I thought I’d do some quick analysis to help you make your trade decisions for the rest of the year. Below are the last 4 games for the year (the SC Finals) for each team with an (A) after games which are played outside their home state. I’ve also given each team a nominal rating based on their relative strength, who they’re playing and where its being played.
Based on this analysis, the players you should be looking at right now should come from:
St Kilda – rating: 9,
Collingwood – rating: 7,
Brisbane – rating: 7, and funnily enough
Richmond – rating: 7
Happy to debate any of the ratings with you. What do you think?
Adelaide
Dogs (A)
Brisbane
Collingwood
St Kilda (A)
Rating: 2/10
Brisbane
West Coast (A)
Adelaide
Essendon (A)
Sydney
Rating: 7/10
Carlton
Essendon
Richmond
Geelong
Fremantle (A)
Rating: 5/10
Collingwood
Geelong
Essendon
Adelaide
Hawthorn
Rating: 7/10
Essendon
Carlton
Collingwood
Brisbane
Dogs (A)
Rating: 4/10
Fremantle
North (A)
Sydney
Hawthorn (A)
Carlton
Rating: 6/10
Geelong
Collingwood
Dogs
Carlton
West Coast
Rating: 5/10
Hawthorn
Sydney (A)
Melbourne
Fremantle
Collingwood
Rating: 6/10
Melbourne
Richmond
Hawthorn
Port (A)
North
Rating: 6/10
North Melbourne
Fremantle
St Kilda
West Coast (A)
Melbourne
Rating: 6/10
Port Adelaide
St Kilda (A)
West Coast
Melbourne
Richmond (A)
Rating: 6/10
Richmond
Melbourne
Carlton
St Kilda
Port
Rating: 7/10
St Kilda
Port
North
Richmond
Adelaide (A)
Rating: 9/10
Sydney
Hawthorn
Fremantle (A)
Dogs
Brisbane (A)
Rating: 4/10
West Coast
Brisbane
Port (A)
North
Geelong (A)
Rating: 2/10
Western Bulldogs
Adelaide (A)
Geelong
Sydney (A)
Essendon
Rating: 6/10
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{ 49 comments… read them below or add one }
Does the possibility of some teams having the luxury to rest gun players factor into your rating?
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Good point. No it doesn’t.
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That’s gotta be the flipside of an easy last 4 games, pump. I remember last year when the Saints rested half a dozen of their guns against the Hawks in one of the last rounds. Geelong too have a tendency to do the same. Not sure if the Pies will take that route though. It definitely can throw a spanner in the works of the SC finals and means that quality emergencies can be more than useful.
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thanks motts this is useful. but i think Pump & Mike are right, teams resting premium players is going to be a huge factor in where points are coming from.
How many players do teams usually rest in the lead up to finals?
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St. Kilda and Geelong rested quite a few last year but that was primarily because they had the top two positions on the ladder stitched up. As you will know it’s a bit different this year and it’s too early to know right now if teams will have that luxury come August. I wouldn’t let it dictate your Barlow trade.
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thanks mike. i’m can afford goddard, but not sure i want to spend almost $700,000. is better to go for slightly cheaper and pocket the cash for another upgrade?
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Up to you. Goddard’s worth every cent
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My trades this week:
Barlow —> Montagna
Hall —> Pavlich
Leaving with 6 trades to hold for finals.
My midfield is GAJ, J. Selwood, Chappy, Swan, Juddy and Joey
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For your sake I hope the Geelong team plane doesn’t go down at any stage. Surprised you couldn’t fit Jimmy Bartel in there as well…
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The Cats host the Eagles at Skilled in R22.
I can see it now . . . OUT: Ablett, Selwood, Chapman, Podsiadly
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Now you say that I’m worried. I have 5 cats; Selwood, Ablett, Chapman, Enright and Podsiadly :S
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Most good teams have 3 or more Cats so it will affect everyone if it happens. The Cats play the Pies, the Dogs and the Blues before the WC game so I’m expecting a few to get a rest in R22. I guess it comes down to your DPPs and the quality of your emergencies.
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Yeah good point there Mike. My emergencies are pretty good quality and are getting games regualry now. Whenever I’m downgrading now, I will invest in a cheap rookie DPP, which will help come finals time. Dissapointed I didn’t pick up Hederson from Adelaide (FWD/DEF), he would’ve been handy to swap with Phil Davis.
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what doe severyone think about sammy mitchell is he back to his best?, im thinking about trading him in for barlow ??
either mitchell didak or hayes which one would be best for the barlow trade???
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MITCHELL!!
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Mitchell’s great when he’s great but too often brings out a hurtful score. I’d aim to pick up saints/pies or cats players right now.
I’ve got Mitchell and won’t trade him because it’s a waste after having him all year but certainly not my best pick this year.
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You’ve made a mistake Motts. Collingwood’s last 4 games of this year are;
Hawthorn
Qualifying Final
Preliminary Final
Grand Final
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You were probably one of the ones going around on Saturday night spruiking the fact that the Pies were on top of the ladder too, weren’t you HGL
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And they wonder why everyone hates them.
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I think people hate us because we are such gracious winners, always quick to praise the opposition, always playing down the signifigance our results, never getting too far ahead of ourselves.
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I’m still spruiking it loud and proud.
Will you be keeping details of your Barlow trade quiet on these pages?
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Yes mate, playing kb this week who I know reads this regularly.
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I want to bring in swan but is his price going to stay above 600k or should I wait I already brought ablett in for Barlow this is just to top up my mids 11 trades left
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Anyone else on here annoyed at how good C Rioli has been playing lately?? Traded him out Rd 7 after pathetic score after pathetic score and his overall inconsistency. Ever since round 10 he has scored 123, 101, 167, 102 and 159!! ahh the joys of supercoach! its like my ruckman – started with Tippet (poor form), then traded to Seaby (injured), then traded to Hille (injured), traded to Kreuzer (injured), then now to P Ryder. Oh please dont get injured patty!!!
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No wonder you call yourself team still needs work ….
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I had him and got rid of him it had to be done
yes he is pissing me right off
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GAJ is the best value player going at $613,600, when in R8 he was a massive $772,500, still avg 135.23 ppg. If you don’t have in your side now there is no excuse to bring him in for Mr Barlow (Thanks Mate for your great work).
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what does everyone think of these 3 trades i might make over the next few weeks in the run up to the finals:
BARLOW > MONTAGNA
WATERS > GOODWIN
FYFE/HALL > BETTS
are these good upgrades going into the final weeks or should i wait until the actual finals?
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Hold fire on the second 2 if you’ve only got 3 trades left.
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Goodwin’s been saving me lately but again, I’d never recommend him to anyone. Adelaide, although in some form now, will probably fade out again when it matters in SC land
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fair play motts, i’lll hold off on the other 2. I just want to ensure i make the finals at this stage!
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i disagree on Goody. He is essentially a midfielder and i think will average over a ton by seasons end. Thats good enuff to be in my backline
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B- L.Hodge(C), C.Enright, A.Carrazo , J.Frawley, N.Malceski, B.Waters, B.Symes(J.Webberly, A.Silvagni)
M- D.Swan, J.Selwood, (M.Barlow——-Montagna/Gibbs), J.Watson, R.O’Keefe, L.Hayes(B.Moles, T.Armstrong)
R- A.Sandilands, N.Naitanui(R.Warnock, D.Bass)
F- D.Giansiracusa, T.Varcoe, M.Jaensch, J.Podsiadly, T.Rockliff, E.Betts, M.Pavlich(VC)(R.Roberts, S.Byrnes)
Who should i be looking at getting going into the final weeks?
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how many trades left?
if it was my team and i had plently of trades i would be looking to add a really solid premium to the backs and the forwards and getting rid of natinui for another ruck
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4 trades left definately want to upgrade nic nat
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What about Drew Petrie when he comes back from injury.
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Partridge might be back this week, NORTH Melbourne midfielder Andrew Swallow says the potential return of key forward Drew Petrie would be a huge boost as his side prepares for a crucial clash against the Sydney Swans at the SCG on Sunday.
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Judd.
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how much is this team averaging? Is it just me or does it seem to look pretty inconsistent? I dont mean to sound rude or anything…
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How many trades do you have left ssss?
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BACKS- GODDARD, HODGE,ENRIGHT,GILBEE, DUFFIELD,GOODWIN,WATERS
BENCH- DAVIS,ROBERTON
MIDFIELD- ABLETT, PENDULBRY, DAL SANTO, MITCHELL, HIGGINS, GOODES
BENCH- JETTA, STEVENSON
RUCKS-SANDILANDS, JAMAR
BENCH-?
FORWARDS- CHAPMAN, O’KEEFE, HARVEY,DIDAK,RIOLI,BROWN,PODSIADLY
BENCH- FYFE, DENNIS-LANE
WHAT TRADES DO YOU THINK I SHOULD MAKE COME THE FINALS
I GOT 7 TRADES LEFT THERE IS A FEW PEOPLE IM NOT HAPPY WITH AND A FEW GUNS I WANT TO GET IN WHAT IMPROVEMENTS DO U THINK I CAN MAKE
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Ablett, Dal Santo, Judd, Swan, Cooney and Barlow
Would happily do a Barlow > Montagna trade, however i am too short on $$$ (less than 1k in bank).
4 trades left so not willing to double trade.
What are peoples thoughts on getting Cross in for barlow. Unique pick and has been travelling very well, WB run home isnt that bad. If not who else?
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How about Hayes? only 5% of teams have him and hes under 500,000. But i guess you have to watch out because Saints will be resting players.
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Hayes is actually a very good option. Going by his scores last year he is solid to maintain his average if not increase it by a fair bit.
Then ill have the added bonus of an extra 65k in the bank which should help with the 3 little trades i have left (and will be holding onto!)
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I want 2 make a little money off barlow so then when i trade grimes i can get someone half decent. Was thinking either:
Black (only 3% of people have him and easy run home)
Didak (cheap and scoring well)
Pavlich (Should of had him from day dot and now is $$ enough but still a little worried about last few weeks)
Any suggestions?
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SAM MITCHELL WILL MISS THIS WEEKS GAME WITH A BROKEN HAND!!
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Was about to bring him in for Barlow!!
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Pavlich is definitely interesting me… especially at his current price. But has there been any word trickling out of WA as to why his scores have been down a bit recently?
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Backs Goddard,Enright,Gilbee,Hodge,Malceski,Waters,Silvagni
(Maguire,Webberley)
Mid Ablett,Swan,Judd,Barlow,Hayes,Stanton
(Martin,Gysberts)
Rucks Sandilands,Skipper (Hille,J.Roughead)
Forwards O’Keefe,Franklin,Pods,Hall,Ballantyne,Ffye,Chapman
(J.Brown,Playfair)
Im averaging nearly 2300 i have 7 trades left any ideas how i can improve my side?
CHEERS
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