Tough round to tip this week so I’ve broken my weekly multi into the 2 halves of the draw. First 4 games and my selections are:
Port Adelaide v Hawthorn – Port Adelaide +30 – 1.91
For some reason Port love Hawthorn. They’ve beaten them 3 out of the last 5 times and won their last encounter at Footy Park by 8 pts in R18 last year. They’re at home, their backs are to the wall and other than Dom Cassisi they have no significant injuries. On top of this, the Hawks are coming off the bye, Rioli’s out, Hodge is still carrying an achilles, and they’re are playing a couple of newbies in Puopolo and Smith. I reckon 30 points is very generous and I’ve grabbed it.
Western Bulldogs v Sydney – Either Side 1-39 or Draw – 1.24
I actually prefer Sydney in this match. The signs aren’t good for the Doggies: no Lake, no Higgins, and Cooney not playing his best. The Swans lost Jack this week but I don’t expect that will affect them all that much. The one thing in the Dogs’ favour is that they’ve won the last 4 a Manuka but never by more than 43 points. That says 1-39 tri-bet to me.
Geelong v North Melbourne – Geelong 25+ – 1.24
Geelong at the Cattery should go well but I think it’ll be closer than a lot of people think. In R14 last year they only got over the Hawks by 35 and this week they’re coming off the bye. 25+ is very achievable.Richmond v
Fremantle – Either Side 1-39 or Draw – 1.28
Freo is another team coming off a bye that is travelling and coming up against a Richmond team that has won its last 2 and 4 of their last 5 encounters with Freo. Tempted to take Richmond at the line (+9.5) but will go for the safety of a tri-bet instead.
Total – $3.76
You can then roll your winnings from that into my next multi. Watch this space.
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