Starting Price: $389 500
SC Scoring History
2015 – 72 points per game from 17 games played
2014 – 101ppg (21)
2013 – 86ppg (19)
2012 – 71 (9)
Matthew Lobbe has always been second choice at Port. The Power’s first pick in the 2007 Draft played his first two seasons in the reserves. When not hampered by injury (2010 – hamstring, 2011 – shoulder, 2012 – hip), he’s been down the pecking order behind Lade, Brogan, Renouf, Redden and now Ryder. Only when injury struck the Power did Lobbe get a decent run at the Ruck position. If the stats tell us anything, it’s that Lobbe’s numbers have constantly increased when playing lone Ruckman for the Power.
Lobbe wasn’t considered SC-relevant until 2013. When Jarrad Redden succumbed to injury, Lobbe was the last man standing. In the last twelve games as #1 Ruck, his average jumped from 67 (first seven games) to 96.6ppg. The following season was a breakout for Lobbe. He took his game up a notch, playing 21 games at a 101 avg. Finishing the year ranked 4th in total hitouts and tackles in the entire League, Lobbe started the 2015 season as 4th most expensive Ruckman in SC ($544k). Paddy Ryder was traded to Port during Trade Week 2014…….and once again, Matthew Lobbe was second choice.
Average hitouts playing with Ryder: 25. Average hitouts without Ryder: 45. SC average with Ryder: 66.4ppg. SC average without Ryder: 90.75ppg. In the four games playing as lone Ruckman last season, Lobbe produced scores of 83,85,80 & 115. Not exactly dominant yet far better than the 66.4 avg while sharing ruck duties or his current starting price at a 72 avg.
With only two Rucks allowed on the SC field, it seems fairly unanimous amongst coaches that Goldy & Martin/Jacobs/Nic Nat/Sandi/Gawn are the leading choices. Lobbe seems a fairly safe bet as R2. Great job security and much better than his starting price suggests. The big fella also follows up hard on his own Ruck-work with 55% contested possessions over the last two years (good indicator for SC). If you’re wanting to save some cash and hope that one of the Elites drop in price early, then Lobbe may just be the best ‘stepping stone’ option………
ICYMI………..Our very own Thommo had a nice bit of analysis on Lobbe in his Port Team Review Thread……… In 2014, Lobbe had 31.7 hitouts per game, each worth 1 point and 8.9 hitouts to adv, each worth 3 points. This gave Lobbe 58.4 points per game from hitouts in 2014.
If you take those points away and instead award 5 points per hitout to adv ( the new system), he gets 44.5 points per game, a shortfall of 13.9 points from his 2014 score of 101 ie an average of 87 ish.
If you also look at his “around the ground” efforts in 2014, he was close to career high in most stats. The only stats he dropped in were disposals (10.5 compared to a high of 12.2 in 2011) and marks (2.0 versus 2.7 in 2013). If he can increase in those areas he may improve by 5-8 points. This still leaves him with an average score in the 90s.
*Did not play in NAB1 against Sydney
*Stats from NAB2 – Six disposals & 26 hitouts for 54 SC pts
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