The Fallen Premiums – Rd 17

Written by Chillo on July 18 2018

Whether you were playing him as a defender or a forward, there is no doubt that James Sicily’s broken hand is a massive blow to Supercoaches everywhere. There is a certain irony that when the end came for Sis in his breakout year, it wasn’t courtesy of the adjudicator, but the doctor. At 48% ownership he was a very popular choice this year, but with a six week recovery ahead of him, he is a must-trade. Throw in injuries to Ryder, Kreuzer, JPK, Gray and Webster, and it quickly becomes clear that the Supercoach gods were very unhappy with everyone’s big scores last weekend!

So what do we do now? With trades in short supply, we must choose our replacements carefully. Fortunately, there are some pretty enticing options right across the field this week.

DEFENDERS

Jimmy WEBSTER (STK), $386 000 (-$5.0K), average 93, BE 79 – If Jimmy can get up this week, he is an absolute special for that D6/7 spot – or even a budget replacement for the fallen Sicily. Despite seven scores of 100+ this year, the Saints delivery man is at this ridiculous price due to an injury-affected 13 a month ago. Finished last week’s game with an icepack, but is listed as ‘test’. Monitor closely!

St Jimmy launches another attack

Jeremy MCGOVERN (WCE), $422 400 (-$76.4K), average 89, BE 62 – With the Eagles twin towers resuming service up front, Gov was able to return to his natural habitat in the backline and didn’t he love it! 22 possessions against the Pies, including a whopping 14 intercepts, allowed McGovern to rack up a season-high 132 points. It’s certainly a punt to bring him in now, but obviously there’s a massive ceiling here, and you can pocket the $85K if you ‘downgrade’ from Sicily.

Michael HURLEY (ESS), $462 500 (-$101.0K), average 97, BE 62 – Hurley’s ownership actually dipped mid-season, presumably due to injury and loss of form. However here is a top 10 defender at a significantly discounted price tag and boasting a three-round average of 103, which is exactly the same output he produced last season. The Bombers continue their belated charge towards the finals, and you can be sure that Hurley will be playing his part.

Backing it up…
Jake Lloyd, $595K, BE 126

 MIDFIELDERS

Luke SHUEY (WCE), $439 600 (-$89.5K), average 88, BE 34 – He’s almost $80K dearer than he was a month ago, but Shuey still shapes as excellent value for the M8/9 spot. His last three scores read 129, 105 and 115, strongly suggesting that he is fully recovered from that mid-season hamstring injury. A good player playing in a good team and available at a good price, need you know more?

Dustin MARTIN (RIC), $441 000 (-$215.0K), average 101, BE 60 – The Brownlow Hangover has been real for Dusty, who for whatever reason has failed to regain that dynamic form he showed for most of 2017. 110 at his last start against the Giants was a promising sign, and his best return since all the way back in round 4. If you think that he can get back to his trademark belligerent best, then Martin is almost certainly the buy of the season.

And you thought headbands were just for tennis players.

Rory SLOANE (ADE), $484 600 (-$121.2K), average 97, BE 73 – The Sloane Ranger has those pesky contract negotiations out of the way, now it’s time to play some footy! Rory’s 27 possession, 127 point effort against the Cats helped push his beloved Crows over the line, and came despite the attention of Scooter Selwood for much of the game. The tag is always an issue but there’s no doubting Sloane’s courage, as well as his qualities as a footballer, and he is great POD value at only 2% ownership.

Limbo land…
Jack Macrae, $586K, BE 176
Josh Kelly, $546K, BE 157
Tom Mitchell, $642K, BE 154

RUCK

Nic Naitanui was in almost 50,000 teams last week; that number will be drastically different this week, but who do you replace him with? There are the obvious (read: expensive) answers in Gawn and Grundy, there are the form options in Goldy and Stef, the left-field options such as Sinclair and Bellchambers, and the Hail Mary options such as Lycett. I’m very wary of ruckmen at this time of year, so unfortunately all I can do is wish you all the best in your choices. I hope whoever you choose, they play every game….

Just for information purposes….
Max Gawn, $652K, BE 116
Brodie Grundy, $623K, BE 126 

FORWARDS

David MUNDY (FRE), $444 900 (-$46.8K), average 94, BE 41 – Diamond Dave Mundy has been off a bit lately, but back-to-back tons in the past fortnight suggests he is on the way back up again. The Dockers veteran may be seeing more of the Sherrin in the absence of Fyfe, and Freo play four of their last 6 games at home. Forward/mid DPP status is a nice bonus.

Forward thinking….
Jack Darling, $473K, BE 207
Isaac Heeney, $472K, BE 157
Toby Greene, $476K, BE 156

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7 thoughts on “The Fallen Premiums – Rd 17”

  1. This is SUCH an important weekly thread right now. Thanks Chillo. Am seriously tempted, but am gonna have to hold.
    Down to loopholing best bench options at either end of the ground this week.
    I’d like to thank the SC gods for some small mercies, and they are Gray and Sicily’s Sunday games, so I can at least make the most of a sh!t situation. Next week looks ok too. Might finally have to use one of my two trades after that!
    Thanks again Chilli, there are some exciting targets on the horizon.

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      1. silly me saw upside in him @ 660k , at least @ 440k you wont be too disappointed if he underperforms in a few games ..

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  2. This is the hardest part of Fantasy footy , its not about getting in the players with the best averages so far ,
    its about identifying the players that will score the best over the next 6 weeks ,
    without getting injured or dropped ..

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