bye.

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          1. After this week, 4, including Marchbank and Otten who are very easy upgrades. Then it may start to get tricky but see where it goes.

            Forward and Rucks are completed unless the luxury permits Witts/Steele being upgraded.

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              1. Counting SandiWitts both as keepers if they continue to average 93 but I would like to get one of the top tier rucks pending trades but will be able to get away with one of them if the other is only losing 10 points per game given the price they started at.

                Their are 3 rucks averaging 100+, Martin/Nank and Mumford. Martin is top with 106 – It’s not like previous years where there’s been 2 rucks going 20+ points than the next tier.

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    1. BE of 98 means you can wait another week or two on him. If he tons up he’ll still be around the same price anyway and you’ll have a bit more confidence in selecting him, and if he dishes up some more sub-80 scores he’ll drop further in price (if you want to take a punt on him later as D7).

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  5. I got rid of Hampton a couple of weeks ago for williamson.
    I think I will get rid of Otten this week, I dont think his bye really matters for me as I have 4 premium defenders with same bye (Adams, Laird, Shaw, Howe) plus tom stewart so having ottens available in rd 11 isn’t going to help me that much.
    Im going to bring in Jarred Berry for him so that opens up the swing with Adams which may come in handy during the byes.

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    1. I was looking at Berry too. More expensive but I think he may have better JS than EVW and Melican.

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      1. He is actually 5k cheaper than melican and only 15k more than EVW now. Its because of his 14 in his third game. Thats out of his price cycle now and he has only gone up 30k from original price. I reckon he has better js than melican and the added flexibility of dpp.

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