Sneak Previews – Grant Birchall (Haw)

Written by Schwarzwalder on February 26 2016

POSITION: DEF

Starting Price $465 000

SC Scoring History
2015 – 86 points per game from 18 games played
2014 – 89ppg (22)
2013 – 92ppg (14)
2012 – 95ppg (20)

 

Four-time Premiership player and All-Australian defender (2012) with the prospect of more to come at 28 years of age……big props, HUGE in fact!! Not many footballers can boast such achievements.

Not many can boast a career Disposal Efficiency rate over 80% either (from 216 games!!). Not many players have dished out more than 500+ disposals in six seasons of footy. Even fewer players keep their clangers under 10% of total disposals (let alone Birchall’s 6-8% mark). And all this from an average of 80 – 85% Time On Ground. His consistency across ten seasons really is the overall highlight of his game. He’s only played less than 20 games in a year on three occasions (16, 17 & 19). Just last year, he had 20+ disposals in all but three games (in which he had 17, 17 & 18 touches!). In all my numbers research, I can’t recall such consistency. Despite all that, the most remarkable aspect is that Birchall has never averaged more than 95 SC pts in a single season of football. Why is that?

As we’ve already seen with Sneak Previews from Suckling, Malceski & Seedsman, we seem to have a re-occurring theme with half-back flankers. Birchall falls terribly short on many key SC indicators. He barely tackles (just over one per game), doesn’t get his own ball (under 20% contested possessions) and clearances don’t seem like spiking any time soon (under one per game). He’s obviously the Hawks main ball-carrier coming out of the back line. The one hanging out the back of a pack or a kick behind play. And the Hawks, more than any other team, single him out for that role. Judging by those four Premiership medals, it’s working pretty well for them 😉

So what should we expect from Birchall this season? If his consistency is anything to go by, then he’ll amass another 500+ disposals at a ridiculously high Efficiency rate while barely tackling or collecting any contested possessions. As long as he doesn’t cop a heavy tag, he’ll be good for 20+ games and bring a steady 90-95 SC average (and possibly another Premiership medal!). The risk is whether you settle for that at his starting price or gamble on other defenders to go large. Decisions, decisions…………

*Stats from NAB1: 24 possessions (inc. 9 contested!) at 75% Disposal Efficiency (from 69% Time On Ground) & 139 SC pts.

 

Sorry, there are no polls available at the moment.
0
0


Leave a comment / Scroll to bottom

31 thoughts on “Sneak Previews – Grant Birchall (Haw)”

  1. As Chips Ahoy! says: “there’s very few certainties in SuperCoach”, Birchall (and for that matter Kade Simpson) playing in 20+ games for the year and averaging 90+ is one of them.

    0

    0
  2. Yeah with no standout value premium defenders this year I’m going for consistency over ceiling. Birchall and Docherty in my team atm as a result.

    0

    0
  3. great writeup Schwarz, in another year of uncertainties in the defence of our SC teams he will most likely be in my side come rd1(he is in ATM)

    anyone concerned about his average dropping 3 points per year???

    0

    0
  4. Had Yeo as my D4 since my 1st draft, seriously having second thoughts & seeing if I can get Birchall in the backline instead now!!!!

    T/U…Birchall
    T/D….Yeo

    0

    0
  5. He’s gonna be one of those guys that aren’t going to make or break you if you have him or don’t have him I feel. Kade Simpson is another. They will consistently give you what you pay for them and end up top6 thereabouts. If you wanna be safe pick him, if you wanna gamble pick Yeo or Smith who both have more upside, but less consistency. Loving these write ups!

    0

    0

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *