Swan v Thompson

Written by Motts on June 21 2012

Been seeing this dilemma pop up a lot on the site recently so I thought I’d put it to a poll. Handily for you, MJ has also done some excellent analysis below. Its up to you whether you read it first before voting or whether you just go with gut feel.

MJ, thanks for your thoughts mate. You rock!!

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MJ’s Analysis

Seeing as though it seems like a lot of people are tossing up between Swan and Thompson for their final midfielder, I thought I’d jot down a few thoughts, as this decision has been bugging me all week.

In terms of scoring potential in finals, which is what most people are looking at this time of year.

Dane Swan:

Sydney (ANZ): Scored 133 against them at that venue last year and averages 115 in last 4 games against Sydney at ANZ.

North (Etihad): Averaged 134.5 against them in last 4 games, including 132 & 152 last year.

West Coast (Patersons): Scored 149, 133 and 126 in last 3 in Perth, although only the 149 was against the Eagles (2009). Scored 146, 149, 163, 86 (last year, while playing with that quad injury) against West Coast in last 4.

Essendon (MCG): Belted out 176 & 180 in last 2 against the Bombers and consequentially averages 151 in his last 4 against them. WOW! Would be the perfect captain for an SC Grand Final game.

Scott Thompson:
Freo (AAMI): Only 58 in his game against them this year (was in Perth and tagged by Crowley?), but 152 and 140 in the previous two games against them, which were both at AAMI.

Brisbane (GABBA): Thommo’s had a mixed bag at this venue, scoring 127(last year), 87, 40, 38 in the last 4 there.

Melbourne (MCG): Melbourne is actually one of Scott’s bogey teams. Scores in last 5 against them are: 65, 73, 76, 133, 80, 50. Ouch! Scored 90 at the only game he’s played at the G this year.

GC (AAMI): Wait for it… smashed out 136, 162 and 147 against the Suns in their short history. That’s an average of 148.3! Again, another good game for your SC Grand Final.

Take what you will from these stats. Swan has clearly been a more prolific scorer over the past than Thompson, but Scott seems to have taken a big leap this year with Adelaide’s success, so his historic numbers may have a little less relevance.

I think I’m going to stick by my original plan of getting Swan after the byes and draft the tattooed man into my side. I have decided I don’t mind spending the extra $80k for him. Welcome aboard Dane!

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12 thoughts on “Swan v Thompson”

  1. Thompson for me next week. Much cheaper than Swan. Think all the Coolingwood players will be battling against each other for SC points. Saying that I already have 3

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  2. Great work.

    You would definitely want Swan in your team for all of the finals and trade in Thompson for the GF.

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  3. Good poll, but whoever voted Thompson is just trying to sabotage opposition supercoach teams. Swan is the post bye king. People are saying he was down on form in the opening half of the season, but SC wise he is having his 2nd best season (DT best); even with his 97 from 3/4 vs Geelong. With the run home to boost his ave. to his best SC ave. of his career, you’d be stupid to pick anyone over him (bar Ablett).

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  4. How about considering Adelaide’s easier run home and that with an extra $80k and 1 trade you could upgrade a 2nd player which would also benefit towards Thompson’s appeal?

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  5. Good write up MJ. Thompson’s numbers may be skewed by the fact that he’s never really been a premium until last year (first year with an average over 110). Is cheap but Swan is a must have. Hardly ever scores under 100 and more likely to smash out a massive score. As a Thompson owner last year, I was burnt by his inconsistency.

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  6. Been tossing up what to do. I have Pendles, and starting to worry his ‘2 weeks’ will stretch out to a lot more. I can get Swanny as I have money in the bank, but if I get Thompson, I can upgrade other areas of the team.

    Tough tough call

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  7. Got Thompson in this week to finish off my mids.

    Ablett, Pendles, Swan, Selwood, Stanton, Thompson.

    Was a toss up between him and Watson but given price difference, I went for Thompson as I think they both pretty much same average and scoring ability.

    Re the poll – Swan must get the nod for mine.

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  8. I have had both since the start of the year & happy with the selection. A very cheap Priddis has completed a midfield of J.Selwood, S.Mitchell, Swan, S.Thompson, Ablett, Priddis.

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