The Fallen Premiums R17, 2015

Written by MJ on July 29 2015

Defenders:

Cale Hooker $439,800 (+$15,400; AVE 92.06, BE 52, PTA 87.8) Hooker’s move into the forward line over the last month has a fruitful one, booting 7.10 in four weeks. A trio of majors along with 20 disposals and 8 marks in an influential display against the Power helped his score to 128 points.

Bachar Houli $427,100 (-$20,300; AVE 95.88, BE 101, PTA 85.4) An absolute howler of a kick-in will haunt Bachar for the rest of his career, gifting the Dockers a come from behind victory in the dying minute of the match. He’ll have something to prove in the coming weeks to win back the favour of the Richmond faithful and I’ll back him to do so. This is the cheapest we’ve seen him all year, and of the top 19 scoring defenders, he’ll set you back the least.

James Kelly $368,700 (-$108,900; AVE 77.17, BE 14, PTA 73.6) His only two tons for the season have arrived in the last two rounds, finding plenty of the ball with 31 and 26 disposals. It hasn’t been a pleasant year in the injury department for this old cat, splitting his sack in R5 and lower leg issue in R11 has depreciated his value by over $100k. Worth a punt.

Wait for:
Liam Picken $546k; BE 141
Bob Murphy $481k; BE 133
Alex Rance $518k; BE 132

Midfielders:

Steele Sidebottom $532,900 (-$75,300; AVE 104.7, BE 87, PTA 106.4) When the attention natural falls the way of Scott Pendlebury, young Steele flies nicely under his wing, putting up back-to-back 117s after a 107 and 122. Melbourne and Carlton in the next fortnight promises similar returns and I’m a big fan of this selection as an elusive POD.

Joel Selwood $491,800 (-$158,100; AVE 99.43, BE 52, PTA 98.2) The Geelong skipper finally delivered the massive score that he was due for, belting the Giants to the tune of 142 points. It’s just the third time all year that he’s gone above 110, but we all know his potential that may just be ready to be unleashed in the remaining rounds.

Jordan Lewis $498,200 (-$90,000; AVE 102.31, BE 54, PTA 99.6) 150 big ones in the deconstruction of Motts’ men on Friday night is the sort of effort we came to expect from him last year. At under $500k, he’s got oodles of upside and plays the Lions and Blues in the final two rounds. Let’s just cross our fingers he doesn’t get the classic case of general soreness come R22!

Wait for:
Dan Hannebery $595k; BE 198
Tom Rockliff $505k; BE 155
Kieren Jack $519k; BE 154
David Armitage $537k; BE 152
Trent Cotchin $522k; BE 149
Dyson Heppell $526k; BE 148
Ollie Wines $521k; BE 145
Jack Steven $535k; BE 143
Callan Ward $569k; BE 135

Rucks:

Ben McEvoy $434,900 (-$47,500; AVE 78.67, BE 21, PTA 86.8)
Big Big McEvoy is going wonderfully since his return from injury. 117, 116 and 124 is enough to convince anyone that he’s much better than that price tag suggests.

Patrick Ryder $408,800 (-$134,600; AVE 83.58, BE 41, PTA 81.6) A big player in Port’s victory over the Bombers, Ryder booted three last quarter goals to rub salt in the wounds of his old side. Two tons on the trot leaves Patty as a sneaky cheap pick.

Wait for:
Nic Nat $584k; BE 151
Mark Blicavs $549k; BE 149
Aaron Sandilands $535k; BE 144
Stefan Martin $541k; BE 132

Forwards:

Jimmy Bartel $486,300 (-$62,700; AVE 84.60, BE 82, PTA 97.2) 111 on the weekend continues his stellar return from injury. In the last decade he’s averaged sub-100 just once!

Brendon Goddard $468,000 (-$80,800; AVE 97.63, BE 59, PTA 93.6) Once again amongst the Bombers best on Sunday, BJ is a steal at his current price. I wouldn’t hesitate for a second on contemplating trading him into your forward line, with a 3 round average of 109.33.

Brent Harvey $442,700 (-$136,200; AVE 90.94, BE 42, PTA 88.4) It’s fitting that he tons up in game 400 and I daresay only very few will achieve that remarkable feat. There is nothing this man cannot do!

Wait for:
Tom Mitchell $454k; BE 153
Jack Riewoldt $517k; BE 126
Robbie Gray $537k; BE 121

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10 thoughts on “The Fallen Premiums R17, 2015”

  1. Great write up MJ. FP’s certainly handy at this time of year. Hope you are all set for the finals in LoEC1 & the cash league. You have a nice team & no doubt you have a few trades at the ready to add a bit cream on top.

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  2. If Buddy’s injury is more serious that first thought i may bring in Bartel. Rather not make any more trades though as I’m down to 2.

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  3. Am I crazy to consider trading out Fyfe to get both Danger and Hodge this week to hopefully guarantee a top 4 spot for a cash league I’m in? I have 7 trades left!!
    TIA

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  4. Great write up MJ!

    Defintely the most important article of the week on SCT.

    You helped throw me into Jacobs last week for Maric avoiding the Gazza debacle.

    I just wish I had of gone with Sidey at 487k over Rocky 510k in your recommendations 2 weeks ago , but saying that still have faith Rocky coming good in Supercoach finals.

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  5. Little bit off topic here, but I’m curious as to what other people think.

    What do you do at this stage of the year if you’ve got a full team but you’re stuck with 3 non-playing rookies on the midfield bench with 7 trades left and no cash in the kitty?

    Like this week Fyfe is being rested, so I’m going to have to make some kind of trade. But I’ve got Boston, Dumont and Anderson on the bench, so even if I find a bargain bin rookie, I’m still going to be working with slightly less than $400k for my new “premium” if I go for an up/down trade.

    Do I just trade my premiums around? I don’t really want to get rid of Fyfe over one week, and if 3 of my midfielders get rested/injured/suspended in a finals round I’m hosed in my cash league.

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