THE NUMBERS GAME – THE ELITE

Written by Motts on March 17 2015

Schwarzwalder has been hard at it analysing the first 6 rounds of the season with respect to the elite players. He’s put in the work so you don’t have to. Nice job, buddy!

Here are the elite premiums ($600k+) and their average scores against their first six opponents (over the last three years).  No opinions, no arguments, just the numbers.  Take from this what you will…………


Ablett (GCS) $734,600: MEL – 146, STK – 119, GEE – 127, GWS – 136, BRI – 144, ADE – 133

Rockliff (BRI) $709,500: COLL – 111, NTH – 105, RIC – 107, WCE  – 102, GCS  – 139, CAR – 83

Pendlebury (COLL) $668,800:    BRI – 113, ADE – 127, STK – 133, ESS – 123, CAR – 114, GEE – 128

Fyfe (FRE) $657,600: PORT – 117, GEE – 100, WCE – 116, SYD – 102, MEL – 110, ESS – 129

Selwood (GEE) $649,900: HAW – 116, FRE – 110, GCS – 97, NTH – 129, RIC – 114, COLL – 117

Beams (BRI) $621,000: COLL (N/A), NTH – 116, RICH – 107, WCE – 124, GCS – 114, CAR – 95

Sloane (ADE) $616,900:    NTH – 119, COLL – 86, MEL – 110, DOGS – 118, PORT – 112, GCS – 110

Kennedy (SYD) $612,200: ESS – 116, PORT – 110, GWS – 123, FRE – 145, DOGS – 96, MEL – 111

Sidebottom (COLL) $608,200:    BRI – 129, ADE – 102, STK – 88, ESS – 121, CAR – 116, GEE – 103

Priddis (WCE) $606,200:    DOGS – 108, CAR – 118, FRE – 99, BRI – 114, GWS – 115, PORT – 102*

Ward (GWS) $606,000: STK – 109, MEL – 109, SYD – 108, GCS – 111, WCE – 111,    HAW – 116

Barlow (FRE) $600,400:    PORT – 88, GEE – 106, WCE – 110, SYD – 94, MEL – 120, ESS – 97

* Didn’t have the heart to add the 5 that Priddis scored before he got knocked out against Port in 2013.

Thanks to Nath for his awesome stats page!!!

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15 thoughts on “THE NUMBERS GAME – THE ELITE”

  1. Great stuff, Schwartzwalder, can you run through the top 100 next?

    What are the odds Ablett gets rested against melb and st kilda?

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  2. Would be interesting to see how this would impact their price. Most of the scores seem pretty good, I would expect most to hold or slightly drop in value

    Not seeing a must get premium with a good early draw

    Most of the teams are very similar in the first few rounds. Makes the season a lot easier if you have a few wins in the early rounds

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  3. Brilliant stuff mate! Love your work! Why are the chances of the little master starting as a sub? Can just about guarentee he will be in everyone’s side by round 3/4 if that happens!

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