I was more than a little impressed with catblitz’s comment this afternoon on selection strategy. Clearly he’s put more than a little thought into it. It deserved it’s own post. Make sure you’re sitting down before starting though – the first sentence is a doozy.
“Wilson $270,200 if not injured and plays regular games for wce which i believe he will if not injured he can ave around 70pts per week it actually cost you around $370,000 for a player who scores you 70 points per a game so in 10 weeks time if he doesnt get injured i will make $100k, while some else could buy Enright with that money it will cost 478k and he will make 98pts a week so each istand to lose 28pts not that much that 478k i spent for enright wont add value to my team because ill probably keep enright for the year if i choose him for that price, were as save myself 276.5k and gain 100k so i stand to make 376k and the cost for it is 28pts x 10rds so 280pts, but now i have a player worth 370k and i saved 276.5k (477.5-270.2) so i essence i now have 370k+276.5= 646.5k to spend and in fact at the same time ill have a rookie worth 100k who has increase 230-240k or something i now have so i sell both players and i now have 2 supertars to buy with 886.5k and hopefully i find a bargain or two and i buy 2 players for 886.5k who are worth more than 900k.
So lose 280pts for the first two rounds but when it comes to round 10 i now have more money to buy superstars, if had enright from the start im missing out on 646.5k that i could spend at rd 10, i make a 276.5k increase in value it costs me 280pts but 276.5k, if make that much money on all your cash cows you will have superstars in no time. Duncan 282k, Dangerfield 340k, Knights 237k, Miller 209k Petrie 216k are all cash cows so you think or them in the same way so if i went with wilson over enright for example i save 276.5k, if go with Duncan instead of franklin for example 522k-282k=240k i save 240k, if by rd 10 duncan was able to play 8 games out of 10 for geelong (no garuntees but it is possible and with the 2 weeks he doesnt play i put my rookies which sit on the bench in for those two round) in those 8 round he may ave 75-80 seeing as he plays in the midfield even though you pick him in the forward line in sc that is very possible) and the price for a player with an ave of around 75-80 is 400-410k so again i have gained 240k + Duncan has increased in value by 118k so i now have 400k+240k=660k to spend on superstars. so wilson 370k in def doesn’t count in my calculation, Duncan 400k, Dangerfield 440k (ave of 84-85 i hope) knights 440k by rd 14 (ave 84-85 i hope) Miller by rd 12 390k (ave of 73 i hope) Petrie by round 14 440k (ave 84-85 i hope).
plus the increase of value of the bench rookies and in the forward line i have maybe $2.7 million to spend that amount included the rookie prices i have Goodes and Riewoldt already so i need 5 superstars and with $2.7 i can buy 6 forwards on top of the two stars i alreadty have at an ave price of $450k so by round 14 i have already got Goodes, N Riewoldt, Franklin, J Riewoldt, O Keefe, J Brown, Pavlich, Waite and 1 decent forward on my bench. If you buy many cash cows and they produce goo milk your forward line could look like this by rd 14, and in defence already have Goddard, Gibbs, Connors with cash cows Otten and wilson and 5 rookies by round 14 if they all play i have Otten 360k-370k (ave 75) Wislon 370k (ave 75) 5 rookies at 260k each I have 2,050,000 to spend and with that money i can buy 4 or 5 defenders depending on whether i can pick up some bargains.
so by rd 14-15 i could have a team full of superstars but in doing so i must sacrifice having a team with a fair number of gains at the start to do so, and with players like petrie, otten, knights, dangerfield, duncan etc they may just play really well and i dont have to even sell them off. As for players such as Connors 416k, Corey 427k, Anthony 363k and even Hayes at 503k all can produce much higher than there prices suggest Connors at 416k that is only expecting him to score 80pts he is capable of 90-100 no probs, corey only expecting 83pts for that price can easily score 105pts, Anthony 363k expecting him to score 69pts to make his price worthwhile he can score 90-100 as well so my theory is fill your team with cash cows and rookies and potential superstars and only have your must have superstars such as Goddard, Gibbs, Swan, Hodge, Montaga, Sandlilands, Goodes and Riewoldt. So only 8 superstars there you could put in 10 or 11 but your stuffed when 1 breaks down injured.”
Leave a comment / Scroll to bottom