Finishing up just outside the top 1,000 after sitting in cruise control for 8 weeks hovering between 500-800 before fading last season, my aim for the year is to end up in the top 1,000. I can pinpoint two decisions last year which cost me a top 200 spot but that’s besides the point. This is a new year and I will not make bad decisions again!
Shaw – May be a tad overpriced but will no doubt be one of the top scorers for the year and has a proven track record. Given some cheaper picks on other lines, I have the funds to lock away one of the top defenders to try and minimise the overall risk by not picking up the speculative low 4o0k defenders.
Laird – Priced just about right and will give a consistent 90-100 points week in, week out. I want nothing more from a defender.
Howe – Averaged 100 last year from Rd7 onwards when he was moved to the back line so is 40k underpriced in my books. Very good reader of the flight of ball and has great disposal efficiency when he gets rid of it. Locked for top 10 defender for the season on overall points.
Marchbank – I question the JS of lots of back rookies and I’m not confident in fielding many (contrary to the popular opinion) of them so I have picked him up as last years Weitering. Worth a little bit more but should also score a little more and has rock solid JS. Will be a slow burn up until the byes but at least he will be playing every week and will get his price within 150k of a fallen premium – enough for me.
Dangerfield – Worth every penny and will struggle big time getting him in if I don’t start with him. Finished strong in the back half of last year when Selwood got some miles into his legs after a limited pre-season, but both have had full ones now and expecting big things again. I missed his 229 and 173 captain scores last year so he owes me.
Pendlebury – As durable as they come, averaged 118 last season even though he was playing off the half back for the first part of the season due to injury concerns. Goes back over 120 in my books this year and is a lock. Not concerned about his “achillies” on the weekend, it’s just Pendles being Pendles. If he magically doesn’t get up for Rd1, I will bank 60k and pick up the Bont.
J.Selwood – See above with Danger, both have had full preseasons and expecting to come out firing. Did you see the dynamic duo turn the last pre-season game on it’s head?
Treloar – Averaged 111 with practically no preseason last year. Gets better every year and only has room for improvement. If he irons out the “weak patch” he had last season he goes 115+ this year as a minimum with whatever natural game improvements he brings.
Fyfe – My main man. I paid overs on a picture frame of him at a charity auction so given he’s unders in SuperCoach, makes it an absolute steal in my books.
Beams – Oozes class and had a player rating higher than Dangerfield a few years ago. What could have been if he stayed fully fit over this time. Looked silky smooth over JLT and when he plays, he knocks out 110+. Being named captain the club must have faith he can get through the year, he’s had plenty of time to get things right.
O’Meara – Underpriced for his capabilities. He is Hawks prize recruit and they wouldn’t risk anything to have him go down early in the season. If he plays, they trust his body, he’s locked. Improved with each game over the preseason and will be used as a stepping stone to get the last premium midfielder I require.
You guys thought I was joking about SandiWitts didn’t you? Nope!
Sandilands – With lots of uncertainty around the rucks, I don’t want to lock myself into two premiums. Sandilands offers fantastic value for his price tag. Came back with 2 JLT games to spare so calf niggle doesn’t seem to be as bad as first thought although injury risk is always a concern, especially for the early rounds. If he plays through to the byes before breaking down, he will increase his price within a stone throw of the top rucks.
Witts – If he was any other rookie on any other line with his scoring potential and early JS, he would be locked but because he’s a ruck, it’s taboo. Out with the rule book this year I say, a 700k saving over Goldy/Gawn combo will go a long way this year given our lack of basement prices rookies on other lines.
N.Riewoldt – With a dream run at Etihad to start the season, he should come out flying and will be the top scoring FWD up until the byes. Priced 30k too high for my liking, but worth the price to reap the early rewards.
Dahlhaus – Only two forwards in the top 10 have DPP and he is the premier FWD/MID premium who is underpriced by 25k due to an injury affected game last season. 1 of 2 players who has featured in every saved team since SuperCoach opened. Given most of the top FWDs this year will be key forwards, there price will drop more throughout the season so may as well lock away the top DPP player from the start. If NRoo didn’t have a dream opening draw, I’d be locking in Greene too.
Roughead – It’s good to see the big man back out there after what he’s gone through in recent times. Being named captain of the team was the deciding factor for me and shows he is ready to tackle the season head. Looking healthy, his price is too good to pass up given his history and the lack of 100+ FWDs we have on offer this year.
Nankervis – I always pick up a R3/F7 throughout the year as assurance but starting Sandilands, I think it is necessary to go into Rd 1 with one. Nankervis offers the most value for money of those available and has impressed this preseason, enough for me. Jacobs/Mumford and Maric improved their average by 30+ on aggregate changing clubs and becoming the #1 ruck, so I hope he can follow suit.
Steele – Went absolute beastmode of the JLT series and priced low enough to take the risk. The team is guns and rookies with the only mid pricers (Nank not included, penciled bench cover) being those returning from injury so I feel like I can take 1 breakout risk. If it fails it gives money to upgrade the rucks earlier. I believe ex-GWS kids are worth a crack in other teams and he looks like just the missing piece they need.
Taranto – Performed well over the pre-season but had questionable JS given the depth of the GWS squad. With Deledio and now Coniglio down early, I expect this will open the door for him to get a good run. He will score well when playing so will give a nice point advantage over the other rookies who could put in very quiet games.
Rookies have run the show in my team and I am not confident in the slightest that what we have on offer this year will be enough. You will all be given the stats I’ve complied over the preseason next week in the rookie reviews to check out yourself but they are slim picking compared to last year. This has led to quite a few of the injury returning premiums and 2 speculative mid pricers in the FWD line.
Bye structure? Couldn’t tell you to be honest and I’m not fussed. Injuries happen, premiums/rookies will come and go and I will build towards it 3-4 weeks out.
I’m expecting some flak on the rucks but it has shaped a pretty solid side and minimised the amount of first year rookies I have on field which is my number 1 priority this year. It’s also so crazy I think it might work. Although at 25 years of age, with tints of grey hair through the sides of my head, I have no doubt it may cause a few more to come through by years end.
Have at it!
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