(Written & Created By Adam)
Adam’s third LOCK of the season…….it’s not rocket science, Coaches
Premium History (Avg>90):
2012: 118.86 from 22
2013: 112.9 from 20
2014: 105.59 from 22
2015: 119.9 from 21
2016: 131.77 from 22
2017: 136.38 from 21
2018: 121.67 from 21
Avg VS Opponent:
Adel: 138.4 from 5 (low of 111 and a high of 158, 4/5 120+)
Bris: 125.89 from 9 (low of 87 and a high of 165, 1/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)
Carl: 122.57 from 7 (low of 89 and a high of 174, 2/7 below 100, 4/7 120+)
Coll: 107.67 from 9 (low of 65 and a high of 152, 4/9 below 100, 3/9 120+)
Ess: 105.25 from 8 (low of 63 and a high of 157, 4/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)
Freo: 137.11 from 9 (low of 72 and a high of 188, 2/9 below 100, 7/9 120+)
Geel: 104 from 4 (low of 78 and a high of 133, 2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)
GC: 126.2 from 10 (low of 90 and a high of 187, 3/10 below 100, 5/10 120+)
GWS: 128.18 from 11 (low of 72 and a high of 196, 3/11 below 100, 6/11 120+)
Haw: 135.56 from 9 (low of 90 and a high of 173, 2/9 below 100, 6/9 120+)
Melb: 119.14 from 7 (low of 74 and a high of 155, 1/7 below 100, 4/7 120+)
NM: 123.44 from 9 (low of 91 and a high of 229, 1/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)
Port: 118.81 from 11 (low of 73 and a high of 163, 3/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)
Rich: 120.38 from 8 (low of 86 and a high of 152, 2/8 below 100, 4/8 120+)
StK: 101.38 from 8 (low of 86 and a high of 120, 3/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)
Syd: 103.43 from 7 (low of 73 and a high of 135, 4/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)
WC: 128.33 from 9 (low of 96 and a high of 156, 1/9 below 100, 7/9 120+)
WB: 122 from 9 (low of 86 and a high of 173, 2/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)
Avg at Venue:
GMHBA Stadium: 130.42 from 26 (3/26 below 100, 17/26 120+)
2012: 133 from 1
2013: 0 from 0
2014: 107 from 1
2015: 78 from 1
2016: 137 from 8
2017: 152 from 6
2018: 118.33 from 9
Adelaide Oval: 124.39 from 28 (7/28 below 100, 15/28 120+)
2014: 116.58 from 12
2015: 125.45 from 11
2016: 134.5 from 2
2017: 142 from 1
2018: 146.5 from 2
AAMI Stadium: 113.61 from 23 (11/23 below 100, 9/23 120+)
2012: 116.58 from 12
2013: 110.36 from 11
Interstate: 116.87 from 55 (15/55 below 100, 25/55 120+)
2012: 121.6 from 10
2013: 116 from 9
2014: 92.4 from 10
2015: 113.8 from 10
2016: 123.4 from 5
2017: 148.67 from 6
2018: 119.4 from 5
GMHBA Stadium Wins: 135.43 from 21 (1/21 below 100, 15/21 120+)
2012: 0 from 0
2013: 0 from 0
2014: 0 from 0
2015: 0 from 0
2016: 137.29 from 7
2017: 152 from 6
2018: 121.38 from 8
GMHBA Stadium Losses: 109.4 from 5 (2/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)
2012: 133 from 1
2013: 0 from 0
2014: 107 from 1
2015: 78 from 1
2016: 135 from 1
2017: 0 from 0
2018: 94 from 1
Adelaide Oval Wins: 124.94 from 17 (3/17 below 100, 10/17 120+)
2014: 125.5 from 6
2015: 120.88 from 8
2016: 134.5 from 2
2017: 0 from 0
2018: 135 from 1
Adelaide Oval Losses: 123.55 from 11 (4/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)
2014: 107.67 from 6
2015: 137.67 from 3
2016: 0 from 0
2017: 142 from 1
2018: 158 from 1
AAMI Stadium Wins: 115.8 from 15 (7/15 below 100, 6/15 120+)
2012: 119.27 from 11
2013: 106.25 from 4
AAMI Stadium Losses: 109.5 from 8 (4/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)
2012: 87 from 1
2013: 112.71 from 7
Wins: 125.97 from 94 (19/94 below 100, 53/94 120+)
2012: 121.9 from 17
2013: 119.33 from 9
2014: 111.73 from 11
2015: 120.54 from 13
2016: 139.06 from 17
2017: 139.87 from 15
2018: 120.58 from 12
Losses: 111.02 from 54 (21/54 below 100, 19/54 120+)
2012: 110.6 from 5
2013: 107.64 from 11
2014: 99.45 from 11
2015: 118.88 from 8
2016: 107 from 5
2017: 114 from 5
2018: 123.11 from 9
Pre Bye: 119.71 from 76 (22/76 below 100, 37/76 120+)
2012: 114.2 from 10
2013: 113.92 from 12
2014: 113 from 7
2015: 118 from 10
2016: 134.5 from 14
2017: 125.09 from 11
2018: 113.25 from 12
Post Bye: 122.38 from 73 (17/73 below 100, 36/73 120+)
2012: 122.75 from 12
2013: 111.38 from 8
2014: 102.13 from 15
2015: 121.64 from 11
2016: 127 from 8
2017: 148.8 from 10
2018: 132.89 from 9
2018 Stat Averages:
Disposals: 28.29
SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 29: 139.75 from 8 (low of 100 and a high of 187, 6/8 120+)
SC Avg when disposals below 29: 110.54 from 13 (low of 94 and a high of 137, 2/13 below 100, 3/13 120+)
Kicks: 14
SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 14: 134.82 from 11 (low of 100 and a high of 187, 8/11 120+)
SC Avg when kicks below 14: 107.2 from 10 (low of 94 and a high of 126, 2/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)
Handballs: 14.29
SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 15: 124.22 from 9 (low of 94 and a high of 160, 1/9 below 100, 5/9 120+)
SC Avg when handballs below 15: 119.75 from 12 (low of 94 and a high of 187, 1/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)
Marks: 3.71
SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 4: 129.36 from 11 (low of 94 and a high of 187, 1/11 below 100, 6/11 120+)
SC Avg when marks below 4: 113.2 from 10 (low of 94 and a high of 137, 1/10 below 100, 3/10 120+)
Contested Possessions: 15.14
SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 16: 149.33 from 6 (low of 126 and a high of 187)
SC Avg when contested possessions below 16: 110.6 from 15 (low of 94 and a high of 137, 2/15 below 100, 3/15 120+)
Tackles: 4.52
SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 5: 120.2 from 10 (low of 94 and a high of 158, 1/10 below 100, 5/10 120+)
SC Avg when tackles below 5: 123 from 11 (low of 94 and a high of 187, 1/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)
Clangers: 3.76
SC Avg when clangers below 4: 133.2 from 10 (low of 102 and a high of 187, 7/10 120+)
SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 4: 111.18 from 11 (low of 94 and a high of 158, 2/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)
Time on Ground%: 84.05%
SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 85%: 130.18 from 11 (low of 94 and a high of 187, 1/11 below 100, 7/11 120+)
SC Avg when time on ground below 85%: 112.3 from 10 (low of 94 and a high of 160, 1/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)
Premium Career Stat Averages:
Disposals:
2012: 27.27
2013: 23.3
2014: 24.91
2015: 26.76
2016: 31.27
2017: 30.33
2018: 28.29
Kicks:
2012: 16.32
2013: 15.1
2014: 12.55
2015: 14.05
2016: 15.95
2017: 13.19
2018: 14
Handballs:
2012: 10.95
2013: 8.2
2014: 12.36
2015: 12.71
2016: 15.32
2017: 17.14
2018: 14.29
Marks:
2012: 4.23
2013: 4.2
2014: 3.36
2015: 3.48
2016: 5.09
2017: 4.43
2018: 3.71
Contested Possessions:
2012: 16.41
2013: 13.7
2014: 15.5
2015: 15.33
2016: 15.82
2017: 18.38
2018: 15.14
Tackles:
2012: 3.27
2013: 3.2
2014: 3.55
2015: 5.57
2016: 4.59
2017: 5.86
2018: 4.52
Clangers:
2012: 3.05
2013: 3.2
2014: 3
2015: 3.24
2016: 3.68
2017: 4.33
2018: 3.76
Time on Ground %:
2012: 85%
2013: 86.6%
2014: 83.73%
2015: 83.86%
2016: 84.27%
2017: 84.95%
2018: 84.05%
Disposal Efficiency%:
2012: 63.50%
2013: 63.73%
2014: 61.86%
2015: 66.90%
2016: 68.90%
2017: 67.35%
2018: 68.18%
Contested Possession Rate%:
2012: 59.08%
2013: 57.81%
2014: 61.89%
2015: 56.99%
2016: 49.86%
2017: 59.29%
2018: 52.82%
Observations:
Averages 110+ against 13 teams (Adel, Bris, Carl, Freo, GC, GWS, Haw, Melb, NM, Port, Rich, WC, WB) with 9 matches pre-bye and 8 matches post bye against them.
Averages 130.42 from 26 at GMHBA and 135.43 from GMHBA Wins with only 1 match below 100 and 15/21 120+ with 5 at GHMBA pre bye and 4 post bye in 2019.
14.95 win/loss differential with 5/7 season posting a 120+ avg in wins and 2 of the past 3 seasons recoding a 139+ avg.
2.67 post bye/pre-bye differential.
30+ avg differential when contested possessions equal/exceed 16.
Amongst the top echelon of the competition and highly regarded as the best player from a fantasy and non-fantasy perspective. Received forward eligibility in 2019 which further solidifies his status as a lock.
Verdict: Lock
Leave a comment / Scroll to bottom
It’s a yes from me.
And he’s fit again.
Locked months ago and nothing has changed.
Locked and loaded throw away all keys
We should ban him from SC. Would make it all the more interesting
33.6% of coaches still don’t have him. Makes me wonder how many mindless zombies there actually are in the world already
Way too many and they are all riding their ghostships.
Since all accounts he’s travelling excently probably spending more time in the guts, captain every week.