Afternoon punters, its that time of the week when I cast my eyes over the teams and have a think about who I’m going to throw the blue swimmer at. What’s everyone think of this multi:
Collingwood (-29.5) – $2.10
Dogs (60+) – $1.49
Hawks (-23.5) – $1.92
Sydney – $1.91
Melbourne (25+) – $1.62
Geelong (60+) – $2.55
Pays $47.40
If I add in this last leg:
Essendon (1-24) – $3.60
The multi pays a whopping $170.65. Although I do admit that last leg is probably the riskiest of the lot.
I’m not going to put this one on until I hear from you. Tell me what you think of it.
Me, watching Grant Birchall's scores now: 
{ 63 comments… read them below or add one }
Heya Motts. I love loading up, but it’s hard enough to win an 8 leg multi without throwing margins into the mix. What does it look like with all H2Hs?
Nice one.
Jason
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$4 without Essendon, $8 with.
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p.s. Any news on whether you reckon Paul Bower will get a guernsey with the Blues this week?
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Ratten said this morning at the Peter Mac brekkie that Jamo will slot straight back in and that Bower will come back thru the 2′s.
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Nice site by the way Jason!
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Thanks Duck – mighty kind of you to be curious enough to check it out. Let me know if you want a hand starting a club – you’ll love yourself sick for it!
Cheers
Jason
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Adelaide v Freo is very hard
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Agreed, hence left it out.
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I’m really strong on Adelaide winning over Freo. Adelaide at home is going to be a tough proposition for anyone and Freo are shocking on the road. I like them more than Essendon over the Saints.
While I’m here, give us some good oil on Curnow, what do you think his chances are of keeping his place for the first half of the season?
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once again im with you Hairy one. we were right last week about the cats, can we be right two weeks in a row??? lets hope so
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I’m leaning towards Adelaide at the minute, although that may change.
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And who do you barrack for again, Duck?
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I like most of it although I wouldn’t have the Pies at the line because anything can happen in Friday night footy and I wouldn’t have the Cats at the line either. Even though Port are terrible 10 goals is a big margin and the Cats have a tendency to put the cue in the rack at Skilled if they are leading comfortably.
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I wonder what the odds are for JPod to kick 1st goal or to kick 5 goals+ down at Skilled?
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Swans away v West Coast for me is a risk, and isn’t a $1.91 risk
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Agree. Coasters are playing some good footy at the moment and on their own turf Sydney will have a hard time to get the win.
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Coasters just got over North and Port (who were both smashed by the Pies) whist Swans have beaten a form side in Essendon. Sydney for me by 16+ even if it’s at WA.
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I’m leaning towards Sydney.
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Not bad mottsy my man, but not sure about it. Definitely wouldn’t do cats at 60+ and maybe not even Doggies over GCS by that much. Also I cant split saints and bombers so im leaving that one out. And for some reason i’m more confident about the crows beating fremantle that the swans beating Weagles….not sure why though…
I did straight wins multibet – with Doggies, Adelaide, Hawks, Melbourne, Geelong and bloody Pies all to win @ $3.24. Not much I know but pretty safe. $50 on it.
Then I also put $20 on the mighty blues to win by margin 1-39 @ $4. I know its going against my multibet to win but im a one eyed blues supporter and putting the pies to win in that hurt so at least this makes me feel better somehow!
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Mottsy loves a lay-off.
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Geelong 1-39 bracket
Pies 15.5 plus
Hawks 15.5 plus
Melb 15.5 plus
Essendon straight out win
odds 20 to 1
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Saints will get up IMO.
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I just logged into Luxbet and put the house on the Doggies…. woof woof!
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Where is the “House” button on luxbet? I could only find “First Born” and “Left Testicle”…
Well-loved. Like or Dislike:
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at $1.01 you are mad Big Sexy
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Agreed, even at $1.10 it’s hardly worth the risk …. unless it’s your Monty for the week!
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pies 15.5+
dogs 60+
hawks win
melb over 15.5
cats 60+
bombers -39.5
$29.
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Comedy Gold TheHairyCat, very funny comment.
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Tappy the 60 plus sounds good for the cats but my sources (nerds) at the weather bereau predict some rain and wind, go the 1-39 I reckon.
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maybe over 39.5 might be better then
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Western Bulldogs Win – Margin (1-39)
Adelaide Win – Margin (1-39)
Hawks Win – Margin (1-39)
Geelong Straight Win
Melbourne Straight Win
MULTI Odds: 32.37
Taking the chance that Doggies dont completely flog GCS…Who will be embarrassed after last weeks flogging and come out fighting this weekend…nerves gone from first game…..Ablett, Harris, Bennell, Swallow and Rischatelli all firing…it could happen…
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Mate, the Suns can try as hard as they like, they simply don’t have the talent to influence the result. If they lose by less than 39 I will call Kepler Bradley a god (again).
I also think Port are rubbish this year – have put a bottle of Grange on them finishing 6 spots or more lower on the ladder than the Blues. Can’t see ‘em finishing 7th, can you?
Margin that one up – 5 goals at least.
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motts ,looks like port adelaide and brisbane (gold coast close 3rd) will be fighting for the wooden spoon , at this stage.
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Motts
Its gunna be hard for Port to finish 18th this year.
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Why? Because West Coast have that spot sown up?
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OUCH!
Really cut me deep with that comeback.
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hehehe ..like water off a deano,s back
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Like this one, but I’d be going Doggies by 40+
Others look good and odds look great value!
Think the Tigers could surprise at the G on Saturday night though.
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MJ …bulldogs will pump the gold coast this week . The Dogs have the bye next week , and round 5 fremantle at home and round 6 a rampaging collingwood at the G..
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How’s this stat that was trotted out on AFL360 tonight: Adelaide play the following teams twice this year: GC, Brisbane, West Coast AND Port. That is 8 wins right there. How unfair is that??? On the flip side, get on em to make the 8 now!
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Or get ‘em in your SC team, easy points
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With this in mind i’m now weighing up whether i shaft Kennedy out of my team for Curnow or Dangerfield. Dangers has also had one of his byes which is an added upshot. Hmmmmmmmm ………. very tempting.
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In an un footy related punting prospective and for those interested in a punt on the golf… One event I’d give my left (and probably right) nut to go see the Masters starts tonight our time and I reckon you could do worse then to have 10ew on Hunter Mahan at $26 (sportingbet) not sure what Luxbet have on offer.
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We’ve got Hunter S. Mahan at 28s on PuntClub.com but I reckon Dustin Johnson is e/w value at 26s for the win, and it might be the parochial Aussie talking, but Robert Allenby at $101 with two top 10s already this season looks a good roughie.
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Thinking this week of the following multi:
Collingwood 1-39
Bulldogs 40+
Melbourne 25+
Geelong 25+
Odds (Sportsbet): $5.58
Any concerns there?
Collingwood may win by more than 40?
Melbourne may fail? Surely not against Brisbane!?
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Like it except for the Collingwood margin. Collingwood is a special team (that was very hard for me to say) and may come out and smash their rivals in Carlton. IMO, i’d go Collingwood tribet 15.5+ ($1.56) or H2H ($1.26).
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Yeah, fair point Roo. Thanks for the advise there. I guess the appeal in the 1-39 is that the odds are at $2.20, but I guess it’s safer just to go the 15.5+ or even H2H because I think Carlton will put up a decent show.
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I seriously hope they do, MJ. But having been witness to the last 3 beltings they’ve given us I’m jaded. I just don’t think our forward line is going to stand up – where are our goals going to come from?
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waite, walker, eddie and gartlett!!
Blues by a point!
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You’ve persuaded me Motts.
New bet:
Collingwood at the line -25.5 $1.92
Western Bulldogs 60+ $1.49
Geelong 25+ $1.32
Melbourne 25+ $1.62
Total odds: $6.12
How’s that feel?
Chuck a $20 on it and stand to make $100+?
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You’ll get dudded by one of the crap teams doing just enough to get under the margin
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Going back to the Adelaide V Fremantle games – I’ve put Fremantle into my multi for this week @$2.55 – it’s a gamble I’m willing to play with for a Blue Swimmer on Pav’s record-breaking match.
If I end up with egg on my face, I lose the blue… If I win – I get $448… AND the Crows don’t get the 4 points
How’s that for Risk v Reward… Multibet is Collingwood, Bulldogs, Fremantle, Melbourne, Geelong – all H2H.
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Ben, may I suggest if you’re going to bet on Freo you may as well go for the 1-39 margin bracket. That’s going at $3.10 on Sportsbet. Lets be honest, if they do get up, they won’t win by more than 40!
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You’re absolutely right MJ, I shoulkd have done that – maybe next time (I’ve never actually played the margin brackets before).
Always seem to do okay with tipping, etc – so thought this year I’d spend $10 a week and put my money where my mouth is
DISCLAIMER: I do not condone gambling as a serious form of play – only bet what you can afford to lose… The way I see it I am sitting at home studying this weekend anyway, so saving the $40 of going to the footy – not to mention the drinks, etc….
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Predict the crowd attendance for Friday night’s match between Collingwood and Carlton. As per offical AFL figure. Im going for the 86 to 88 bracket
—-Below 80,000 3.35
80,000 – 82,000 6.00
82,001 – 84,000 6.50
84,001 – 86,000 6.00
86,001 – 88,000 6.50
88,001 – 90,000 6.50
90,001 – 92,000 7.50
92,001 + 4.00
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davo is friday night match live on commercial tv ?
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It certainly is in Melbourne and Adelaide Scatts
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Omen’s Million to One
Is he the Oracle (Thumbs Up) or is he full of Shite (Thumbs Down)!
Vickery to score more than Smith, Z.
Carlton to beat Collingwood by 9 pts.
Curnow to smash 100+
Libba to play Sub (scoring lower than Harris, Curnow, Swallow)
Harris to play a tagging role leaving Swallow to smash it.
Goddard to become permacaptain.
Krakouer, A to play a full game.
Reiwoldt, N to kick 5 goals.
Dogs to beat GC by less than 100.
Pendlebury skull fracture.
Scatts to get the all-time record -Thumbs Down.
Total Odds: 1 000 000
Did I miss anything?
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Breaking News from the Chrystal Ball
J P Kennedy will cause massive SC grief to out traders.
Saints to smash Bombers by 37 pts.
Newman lost in the wilderness.
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2 out of 3 ain’t bad, Omen
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unlucky .. first up and you out
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Didn’t end up putting that multi on, Mick. I listened to the collective voice of the masses and ended up going:
Collingwood (-25.5)
Dogs (60+)
Hawks (16+)
Sydney
Melb (25+)
Paying $15.12.
So still alive!
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Ouch Motts, lost it on the last game huh??
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